Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Fiorentina
€285.35m
AEK Athens FC
€69.97m
Preview
Welcome to our Fiorentina vs AEK Athens FC prediction, where we break down the numbers, the form, and the betting odds for this intriguing UEFA Europa Conference League match. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or just looking for a smart bet, you’ll find everything you need right here—served with a side of football banter and easy-to-follow analysis.
The Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence sets the stage for this encounter on November 27, 2025. Fiorentina, affectionately known as La Viola, are hoping to rediscover their spark after a mixed bag of results. Their last five matches across all competitions have produced two draws and three defeats—a run that’s left fans scratching their heads and coaches scratching their tactics boards. Recent Serie A results include a 2-2 draw with Genoa and a narrow 0-1 loss to Lecce, while their Conference League campaign saw a 2-1 defeat to Mainz 05. Still, Fiorentina’s European pedigree is not to be underestimated; they’ve reached all four major European club finals and have a knack for bouncing back.
AEK Athens FC, meanwhile, arrive in Florence with a spring in their step. The Greek side have put together a more encouraging run, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Victories over OFI Crete and Panetolikos in the Super League, plus a 1-1 draw with Shamrock Rovers in Europe, show a team that’s tough to break down. Their history in European football is storied, and they’ve shown they can upset the odds—just ask Brighton, who were stunned by AEK’s 3-2 away win in 2023.
Fiorentina’s new coach, Paolo Vanoli, is still settling in, but his 1.68 points per match suggest he knows how to steady a ship. Expect a possession-based approach, with La Viola likely to dominate the ball (forecast: 60% possession) and push for early control. AEK’s Marko Nikolic, with a slightly higher 1.89 PPM, prefers a disciplined, counter-attacking style—perfect for frustrating bigger teams away from home.
History buffs will recall that these sides have met just once before, in the 2007 UEFA Cup, drawing 1-1. Both teams have rich European traditions, but Fiorentina’s market value (€285.35m) dwarfs AEK’s (€69.97m), underlining the gulf in resources.
Our AI sees Fiorentina as favorites, but not overwhelmingly so. The standout tip is under 3.5 total goals (odds: 1.31, confidence: 5.3/10)—suggesting a tactical, possibly cagey affair. For the 1x2 market, the AI gives a nod to the home win (odds: 1.7, trust: 2.8/10), but with a healthy dose of caution.
If you’re looking for value, the under 3.5 goals market is the safest play—both sides have shown defensive discipline, and injuries to key attackers could keep the scoreline in check. Fiorentina’s home advantage and superior squad depth make them the logical pick in the 1x2 market, but don’t rule out a stubborn AEK side making things tricky.
In summary, our Fiorentina vs AEK Athens FC prediction leans toward a narrow home win, with a final scoreline of 2-1. Expect a tactical battle, a few nervy moments, and—if you’re betting—keep an eye on those total goals and corners markets. Whether you’re a stats nerd or just here for the drama, this one promises to be a fascinating watch.
Read More
U3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3231 -143
Fiorentina is expected to win with odds of -143Under 3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -105
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -278
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
2:1
|
|
0
-
0
-
0
|
|
Recent Matches of Fiorentina| 18 Dec |
Lausanne.
|
-
| Fiorentina.
| |
| 14 Dec | L |
Fiorentina.
|
1:2
| Verona.
|
| 11 Dec | W |
Fiorentina.
|
2:1
| Dyn. Kyiv.
|
| 06 Dec | L |
Sassuolo.
|
3:1
| Fiorentina.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Atalanta.
|
2:0
| Fiorentina.
|
| 27 Nov | L |
Fiorentina.
|
0:1
| AEK Athens F.
|
| 22 Nov | D |
Fiorentina.
|
1:1
| Juventus.
|
| 09 Nov | D |
Genoa.
|
2:2
| Fiorentina.
|
| 06 Nov | L |
Mainz.
|
2:1
| Fiorentina.
|
| 02 Nov | L |
Fiorentina.
|
0:1
| Lecce.
|
Recent Matches of AEK Athens FC
| 18 Dec |  AEK Athens F. |
- |
Univ. Craiov. | |
| 14 Dec | W |  Panetolikos. |
0:5 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 11 Dec | W |  Samsunspor. |
1:2 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 07 Dec | W | AEK Athens F. |
4:1 |
Atromitos. |
| 03 Dec | W | AEK Athens F. |
2:0 |
OFI Crete. |
| 30 Nov | W |  Panathinaiko. |
2:3 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 27 Nov | W |  Fiorentina. |
0:1 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 23 Nov | W | AEK Athens F. |
1:0 |
Aris. |
| 09 Nov | W | OFI Crete. |
0:1 |
AEK Athens F. |
| 06 Nov | D | AEK Athens F. |
1:1 |
Shamrock . |
World - UEFA Europa Conference League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Strasbourg | 5 | 8-4 | 13 |
| 2 |
Shakhtar Donet | 5 | 10-5 | 12 |
| 3 |
Raków Często | 5 | 8-2 | 11 |
| 4 |
AEK Athens FC | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 5 |
Samsunspor | 5 | 10-4 | 10 |
| 6 |
Sparta Praha | 5 | 7-3 | 10 |
| 7 |
Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 10-7 | 10 |
| 8 |
FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 5-3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Crystal Palace | 5 | 9-4 | 9 |
| 10 |
AEK Larnaca | 5 | 6-1 | 9 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina | 5 | 8-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Celje | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 13 |
AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7-7 | 9 |
| 14 |
HNK Rijeka | 5 | 5-2 | 8 |
| 15 |
Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 5-3 | 8 |
| 16 |
Lausanne | 5 | 5-3 | 8 |
| 17 |
FC Noah | 5 | 6-5 | 8 |
| 18 |
Jagiellonia | 5 | 5-4 | 8 |
| 19 |
Drita | 5 | 4-5 | 8 |
| 20 |
Lech Poznan | 5 | 10-7 | 7 |
| 21 |
Shkendija | 5 | 4-4 | 7 |
| 22 |
Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 6-7 | 7 |
| 23 |
Universitatea | 5 | 4-5 | 7 |
| 24 |
Lincoln Red Im | 5 | 6-11 | 7 |
| 25 |
KuPS | 5 | 4-3 | 6 |
| 26 |
Zrinjski | 5 | 7-9 | 6 |
| 27 |
Breidablik | 5 | 5-8 | 5 |
| 28 |
Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 7-9 | 3 |
| 29 |
BK Hacken | 5 | 5-7 | 3 |
| 30 |
Legia Warszawa | 5 | 4-7 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slovan Bratisl | 5 | 4-9 | 3 |
| 32 |
Hamrun Spartan | 5 | 3-8 | 3 |
| 33 |
Aberdeen | 5 | 3-11 | 2 |
| 34 |
Shelbourne | 5 | 0-7 | 1 |
| 35 |
Shamrock Rover | 5 | 4-12 | 1 |
| 36 |
Rapid Vienna | 5 | 2-13 | 0 |
