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Match Prediction

Fluminense vs Lanus Prediction

Fluminense

€82.05m

23 Sep20:30
1 : 1

Lanus

€30.12m

Preview

Fluminense vs Lanus Prediction CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Fluminense vs Lanus Prediction: Odds, Stats & AI Insights for 2025

If you’re searching for a smart Fluminense vs Lanus prediction, you’re in the right place! On September 24, 2025, at 01:30 GMT, Fluminense and Lanus meet at the legendary Maracanã for the second leg of their CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarterfinal. With the tie delicately poised after a dramatic first leg, let’s break down the story, the stats, and the best betting tips for this high-stakes encounter.

First Leg Recap: Lanus Take a Slim Lead

The first act of this head to head was a nail-biter. Lanus snatched a 1-0 win at home, thanks to Marcelino Moreno’s late strike in the 89th minute. Their coach, Mauricio Pellegrino, was quick to praise his team’s efficiency, especially against a Fluminense side that dominated possession but failed to create real danger. Fluminense fans were left frustrated, as their team’s control didn’t translate into goals or clear chances.

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

Let’s take a closer look at how both teams are shaping up for the second leg, and what tactical tweaks we might see.

  • Fluminense: The Rio giants have been a bit unpredictable in the Brazilian league, with only one win in their last five matches. However, they always seem to find an extra gear in knockout football. Coach Renato Gaúcho made a bold move by resting key players in a recent league loss, clearly putting all his chips on the Sudamericana. In the first leg, Ganso’s injury forced a more defensive midfield, which helped keep the ball but dulled their attack. Expect Fluminense to go all-out at home, especially since they’ve never lifted this trophy.
  • Lanus: The Argentinians arrive in Rio with a spring in their step after a league win over Independiente Rivadavia. Despite missing several key players through injury, including Ronaldo Dejesús and Felipe Peña Biafore, they’ve shown resilience. Veteran Eduardo Salvio and playmaker Marcelino Moreno (the first-leg hero) will be crucial, especially with striker Rodrigo Castillo leading the line. Pellegrino’s men know they need at least one away goal to keep the pressure off.

Interesting Facts & Match Context

  • This is the first-ever Sudamericana meeting between Fluminense and Lanus.
  • Fluminense coach Renato Gaúcho has a history of spoiling Lanus’ parties—he won the Libertadores at their stadium with Grêmio in 2017.
  • Lanus are the only Argentine team left in the competition, adding extra motivation.

Betting Odds and Market Analysis

Bookmakers have set the betting odds firmly in Fluminense’s favor: a home win sits at 1.69, a draw at 3.38, and a Lanus win at a distant 6.0. These odds reflect both the home advantage and the difference in squad value—Fluminense’s roster is worth €82.05m, while Lanus’s is €30.12m. But as we saw in the first leg, football doesn’t always follow the script!

AI-Generated Predictions and Stats

Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers and see what our AI models are forecasting for this Fluminense vs Lanus prediction.

  1. Full-Time Result: Our AI strongly leans toward a home win (Fluminense), with a trust level of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.69. The 1x2 prediction is also for Fluminense to win, with a slightly higher trust of 5.6.
  2. Total Goals: Expect a tight, low-scoring affair. The under 2.5 goals market is a strong pick, with a confidence of 5.4 and odds of 1.6. The projected final score? A narrow 1-0 win for Fluminense.
  3. First Half: Don’t expect fireworks early on. The predicted halftime score is 0-0, with Fluminense likely to dominate possession (71% forecast), but both teams playing it safe.
  4. Other Stats: Fluminense are expected to take 14 shots (4 on target), compared to Lanus’s 5 (just 1 on target). Corners should be 4-1 in favor of the home side, and both teams are projected to pick up a yellow card each.

Recent Form: Both Teams Defying the Odds

It’s worth noting that both sides have shown a knack for surprising the bookies. Fluminense, despite being underdogs, managed a thrilling 3-3 draw at Bahia in August. Lanus, with win odds of 7.5, also held Velez Sarsfield to a goalless draw away from home last November. Both teams know how to dig deep when it matters.

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

So, what’s the best Fluminense vs Lanus prediction? All signs point to a hard-fought home win for Fluminense, but don’t expect a goal fest. If you’re betting, the smart money is on:

  • Home win (1) at 1.69 odds – Fluminense should have enough quality at home, especially with the Maracanã crowd behind them.
  • Under 2.5 total goals at 1.6 odds – Both teams are likely to play it safe, with Fluminense needing just a single goal to force extra time or go through.

With both teams’ recent form, tactical setups, and the pressure of knockout football, this promises to be a tense and tactical battle. Whether you’re a fan of Fluminense, Lanus, or just love a good football story, this quarterfinal second leg is not to be missed. Good luck with your bets—and remember, sometimes the best prediction is to expect the unexpected!

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AI Predictions
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Lanus is champion!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Fluminense vs Lanus

1 -145

Fluminense is expected to win with odds of -145
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -145

Fluminense is expected to win with odds of -145
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -204

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -196

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -238

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

71%
Ball Possession
29%
14
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots Off Goal
2
4
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.78
Expected Goals
0.93
2
Total Goals
1.7
1.1
Goals Scored
0.9
0.9
Goals Against
0.8
51%
Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
12.2
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.8
4.4
Shots off Goal
5.7
12.2
Fouls
12.2
3.5
Corners
3.7
0.5
Offsides
1.4
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.89
0.1
Red Cards
0.11
443
Total Passes
409

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
6
5
Over 1.5 Goals
4
3
Over 2.5 Goals
3
1
Over 3.5 Goals
0
3
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Fluminense
0 - 0 - 1
Lanus
Lanus Lanus 17-Sep-25
1:0
Fluminense Fluminense

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Profile time Recent Matches of Lanus

29 JanLanus Lanus.
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