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Match Prediction

Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

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Flamengo

€201.25m

8 Mar15:45
2 : 1

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Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction Carioca - 1
Flamengo and Vasco da Gama are set to clash at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho on March 8, 2025, at 20:45 UTC in a highly anticipated Carioca - 1 fixture. Flamengo enters this match as the clear favorite, with odds of 1.5 for a home win, while Vasco da Gama is the underdog at 5.9. A draw is priced at 3.98. Flamengo's dominance in possession is expected to be a key factor, as they are projected to control 67% of the ball, leaving Vasco with just 33%. This control should translate into more attacking opportunities, with Flamengo predicted to take 14 total shots compared to Vasco’s 6. Shots on target are also expected to favor the home side, with Flamengo likely to register 4 attempts on goal, while Vasco may only manage 1. Recent history suggests Flamengo has the upper hand. In their last head-to-head meeting on February 16, 2025, Flamengo secured a 2-0 victory. However, Vasco da Gama pulled off a surprising away win on September 15, 2024, in a 1-1 draw where they were priced at 5.0. Despite that result, Flamengo’s squad value of €201.25m significantly outweighs Vasco’s €84.75m, highlighting the disparity in squad depth and quality. The best betting tip for this match is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.29, with a trust rating of 6.9/10. Historical data supports this pick, as only 24% of Carioca - 1 matches exceed the 3.5-goal mark. Additionally, Flamengo’s predicted 2-0 win aligns with this market, reinforcing its value. Discipline could play a role, with Flamengo expected to receive 2 yellow cards and Vasco 3. Set pieces may also be crucial, as Flamengo is projected to earn 7 corners compared to Vasco’s 1. In conclusion, Flamengo’s superior squad and home advantage make them the likely winners, but a low-scoring affair is expected. Bettors should consider backing Under 3.5 goals as the safest option.

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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama

U3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -370
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -192

Flamengo is expected to win with odds of -192
6/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -149

At least one team is not expected to score
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

67%
Ball Possession
33%
14
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.2
2.6
Goals Scored
1.4
0.1
Goals Against
0.8

Overview Last 10 Matches

9
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
1
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Flamengo
18 - 14 - 4
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo Flamengo 21-Sep-25
1:1
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 19-Apr-25
0:0
Flamengo Flamengo
Flamengo Flamengo 08-Mar-25
2:1
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 01-Mar-25
0:1
Flamengo Flamengo
Flamengo Flamengo 16-Feb-25
2:0
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo Flamengo 15-Sep-24
1:1
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 02-Jun-24
1:6
Flamengo Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 04-Feb-24
0:0
Flamengo Flamengo

Profile time Recent Matches of Flamengo

03 MarW Madureira Madureira 0 Flamengo RJ Flamengo RJ 8
27 FebL Flamengo RJ Flamengo RJ 2 Lanus Lanus 3

Profile time Recent Matches of Vasco G

01 MarDFluminense Fluminense 1 Vasco Vasco 1
26 FebLSantos Santos 2 Vasco Vasco 1

Brazil - Carioca - 1 Brazil - Carioca - 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Flamengo Flamengo11
25-5
23
2 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda11
13-12
20
3 Fluminense Fluminense11
13-9
17
4 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama11
13-9
17
5 Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa11
13-11
16
6 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu11
8-9
16
7 Madureira Madureira11
11-8
15
8 Boavista SC Boavista SC11
10-8
14
9 Botafogo Botafogo11
11-12
13
10 CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá11
11-17
12
11 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ11
12-24
10
12 Bangu Bangu11
4-20
4
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