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Match Prediction

Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil
Carioca - 1

Flamengo

€201.25m

8 Mar15:45
2 : 1

Vasco DA Gama

€84.75m

Preview

Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction Carioca - 1
Flamengo and Vasco da Gama are set to clash at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho on March 8, 2025, at 20:45 UTC in a highly anticipated Carioca - 1 fixture. Flamengo enters this match as the clear favorite, with odds of 1.5 for a home win, while Vasco da Gama is the underdog at 5.9. A draw is priced at 3.98. Flamengo's dominance in possession is expected to be a key factor, as they are projected to control 67% of the ball, leaving Vasco with just 33%. This control should translate into more attacking opportunities, with Flamengo predicted to take 14 total shots compared to Vasco’s 6. Shots on target are also expected to favor the home side, with Flamengo likely to register 4 attempts on goal, while Vasco may only manage 1. Recent history suggests Flamengo has the upper hand. In their last head-to-head meeting on February 16, 2025, Flamengo secured a 2-0 victory. However, Vasco da Gama pulled off a surprising away win on September 15, 2024, in a 1-1 draw where they were priced at 5.0. Despite that result, Flamengo’s squad value of €201.25m significantly outweighs Vasco’s €84.75m, highlighting the disparity in squad depth and quality. The best betting tip for this match is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.29, with a trust rating of 6.9/10. Historical data supports this pick, as only 24% of Carioca - 1 matches exceed the 3.5-goal mark. Additionally, Flamengo’s predicted 2-0 win aligns with this market, reinforcing its value. Discipline could play a role, with Flamengo expected to receive 2 yellow cards and Vasco 3. Set pieces may also be crucial, as Flamengo is projected to earn 7 corners compared to Vasco’s 1. In conclusion, Flamengo’s superior squad and home advantage make them the likely winners, but a low-scoring affair is expected. Bettors should consider backing Under 3.5 goals as the safest option.

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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama

U3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -370
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -192

Flamengo is expected to win with odds of -192
6/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -149

At least one team is not expected to score
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

67%
Ball Possession
33%
14
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.2
2.6
Goals Scored
1.4
0.1
Goals Against
0.8

Overview Last 10 Matches

9
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
1
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Flamengo
18 - 13 - 4
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 19-Apr-25
0:0
Flamengo Flamengo
Flamengo Flamengo 08-Mar-25
2:1
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 01-Mar-25
0:1
Flamengo Flamengo
Flamengo Flamengo 16-Feb-25
2:0
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo Flamengo 15-Sep-24
1:1
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 02-Jun-24
1:6
Flamengo Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 04-Feb-24
0:0
Flamengo Flamengo
Flamengo Flamengo 22-Oct-23
1:0
Vasco G Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 06-Jun-23
1:4
Flamengo Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama Vasco G 19-Mar-23
1:3
Flamengo Flamengo

Profile time Recent Matches of Flamengo

17 Dec PSG PSG.
-
Flamengo RJ. Flamengo RJ
10 DecW Cruz Azul Cruz Azul.
1:2
Flamengo RJ. Flamengo RJ

Profile time Recent Matches Of Vasco G

14 DecLFluminense Fluminense.
1:0
Vasco.Vasco
11 DecWVasco Vasco.
2:1
Fluminense.Fluminense

Brazil - Carioca - 1 Brazil - Carioca - 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FlamengoFlamengo 11
25-5
23
2 Volta RedondaVolta Redonda 11
13-12
20
3 FluminenseFluminense 11
13-9
17
4 Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama 11
13-9
17
5 Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrê 11
13-11
16
6 Nova IguaçuNova Iguaçu 11
8-9
16
7 MadureiraMadureira 11
11-8
15
8 Boavista SCBoavista SC 11
10-8
14
9 BotafogoBotafogo 11
11-12
13
10 CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá 11
11-17
12
11 Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ 11
12-24
10
12 BanguBangu 11
4-20
4
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