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Match Prediction

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction

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FC Cincinnati

€65.35m

27 Oct17:45
1 : 0

Columbus Crew

€53.03m

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FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines

The FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew prediction for October 27, 2.455, is already creating a buzz, and for good reason. The “Hell is Real” derby is always a highlight in the MLS calendar, but this playoff edition at TQL Stadium promises even more drama, intensity, and—if our AI is right—goals. With both teams boasting strong recent histories and passionate fanbases, let’s dive into the tactical background, the rivalry’s roots, and what the numbers suggest for your betting slip.

The Hell is Real Derby: A Rivalry Forged in Ohio

The story of this derby is as much about geography as it is about football. FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, just a drive down Interstate 71 apart, have turned a simple billboard into a symbol of one of MLS’s fiercest rivalries. Since their first meeting in 2017, the stakes have only grown—especially after Cincinnati joined MLS in 2019. Each encounter is a battle for Ohio, and this playoff tie is set to add another memorable chapter.

How the Teams Shape Up

  • FC Cincinnati finished the 2.454 regular season in excellent form: 19 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, securing a top-three spot in the East and fifth overall. Their 2.453 Supporters’ Shield win still lingers in the memory, and the club’s market value now stands at a strong €65.35m.
  • Key players include Luciano Acosta, the 2.453 MLS MVP, and Evander, who posted 18 goals and 14 assists in 2.455. The squad’s depth has often been tested by injuries, but with Matt Miazga expected back in 2.455, their defensive spine looks set to strengthen just in time.
  • Columbus Crew enjoyed a record-breaking 2.454, with 66 points, 19 wins, and a league-best +32 goal differential. Their market value is €53.03m, and their trophy cabinet recently welcomed the Leagues Cup. Cucho Hernández (19 goals, 10 assists) and Diego Rossi (16 goals in 2.455) headline a dynamic attack, while Steven Moreira’s defensive prowess earned him MLS Defender of the Year honors.
  • Head coach Wilfried Nancy, the 2.454 Sigi Schmid MLS Coach of the Year, has built a side that can dominate possession and strike quickly in transition.

Head to Head and Tactical Trends

  • When these sides last met (July 13, 2.455), Columbus stunned Cincinnati 4-2, despite the betting odds slightly favoring the hosts.
  • Columbus has proven they can pull off big wins on the road (see their 3-1 win at Monterrey in 2.454 with odds of 5.0), so underestimating them would be risky.
  • Expect a possession battle (53% projected for Cincinnati, 47% for Crew), but both sides have the firepower to turn spells of dominance into goals.

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction: AI Insights and Betting Tips

Our FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew prediction leans toward a home win, but with a healthy respect for the derby’s unpredictability. Here’s how the numbers stack up:

  1. 1X (Home win or draw) is the most reliable bet, with a trust level of 5.0/10 and odds at 1.48. It’s a safe play for those wary of Crew’s away form.
  2. Home Win (1) carries a trust rating of 4.0 and odds of 2.45. With Cincinnati’s strong home record and slightly higher market value, this is an attractive option for value seekers.
  3. Over 2.45 Total Goals is favored at 1.53 odds, though our AI’s confidence (1.7) suggests a bit of caution. Still, with both teams expected to create plenty of chances (13 shots for Cincinnati, 8 for Crew), goals look likely.

Our AI model predicts a 3-0 victory for Cincinnati, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. While that may sound bold, the projected stats back it up: more shots, more possession, and a home crowd that knows how to lift their team on big nights. The Crew, however, have shown they can upset the odds—so don’t rule out a twist in the tale.

Key Match Stats & Betting Odds

  • Expected Shots: 13 for Cincinnati, 8 for Columbus
  • Shots on Goal: 5 for Cincinnati, 2 for Columbus
  • Total Corners: 5 (3 for Cincinnati, 2 for Crew)
  • Yellow Cards: 1 for Cincinnati, 0 for Crew
  • Odds: Home win 2.45, Draw 3.62, Away win 2.6

Final Word: A Derby Worth Watching

This FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew prediction is shaped by recent head to head results, market values, and our AI’s statistical model—but as always in this derby, expect the unexpected. If you’re betting, the 1X market looks the most solid, but for the bold, a home win at 2.45 could pay off. With both teams eyeing MLS Cup glory, this Ohio derby is set for another unforgettable night.

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AI Predictions
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Columbus Crew no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew

1X -208

FC Cincinnati to win or draw with odds of -208
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 145

FC Cincinnati is expected to win with odds of 145
3/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No 155

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -154

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:0

Stats Predictions

53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
1
3
Corners
2

Average / Match

1.42
Expected Goals
1.15
2.5
Total Goals
3
1.4
Goals Scored
1.5
1.1
Goals Against
1.5
49%
Possession
54%
13.3
Total Shots
10.7
5.3
Shots on Goal
4.3
5.2
Shots off Goal
3.2
9.6
Fouls
10.6
3.9
Corners
4.2
1.2
Offsides
3.4
1.5
Yellow Cards
1
0.1
Red Cards
0
424
Total Passes
493

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati
5 - 6 - 9
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 02-Nov-25
4:0
 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 27-Oct-25
1:0
 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13-Jul-25
2:4
 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 18-May-25
1:1
 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 15-Sep-24
0:0
 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 12-May-24
1:2
 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 02-Dec-23
2:3
 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 21-Aug-23
3:0
 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 21-May-23
3:2
 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 28-Aug-22
2:2
 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew

Profile time Recent Matches of FC Cincinnati

23 JanD New E New E.
1:1
 FC Cincinn. FC Cincinnati

Profile time Recent Matches of Columbus Crew

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia34
57-35
66
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
52-40
65
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
81-55
65
4 Charlotte Charlotte34
55-46
59
5 New York City FC New York City34
50-44
56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
58-45
54
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City34
63-51
53
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England34
44-51
36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
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