Frosinone vs Venezia Prediction

Frosinone vs Venezia prediction: Serie B summit details

Our Frosinone vs Venezia prediction starts with the obvious: mark your calendars for 2026-02-07 at 14:00 GMT, because Serie B Round 23 brings a true top-of-the-table pressure test at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Venezia arrive 1st with 47 points, Frosinone follow in 2nd on 46, and that single-point gap turns this into a “win today, sleep better tonight” kind of afternoon.

Frosinone’s week has revolved around one decision: Fares Ghedjemis staying. A late offer around £6m from Celtic was accepted, yet the winger reportedly said no on February 2, choosing to keep steering the promotion push in Italy. That matters tactically because Frosinone’s usual 4-3-3 leans heavily on wide speed and direct running, with Ghedjemis stretching the pitch to create room for Antonio Raimondo to finish moves.

Venezia, meanwhile, used the winter window to add ballast to a midfield already built for control. They brought in 22-year-old Lamine Fanne from Luton and completed the permanent deal for Emil Bohinen from Genoa through 2.22. Under Giovanni Stroppa, Venezia’s plan is often possession-first, and Stroppa has spoken about how “duels in every zone” will decide games like this. With Bohinen and Fanne available, Venezia look even more equipped to win second balls and dictate tempo.

Team news, form, and the head to head context

Both sides carry momentum. Frosinone’s run reads W-D-W-W-W and stretches to a 13-match unbeaten streak, while Venezia come in on six straight wins. Absences could still shape the rhythm, though.

• Frosinone absences: Marchizza (meniscus), Kalaj, Cittadini (knee). Suspensions for Kone (red) and Bracaglia (disciplinary).
• Venezia concerns: Busio out until late March; Duncan (calf) monitored; Modolo doubtful; Oristanio expected despite a shoulder issue.

In the broader head to head, Frosinone have historically had the edge (five wins in the last ten meetings), and the last dated meeting on 2023-03-05 ended 3-0 for Frosinone. Still, Venezia did win the earlier league meeting this season 3-0 (October 2.22), which is a neat reminder that trends are helpful—until they aren’t.

Frosinone vs Venezia prediction: AI tips, odds, and score call

The market leans Venezia: home win 3.65, draw 3.6, away win 2.22. That aligns with squad value too—Frosinone at €28.15m versus Venezia at €53.03m—though Frosinone have shown they can punch above price, like that 2-2 at Napoli on 2024-04-14 as huge underdogs. Venezia also proved they can frustrate giants, drawing 0-0 at Napoli on 2.22-03-16 in a result few saw coming.

Best betting tips from NerdyTips

For goal markets, NerdyTips’ strongest angle is over 1.5 goals at 1.23, trust 5.2/10. Our model agrees: the under/over pick again lands on over 1.5 with a calculated trust of 5.3 and the same 1.23 odds. With projected shots at 12 vs 16 and on-target at 4 vs 5, the numbers point to chances at both ends rather than a sterile chess match.

In the 1x2 market, our AI leans to Venezia to win (2) at 2.22, trust 4.0. The projected 41%–59% possession split fits Stroppa’s control-first approach, and even the corner call (2–4) suggests Venezia spending more time in the attacking third.

Predicted score

Final score: 1:2, with a halftime lean of 0:1. Expect a competitive edge too: yellows are projected at 2 for Frosinone and 1 for Venezia. In short, this Frosinone vs Venezia prediction likes goals first, and then slightly favors Venezia to edge a tight, table-shaping afternoon.