Preview
The Fenerbahce vs Besiktas prediction for April 5, 2026 feels like one of those Istanbul nights where the tempo rises with every tackle. The Süper Lig derby kicks off at 18:00 GMT (20:00 local time), and the stakes are simple: points, pride, and the kind of momentum you can carry into the run-in.
Fenerbahçe usually try to make games at Şükrü Saracoğlu feel small for visitors: lots of ball, lots of territory, and a steady drip of chances until something breaks. The numbers we’re projecting fit that story—56% possession for Fener, with Beşiktaş on 44%, and an even shot count of 12.12. That balance in attempts suggests a derby where Besiktas still get their moments, even if Fener control the rhythm.
Where it gets interesting is in the details: we expect 4 shots on target for Fenerbahçe and 3 for Besiktas, plus about 11 total corners (7-4). Corners usually mean pressure, and pressure usually means chances—especially in a match where set pieces and second balls can decide everything.
Bookmakers lean Fener, but not by a mile: Home win 2.1, Draw 3.75, Away win 3.7. That pricing matches the feel of this derby—Fenerbahçe are favored at home, yet Besiktas have shown in recent head to head games they don’t need permission to ruin a party.
Our Fenerbahce vs Besiktas prediction model points most strongly toward goals. The top betting angle is Over 2.5 total goals at 1.63, with a trust score of 4.7/10. In plain terms: not “lock” territory, but it’s the cleanest read from the data.
For the match result market, our 1X2 call is Home win (1) at odds around 2.1, with a lower trust level of 3.4/10. That’s basically the model saying: “Fener are more likely, but derbies don’t care about logic.” If you want the safer angle, goals may be kinder than picking a winner.
Final lean: Over 2.5 goals for the main bet, with Fenerbahçe to nick it 2.1 after leading 1-0 at the break. Use the betting odds wisely, keep an eye on team news close to kickoff, and remember: in this head to head, comfort is never guaranteed.
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Derby match
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13
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12
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10
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Fenerbahce |
23-Dec-25
1:2
| Besiktas ![]() |
Besiktas |
02-Nov-25
2:3
| Fenerbahce ![]() |
Fenerbahce |
04-May-25
0:1
| Besiktas ![]() |
Besiktas |
07-Dec-24
1:0
| Fenerbahce ![]() |
Fenerbahce |
27-Apr-24
2:1
| Besiktas ![]() |
Besiktas |
09-Dec-23
1:3
| Fenerbahce ![]() |
Fenerbahce |
02-Apr-23
2:4
| Besiktas ![]() |
Besiktas |
02-Oct-22
0:0
| Fenerbahce ![]() |
Besiktas |
08-May-22
1:1
| Fenerbahce ![]() |
Fenerbahce |
19-Dec-21
2:2
| Besiktas ![]() |
| 17 Mar | W |
Fenerbahce
| 4 |
Gaziantep FK
| 1 |
| 13 Mar | L |
Karagumruk
| 2 |
Fenerbahce
| 0 |
| 08 Mar | W |
Fenerbahce
| 3 |
Samsunspor
| 2 |
| 04 Mar | W |
Gaziantep FK
| 0 |
Fenerbahce
| 4 |
| 01 Mar | D |
Antalyaspor
| 2 |
Fenerbahce
| 2 |
| 26 Feb | W |
Nottingham
| 1 |
Fenerbahce
| 2 |
| 23 Feb | D |
Fenerbahce
| 1 |
Kasimpasa
| 1 |
| 19 Feb | L |
Fenerbahce
| 0 |
Nottingham
| 3 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Trabzonspor
| 2 |
Fenerbahce
| 3 |
| 09 Feb | W |
Fenerbahce
| 3 |
Genclerbi
| 1 |
| 19 Mar | W | Besiktas |
2 | Kasimpasa |
1 |
| 15 Mar | W | Genclerbirligi |
0 | Besiktas |
2 |
| 07 Mar | L | Besiktas |
0 | Galatasaray |
1 |
| 04 Mar | W | Besiktas |
4 | Rizespor |
1 |
| 28 Feb | W | Kocaelispor |
0 | Besiktas |
1 |
| 22 Feb | W | Besiktas |
4 | Goztepe |
0 |
| 15 Feb | W | Basaksehir |
2 | Besiktas |
3 |
| 08 Feb | D | Besiktas |
2 | Alanyaspor |
2 |
| 05 Feb | D | Kocaelispor |
1 | Besiktas |
1 |
| 31 Jan | W | Besiktas |
2 | Konyaspor |
1 |
Turkey - Süper Lig| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray | 26 | 62-18 | 64 |
| 2 |
Fenerbahçe | 27 | 61-28 | 60 |
| 3 |
Trabzonspor | 27 | 53-29 | 60 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş | 27 | 49-31 | 52 |
| 5 |
Başakşehir | 27 | 44-30 | 43 |
| 6 |
Göztepe | 26 | 30-20 | 43 |
| 7 |
Samsunspor | 26 | 29-31 | 35 |
| 8 |
Kocaelispor | 27 | 23-32 | 33 |
| 9 |
Gaziantep FK | 27 | 36-46 | 33 |
| 10 |
Alanyaspor | 27 | 33-32 | 31 |
| 11 |
Rizespor | 26 | 32-36 | 30 |
| 12 |
Konyaspor | 27 | 31-39 | 30 |
| 13 |
Gençlerbirliği | 27 | 28-37 | 25 |
| 14 |
Antalyaspor | 27 | 25-43 | 25 |
| 15 |
Kasımpaşa | 27 | 23-38 | 24 |
| 16 |
Kayserispor | 27 | 21-48 | 23 |
| 17 |
Eyüpspor | 27 | 19-38 | 22 |
| 18 |
Fatih | 27 | 24-47 | 17 |