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Match Prediction

Genk vs Basel Prediction

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UEFA Europa League

Genk

€144.90m

27 Nov15:00
2 : 1

Basel

€79.50m

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Genk vs Basel Prediction UEFA Europa League

Genk vs Basel Prediction: Odds, Tactics, and AI Betting Insights

The Genk vs Basel prediction is on everyone’s mind as the UEFA Europa League Group Stage Round 5 approaches. With kick-off set for 20:00 GMT on November 27, 2025, at the Cegeka Arena, fans and punters alike are eager to see how these two European regulars will fare. Both sides have had their ups and downs this season, but with so much at stake, this fixture promises to be a tactical chess match as well as a test of nerves. Let’s break down the head to head, team news, and betting odds before diving into our AI-powered predictions.

Team Form and Tactical Overview

Genk, the Belgian side known for their attacking flair and youth development, come into this match with a mixed bag of results. Over their last ten games, they’ve managed five wins, four draws, and just one loss—a testament to their resilience, especially at home. Recent results include a thrilling 4-3 away win at Braga and a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Gent. However, their home form is slightly less convincing, with two wins, two draws, and a single loss in their last five at the Cegeka Arena.

Basel, once the dominant force in Swiss football, have struggled for consistency this season. Their last six matches have yielded just one win, two draws, and three losses. Looking further back, they’ve managed four wins, four draws, and two defeats in their last ten outings. Notably, they bounced back with a 3-1 victory over FCSB in the Europa League, but a 5-1 drubbing at Lausanne-Sport and a 0-1 home loss to Lugano highlight their defensive vulnerabilities.

Injury Updates and Squad Depth

Both teams are dealing with injury headaches. Genk’s list includes key absentees like Jarne Steuckers (hamstring), Ken Nkuba (heel), and long-term casualties such as Tolu Arokodare and Luca Oyen (both with serious knee injuries). Basel, meanwhile, are sweating on the fitness of D. Schmid, who is sidelined with a muscle injury. These absences could play a significant role in shaping the tactical approach, especially with Genk’s deeper squad and higher market value (€144.90m vs. Basel’s €79.50m).

Head to Head, Possession, and Match Dynamics

Historically, Genk and Basel have both enjoyed European nights, but their head to head encounters have been rare. Genk’s possession-based approach is expected to dominate, with forecasts suggesting a 60% share of the ball for the home team. Basel, on the other hand, will likely look to counter and exploit set pieces, aiming to make the most of their 40% predicted possession and 11 total shots. The expected total goals for this match is under 3.5, hinting at a tactical, possibly cagey affair.

Betting Odds and AI-Driven Predictions

The betting odds for this Europa League tie are intriguing: a home win for Genk is priced at 1.98, while both a draw and an away win for Basel stand at 3.8. Our AI at NerdyTips gives the 1X market (Genk to win or draw) a trust score of 8.5/10 with odds of 1.31, making it the most promising bet for cautious punters. For those seeking higher returns, the straight home win (1) is recommended with a trust level of 7.2 and odds of 1.98.

  • Genk vs Basel prediction for total goals: Under 3.5, with a confidence level of 6.9 and odds of 1.55.
  • Expected final score: 2:0 in favor of Genk, with a 1:0 lead at half-time.
  • Estimated shots and corners: Genk 13 shots (4 on target), Basel 11 shots (3 on target), and a total of 7 corners (4 for Genk, 3 for Basel).
  • Discipline: Basel are expected to pick up 2 yellow cards, while Genk are forecast to keep a clean disciplinary sheet.

Final Thoughts: Genk vs Basel Prediction and Best Bets

With Genk’s superior squad depth, home advantage, and recent form, the odds and AI both lean towards a positive result for the Belgians. Basel’s struggles on the road and injury concerns only add weight to this prediction. For those looking to bet, the 1X market offers a safe route, while the home win at 1.98 is an attractive option for the more adventurous. The under 3.5 total goals market also looks solid, given both teams’ recent scoring patterns and tactical setups.

In summary, the Genk vs Basel prediction points to a controlled, professional performance from the home side, likely resulting in a 2:0 victory. With possession, shots, and squad value all tilting in Genk’s favor, this Europa League night could see the Belgian outfit take a big step towards the knockout stages.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Genk vs Basel

1X -323

Genk to win or draw with odds of -323
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -102

Genk is expected to win with odds of -102
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -182

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No 140

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U5.5 -217

Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.23
xG
1.36
60%
Ball Possession
40%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
3

Average / Match

1.24
Expected Goals
1.84
2.4
Total Goals
2.5
1.4
Goals Scored
1.5
1
Goals Against
1
59%
Possession
53%
14
Total Shots
16
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.2
5.3
Shots off Goal
6.1
9.2
Fouls
14.4
4.6
Corners
5.6
1.9
Offsides
1.7
1
Yellow Cards
1.9
549
Total Passes
436

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
2
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Genk
0 - 0 - 0
Basel

Profile time Recent Matches of Genk

19 Dec Charleroi Charleroi.
-
Genk. Genk
14 DecD Genk Genk.
1:1
Westerlo. Westerlo
11 DecL Midtjylland Midtjylland.
1:0
Genk. Genk
07 DecL Antwerp Antwerp.
3:0
Genk. Genk
04 DecL Genk Genk.
1:3
Anderlecht. Anderlecht
30 NovW Genk Genk.
2:1
Leuven. Leuven
27 NovW Genk Genk.
2:1
Basel. Basel
23 NovL Genk Genk.
0:1
KV Mechelen. KV Mechelen
09 NovD Gent Gent.
1:1
Genk. Genk
06 NovW Braga Braga.
3:4
Genk. Genk

Profile time Recent Matches of Basel

20 DecBasel Basel.
-
Servette.Servette
17 DecWLuzern Luzern.
1:2
Basel.Basel
14 DecDBasel Basel.
0:0
Lausanne.Lausanne
11 DecLBasel Basel.
1:2
Aston Villa.Aston Villa
07 DecWWinterthur Winterthur.
1:2
Basel.Basel
04 DecWGrand-Sac Grand-Sac.
1:3
Basel.Basel
30 NovDBasel Basel.
0:0
St. Gallen.St. Gallen
27 NovLGenk Genk.
2:1
Basel.Basel
23 NovDGrasshoppers Grasshoppers.
1:1
Basel.Basel
09 NovLBasel Basel.
0:1
Lugano.Lugano

World - UEFA Europa League World - UEFA Europa League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lyon Lyon5
11-2
12
2 FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland5
12-5
12
3 Aston Villa Aston Villa5
8-3
12
4 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg5
8-3
11
5 Real Betis Real Betis5
8-3
11
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi T5
9-5
11
7 SC Braga SC Braga5
9-5
10
8 FC Porto FC Porto5
7-4
10
9 Genk Genk5
7-5
10
10 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo5
11-7
9
11 Lille Lille5
10-6
9
12 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart5
8-4
9
13 Plzen Plzen5
6-2
9
14 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos5
9-7
9
15 AS Roma AS Roma5
7-5
9
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham For5
9-5
8
17 PAOK PAOK5
10-7
8
18 Bologna Bologna5
7-4
8
19 Brann Brann5
6-3
8
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe5
5-5
8
21 Celtic Celtic5
7-8
7
22 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvez5
4-5
7
23 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb5
7-10
7
24 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 18935
7-7
6
25 Ludogorets Ludogorets5
8-11
6
26 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys5
7-12
6
27 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle5
4-9
6
28 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz5
4-7
4
29 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzb5
5-10
3
30 Feyenoord Feyenoord5
4-9
3
31 FCSB FCSB5
3-8
3
32 Utrecht Utrecht5
2-7
1
33 Rangers Rangers5
2-9
1
34 Malmo FF Malmo FF5
2-10
1
35 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Av5
1-14
1
36 Nice Nice5
4-12
0
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