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Match Prediction

Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Finished

Feyenoord

€235.45m

22 Jan12:45
3 : 0

Sturm Graz

€53.08m

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Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz Prediction UEFA Europa League

Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz Prediction: Europa League Betting Tips & Insights

If you’re searching for the most reliable Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz prediction ahead of their UEFA Europa League meeting on January 22, 2026, you’ve come to the right place. Our NerdyTips team has gathered all the latest news, stats, and betting tips to help you make smart choices for this 17:45 GMT kickoff at De Kuip, Rotterdam. Whether you’re a stats nerd, a casual punter, or just here for the football banter, let’s break down what you need to know before placing your bets.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form: What to Expect

Feyenoord, affectionately known as the pride of Rotterdam, are set to host Sturm Graz in what promises to be a lively Europa League encounter. The Dutch giants have been under the guidance of Robin van Persie since early 2025, with René Hake assisting. While Van Persie may be better known for his acrobatic volleys, he’s been shaping Feyenoord with a blend of classic Dutch total football and modern European pragmatism—think possession football, quick transitions, and a dash of defensive steel.

However, the home side’s squad depth is being tested. Key players like Gernot Trauner and Bart Nieuwkoop are sidelined with injuries, and the likes of Jakub Moder and Thomas Beelen are also out. There’s some good news though: Anis Hadj Moussa is back from AFCON duties, and Ayase Ueda—Feyenoord’s 18-goal striker—remains a reliable threat up front.

Sturm Graz, meanwhile, have just welcomed Fabio Ingolitsch as their new head coach, hoping his fresh ideas can spark a turnaround. The Austrian visitors are dealing with their own injury woes, with Dimitri Lavalée and Leon Grgic both out. They’ve also lost Tochi Chukwuani to Rangers, which leaves Otar Kiteishvili as their main man for goals in Europe (with, admittedly, just one to his name).

  • Feyenoord’s recent form: 1 win, 5 losses in their last 6 Europa League games.
  • Sturm Graz’s recent form: 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses in the same stretch.
  • Head to head: Each side has won one of their last two meetings, but Feyenoord’s 6-0 thrashing of Sturm Graz in 2022 is still fresh in memory.

Betting Tips and AI-Driven Predictions

Now, let’s get to the Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz prediction that matters for your bet slip. The bookies are leaning heavily towards a home win, with Feyenoord priced at 1.41, a draw at 6.0, and a Sturm Graz upset at 8.25. The home side’s squad is valued at a whopping €236.05m compared to Sturm Graz’s €53.08m, and the predicted stats reflect that gulf in quality.

  • Possession: Feyenoord expected to control 62% of the ball, with 17 shots (6 on target).
  • Sturm Graz: Likely to have just 38% possession, with 7 shots (only 1 on target).
  • Predicted corners: 7 for Feyenoord, 2 for Sturm Graz.
  • Discipline: 1 yellow card for Feyenoord, 2 for Sturm Graz.

NerdyTips’ AI recommends the over 2.5 goals market as the best value, with odds of 1.41 and a trust level of 6.6.00. The 1x2 prediction is a home win (1) with a confidence level of 4.6/10. The predicted final score? A lively 3:2, suggesting both teams will find the net—so don’t be surprised if the first half ends 1:1 before things open up.

Why These Betting Predictions Make Sense

Despite Feyenoord’s injury list, their attacking firepower and home advantage should see them dominate. Sturm Graz have shown they can frustrate bigger sides—just ask Lille, who were held to a surprise draw last year—but their away record and lack of cutting edge up front are concerns. Feyenoord’s history of high-scoring games in Europe and their previous 6-0 win in this head to head also strengthen the case for betting on goals.

  1. Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.41 odds (trust level 6.6.00).
  2. 1x2 tip: Feyenoord to win at 1.41 odds (confidence 4.6/10).
  3. Correct score prediction: 3:2 for Feyenoord, with a lively first half (1:1).

Final Thoughts: Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz Prediction Recap

To wrap up our Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz prediction, all signs point to an entertaining Europa League fixture with plenty of goalmouth action. While Feyenoord’s squad depth is being tested, their attacking quality and home advantage should see them through. Sturm Graz might sneak a goal or two, but the Dutch side’s firepower is likely to prove decisive. For punters, the over 2.5 goals market looks the safest play, but don’t rule out a flutter on a high-scoring home win.

Whatever your betting angle, may your tips be sharp and your nerves steady—after all, this is European football, and anything can happen!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz

O2.5 -244

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -244
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -238

Feyenoord is expected to win with odds of -238
4/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -244

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -172

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -526

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

2.02
xG
0.57
62%
Ball Possession
38%
17
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.02
Expected Goals
1.32
4.7
Total Goals
3.2
2.2
Goals Scored
1.4
2.5
Goals Against
1.8
54%
Possession
54%
16.1
Total Shots
13.4
5.8
Shots on Goal
3.5
6.2
Shots off Goal
6
9.6
Fouls
14.3
7.3
Corners
6
0.7
Offsides
1.6
1.38
Yellow Cards
2
468
Total Passes
426

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
8
Over 2.5 Goals
7
7
Over 3.5 Goals
5
9
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
3
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Feyenoord
1 - 0 - 1
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 27-Oct-22
1:0
Feyenoord Feyenoord
Feyenoord Feyenoord 15-Sep-22
6:0
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz

Profile time Recent Matches of Feyenoord

29 Jan Betis Betis.
-
Feyenoord. Feyenoord
25 JanW Feyenoord Feyenoord.
4:2
Heracles. Heracles
22 JanW Feyenoord Feyenoord.
3:0
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz
18 JanL Feyenoord Feyenoord.
3:4
S. Rotterd. S. Rotterdam
11 JanD Heerenveen Heerenveen.
2:2
Feyenoord. Feyenoord
21 DecD Feyenoord Feyenoord.
1:1
Twente. Twente
17 DecL Feyenoord Feyenoord.
2:3
Heerenveen. Heerenveen
14 DecL Ajax Ajax.
2:0
Feyenoord. Feyenoord
11 DecL FCSB FCSB.
4:3
Feyenoord. Feyenoord
06 DecW Feyenoord Feyenoord.
6:1
Zwolle. Zwolle

Profile time Recent Matches of Sturm Graz

29 JanSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
-
Brann.Brann
22 JanLFeyenoord Feyenoord.
3:0
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
14 JanWSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
4:2
FC Copenha.FC Copenhagen
08 JanDClub B Club B.
2:2
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
14 DecLAustria V Austria V.
3:1
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
11 DecLSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
0:1
Crvena zve.Crvena zvezda
07 DecWSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
2:1
Grazer AK.Grazer AK
03 DecLSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
1:3
Tirol.Tirol
30 NovWHartberg Hartberg.
0:1
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
27 NovLPanathinaikos Panathinai.
2:1
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz

World - UEFA Europa League World - UEFA Europa League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lyon Lyon7
14-3
18
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa7
11-4
18
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg7
10-3
17
4 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland7
16-8
16
5 SC Braga SC Braga7
11-5
16
6 AS Roma AS Roma7
12-5
15
7 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi7
12-7
15
8 Real Betis Real Betis7
11-6
14
9 FC Porto FC Porto7
10-6
14
10 Genk Genk7
9-6
13
11 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena7
6-5
13
12 PAOK PAOK7
15-10
12
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart7
12-7
12
14 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo7
14-10
12
15 Bologna Bologna7
11-7
12
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham7
11-7
11
17 Plzen Plzen7
7-3
11
18 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe7
9-6
11
19 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos7
10-8
11
20 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb7
12-14
10
21 Lille Lille7
11-9
9
22 Brann Brann7
9-10
9
23 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys7
8-13
9
24 Celtic Celtic7
9-13
8
25 Ludogorets Ludogorets7
11-15
7
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord7
10-13
6
27 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 18937
9-12
6
28 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull7
8-12
6
29 FCSB FCSB7
8-15
6
30 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead7
6-14
6
31 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz7
4-11
4
32 Rangers Rangers7
4-11
4
33 Nice Nice7
7-14
3
34 Utrecht Utrecht7
3-11
1
35 Malmo FF Malmo FF7
3-13
1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel7
2-19
1
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