Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Norway
Fredrikstad
€15.07m
Viking
€27.23m
Preview
If you’re searching for the most reliable Fredrikstad vs Viking prediction ahead of their Eliteserien meeting on November 23, 2025, you’ve landed in the right place. With the season winding down and both teams eager to finish strong, this fixture at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion promises more than just points—it’s a test of tactics, nerve, and ambition. Let’s break down the match-up, using the latest stats, betting odds, and our own AI-powered insights to guide your sports betting decisions.
Fredrikstad and Viking FK, two names that stir up plenty of history in Norwegian football, are set for another chapter in their rivalry. Viking, currently sitting at the summit of the Eliteserien with 65 points, have been a model of consistency this season. With 18 wins, five draws, and just three losses, their campaign has been built on a potent attack—averaging 2.5 goals per match—and a disciplined defense. Their recent 2-1 away win over Strømsgodset is just the latest in a string of strong performances.
Fredrikstad, meanwhile, have had a more turbulent ride. Fifth in the table with 42 points, their season reads nine wins, nine draws, and eight losses. While their defense has looked shaky at times, their attack has a knack for late drama, often finding the net in the closing stages. Their 3-0 win at Strømsgodset stands out as a reminder of what they’re capable of when things click.
When it comes to head to head records, Viking have the psychological edge. In their last six meetings, Viking have claimed three wins, Fredrikstad just one, and two have ended all square. The most recent Eliteserien encounter saw Viking run out 3-0 winners at Lyse Arena. However, Fredrikstad did spring a surprise in their last home meeting, edging a 3-2 thriller.
Expect Fredrikstad to stick with their 5-3-2 setup, aiming for defensive solidity and quick transitions. Viking, on the other hand, are likely to persist with their tried-and-tested 4.35-4.35, which has given them balance and attacking width all season.
Fredrikstad have refreshed their squad after some key departures, including Júlíus Magnússon and Morten Bjørlo. Their transfer activity—over €2 million invested—has brought in fresh faces like Benjamin Faraas, Rocco Shein, and Leonard Owusu. Viking, managed by the experienced duo of Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim and Morten Jensen, continue to rely on a settled squad and tactical discipline, with recent results boosting morale further.
Now, let’s get into the numbers and what they mean for your sports betting strategy. According to the latest betting odds, Viking are firm favorites for the away win at 1.582, while a Fredrikstad victory is priced at 5.9, and a draw at 4.35. The market value gap is telling too: Viking’s squad is valued at €27.23m, almost double Fredrikstad’s €15.07m.
Our AI model, which crunches all the stats and recent form, suggests that the best tip for this match is on the goals market. The over 2.5 goals bet comes with odds of 1.582 and a confidence rating of 3.6/10—suggesting that while goals are likely, there’s still some risk. The model predicts a final score of 3:0 in favor of the home side, with a 1:0 lead at half-time. That’s a bold call, especially given Viking’s dominance, but Fredrikstad’s recent attacking form at home can’t be ignored.
Digging deeper into the stats, Viking are expected to control possession (59% vs 41%), outshoot Fredrikstad (16 shots to 7), and win more corners (8 to 2). The AI expects both teams to keep their discipline, predicting zero yellow cards for either side. If you’re looking for value in the 1x2 market, the home win at 5.9 is tempting, but the trust rating is just 1.8—so tread carefully.
While Viking are clear favorites in the betting odds and have the stronger head to head record, Fredrikstad’s home form and late-game heroics make them a dangerous underdog. For those seeking value, the over 2.5 goals market looks the safest play, given both teams’ attacking tendencies and the AI’s prediction. If you’re feeling brave, a small stake on the home win could pay off handsomely—but don’t ignore the stats.
As always, keep an eye on late team news and injury updates before placing your bets. For more detailed Fredrikstad vs Viking prediction updates, stick with NerdyTips—your go-to source for sports betting, odds analysis, and expert football tips.
Read More
Fredrikstad no motivation!
O2.5 -172
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1721 490
Fredrikstad is expected to win with odds of 490Over 2.5 -172
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 117
At least one team is not expected to score1X&O1.5 181
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3:0
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1
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2
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3
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|
 Viking |
22-Jun-25
3:0
| Fredrikstad  |
| Viking |
01-Mar-25
2:0
| Fredrikstad |
| Fredrikstad |
22-Sep-24
3:2
| Viking |
| Viking |
21-Apr-24
1:1
| Fredrikstad |
| Viking |
03-Mar-24
1:1
| Fredrikstad |
| Fredrikstad |
07-Jun-23
1:2
| Viking |
Recent Matches of Fredrikstad| 30 Nov | L |
Bodo/Glimt.
|
5:0
| Fredrikstad.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Fredrikstad.
|
0:1
| Viking.
|
| 08 Nov | W |
Sarpsborg 08.
|
0:2
| Fredrikstad.
|
| 02 Nov | W |
Fredrikstad.
|
3:1
| Kristiansund.
|
| 26 Oct | D |
Sandefjord.
|
0:0
| Fredrikstad.
|
| 19 Oct | W |
Stromsgodset.
|
0:3
| Fredrikstad.
|
| 05 Oct | D |
Fredrikstad.
|
1:1
| Ham-Kam.
|
| 01 Oct | L |
KFUM Oslo.
|
2:1
| Fredrikstad.
|
| 28 Sep | L |
Brann.
|
1:0
| Fredrikstad.
|
| 23 Sep | W |
Valerenga.
|
1:2
| Fredrikstad.
|
Recent Matches of Viking
| 30 Nov | W | Viking. |
5:1 |
Valerenga. |
| 23 Nov | W | Fredrikstad. |
0:1 |
Viking. |
| 08 Nov | W | Viking. |
3:0 |
HamKam. |
| 02 Nov | W |  Stromsgodset. |
1:2 |
Viking. |
| 25 Oct | W | Viking. |
5:1 |
Bryne. |
| 19 Oct | W |  Tromso. |
1:3 |
Viking. |
| 05 Oct | W | Viking. |
3:0 |
Brann. |
| 27 Sep | D |  Sarpsborg. |
3:3 |
Viking. |
| 24 Sep | W |  Eik-Tonsberg. |
0:2 |
Viking. |
| 21 Sep | W | Viking. |
1:0 |
Molde. |
Norway - Eliteserien| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking | 30 | 77-36 | 71 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 85-28 | 70 |
| 3 |
Tromso | 30 | 50-36 | 57 |
| 4 |
Brann | 30 | 55-46 | 56 |
| 5 |
Sandefjord | 30 | 55-42 | 48 |
| 6 |
Valerenga | 30 | 49-50 | 43 |
| 7 |
Rosenborg | 30 | 45-42 | 42 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad | 30 | 38-35 | 42 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 F | 30 | 48-50 | 41 |
| 10 |
Molde | 30 | 46-42 | 39 |
| 11 |
Ham-Kam | 30 | 42-47 | 37 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo | 30 | 42-41 | 35 |
| 13 |
Kristiansund B | 30 | 34-59 | 34 |
| 14 |
Bryne | 30 | 37-56 | 31 |
| 15 |
Stromsgodset | 30 | 37-72 | 20 |
| 16 |
Haugesund | 30 | 22-80 | 9 |
