The A Lyga clash between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai on March 2, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter. Set to take place at Vilniaus Sportimos maniežas, this match pits the league’s heavyweights against a spirited underdog. With Zalgiris valued at €5.28m and Džiugas at €2.30m, the disparity in squad quality is evident, but football often thrives on unpredictability.

The betting odds heavily favor FK Zalgiris Vilnius, with a home win priced at 1.29, a draw at 5.0, and an away win at 9.0. These numbers reflect Zalgiris’ dominance in recent head-to-head encounters, including a commanding 3-0 victory in their last meeting on January 25, 2025. Our AI-powered prediction model, NerdyTips, aligns with the odds, tipping a home win (1) with a trust rating of 3.5/10 and odds of 1.29. While the confidence level isn’t sky-high, the data-driven approach suggests Zalgiris is the safer bet.

Looking at the 1x2 market, the prediction remains consistent: a home win with a confidence level of 3.5. For those eyeing the under/over market, the model predicts under 3.5 goals with a confidence level of 3.3 and odds of 1.53. This aligns with the expected final score of 2:1 in favor of Zalgiris, with a predicted halftime score of 1:0.

Historical A Lyga stats add further weight to these predictions. Home teams win 39.1% of matches, while away teams secure victories in 34.6% of games. Both teams score in 42.5% of matches, and 70.4% of games feature over 1.5 goals. However, only 26.1% exceed 3.5 goals, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals tip.

Džiugas Telšiai’s recent away win against Panevėžys (0-0) and Zalgiris’ unexpected 0-2 victory over Malmo FF in 2022 highlight their potential to defy odds. Yet, the data suggests Zalgiris’ superior squad and home advantage make them the likelier victors. For bettors, the home win and under 3.5 goals markets offer the most value. Play smart, trust the stats, and let the odds guide your decisions.