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Match Prediction

Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction

Finished

Freiburg

€162.70m

22 Jan12:45
1 : 0

Maccabi

€26.73m

Preview

Freiburg vs Maccabi Prediction UEFA Europa League

Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: A David and Goliath European Night

The Europa League brings a fascinating Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction to the fore this Thursday evening. The German side, comfortably nestled in the Bundesliga's European places, host an Israeli champion battling adversity on and off the pitch. The Europa-Park-Stadion will be buzzing for this 17:45 GMT kick-off, a match that on paper looks heavily skewed one way.

Tactical Tales and Team News

Freiburg, under the steady hand of Julian Schuster, are a well-drilled unit. They love to press high and transition quickly, often using a fluid 3-4-3 formation. Their wing-backs are crucial, flying up and down the flank. However, a lengthy injury list could test their depth. Key defenders like Philipp Lienhart and Matthias Ginter are doubts, which might see young Bruno Ogbus continue his promising run in defence. The creative spark of Vincenzo Grifo will be vital to unlock what is expected to be a stubborn defence.

Maccabi Tel Aviv, coached by Žarko Lazetić, arrive with a different kind of challenge. Their season has been marked by incredible resilience, playing 'home' games in Belgrade due to circumstances back in Israel. This nomadic existence, coupled with a significant injury crisis of their own—strikers and defenders are sidelined—makes their task monumental. Their tactics will likely focus on compact defence and hoping for a moment on the break.

Why the Odds Are So One-Sided

A quick glance at the bookmakers' numbers tells its own story. A Freiburg win is priced at a very short 1.29, with the draw at 6.75 and a Maccabi victory a distant 16.75. This isn't just guesswork; it's rooted in cold, hard facts:

  • Squad Value: Freiburg's roster is valued at over €160m, compared to Maccabi's €26.7m.
  • European Standing: Freiburg are 5th in the Europa League index; Maccabi are 35th.
  • Recent Feats: Freiburg have shown they can mix it with the best, like their gutsy 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich not too long ago, defying huge odds.

All this points to a match where Freiburg should dominate possession and chances. The real question isn't if they win, but how they win.

Our AI's Take: What the Numbers Predict

This is where our analysis gets precise. Our AI has crunched the data, from team form to the injury reports, and paints a very clear picture for this Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv fixture.

Expected Match Flow and Final Score Prediction

The algorithm expects a match controlled from start to finish by the home side. We're looking at a predicted 70% ball possession for Freiburg, with Maccabi managing just 30%. This dominance should translate to a flurry of activity: 21 total shots for Freiburg (6 on target) versus just 7 (1 on target) for the visitors. The pressure should tell early, with a predicted halftime score of 1-0.

As Maccabi tires and pushes for an equaliser, spaces will open. Our AI's final prediction is a 2-1 victory for Freiburg. This aligns with the expected total of 9 corners (7 for Freiburg) and a potentially frustrated Maccabi side picking up more yellow cards.

Smart Betting Tips for This Fixture

So, where's the value? Given the overwhelming evidence, the simple 'Freiburg to Win' at 1.29 is the safest pick, and our AI gives it a perfect 10/10 trust score. But for slightly better odds, our top tip is Home Team to Score 2+ Goals (HS2+) at 1.299. With a 6.75/10 trust level, it's a strong recommendation reflecting Freiburg's expected attacking dominance.

For the betting tips on other markets:

  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Our AI leans towards 'Over' (odds 1.55), expecting the three goals in the 2-1 scoreline.
  • Corner Count: With Freiburg pressing, 'Total Corners Over 6.75' looks a good fit.

While there's no real head to head history to go on, all the current data points in one direction. Freiburg are the stronger side, at home, and facing a depleted opponent battling unique pressures. Our final Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction is a professional 2-1 home win, with the hosts doing most of the heavy lifting long before the final whistle.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Freiburg vs Maccabi

HS2+ -313

Freiburg is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -313
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -345

Freiburg is expected to win with odds of -345
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 120

Both teams are expected to score
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

2.59
xG
0.64
70%
Ball Possession
30%
21
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
1
7
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
2

Average / Match

2.18
Expected Goals
1.41
2.8
Total Goals
3.1
1.7
Goals Scored
1.6
1.1
Goals Against
1.5
57%
Possession
60%
15.9
Total Shots
16.6
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.8
5.7
Shots off Goal
6
11
Fouls
13.4
5.7
Corners
7.5
2.3
Offsides
1.5
1.29
Yellow Cards
2.83
464
Total Passes
456

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
5
5
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Freiburg
0 - 0 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Profile time Recent Matches of Freiburg

29 Jan Lille Lille.
-
Freiburg. Freiburg
25 JanW Freiburg Freiburg.
2:1
1. FC Koln. 1. FC Koln
22 JanW Freiburg Freiburg.
1:0
Maccabi. Maccabi
18 JanD Augsburg Augsburg.
2:2
Freiburg. Freiburg
14 JanL RB Leipzig RB Leipzig.
2:0
Freiburg. Freiburg
10 JanW Freiburg Freiburg.
2:1
Hamburger. Hamburger
20 DecW Wolfsburg Wolfsburg.
3:4
Freiburg. Freiburg
14 DecD Freiburg Freiburg.
1:1
Dortmund. Dortmund
11 DecW Freiburg Freiburg.
1:0
Salzburg. Salzburg
06 DecL Heidenheim Heidenheim.
2:1
Freiburg. Freiburg

Profile time Recent Matches of Maccabi

29 JanMaccabi Maccabi.
-
Bologna.Bologna
26 JanDMaccabi Maccabi.
1:1
Hapoel T.Hapoel T
22 JanLFreiburg Freiburg.
1:0
Maccabi.Maccabi
18 JanLMaccabi Haifa Maccabi Ha.
4:1
Maccabi.Maccabi
14 JanDHapoel T Hapoel T.
1:1
Maccabi.Maccabi
10 JanWMaccabi Maccabi.
1:0
Sakhnin.Sakhnin
03 JanWHapoel K Hapoel K.
1:3
Maccabi.Maccabi
30 DecDMaccabi Maccabi.
1:1
Ironi T.Ironi T
27 DecWMaccabi Maccabi.
5:0
Hapoel Hai.Hapoel Haifa
21 DecDNetanya Netanya.
1:1
Maccabi.Maccabi

World - UEFA Europa League World - UEFA Europa League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lyon Lyon7
14-3
18
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa7
11-4
18
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg7
10-3
17
4 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland7
16-8
16
5 SC Braga SC Braga7
11-5
16
6 AS Roma AS Roma7
12-5
15
7 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi7
12-7
15
8 Real Betis Real Betis7
11-6
14
9 FC Porto FC Porto7
10-6
14
10 Genk Genk7
9-6
13
11 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena7
6-5
13
12 PAOK PAOK7
15-10
12
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart7
12-7
12
14 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo7
14-10
12
15 Bologna Bologna7
11-7
12
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham7
11-7
11
17 Plzen Plzen7
7-3
11
18 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe7
9-6
11
19 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos7
10-8
11
20 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb7
12-14
10
21 Lille Lille7
11-9
9
22 Brann Brann7
9-10
9
23 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys7
8-13
9
24 Celtic Celtic7
9-13
8
25 Ludogorets Ludogorets7
11-15
7
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord7
10-13
6
27 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 18937
9-12
6
28 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull7
8-12
6
29 FCSB FCSB7
8-15
6
30 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead7
6-14
6
31 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz7
4-11
4
32 Rangers Rangers7
4-11
4
33 Nice Nice7
7-14
3
34 Utrecht Utrecht7
3-11
1
35 Malmo FF Malmo FF7
3-13
1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel7
2-19
1
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