Genoa vs Bologna Prediction

Genoa vs Bologna Prediction: Key Insights, Odds, and AI Analysis

The Genoa vs Bologna prediction for January 25, 2026, is drawing plenty of attention from Serie A fans and punters alike. With both teams coming off impressive draws against Italian giants, and with the betting odds suggesting a tight contest, this match at Stadio Luigi Ferraris promises to be a fascinating encounter. Let’s dive into the details, tactics, and what our AI thinks about this fixture.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head

Genoa, currently in 16th place with 20 points from 21 matches, have been quietly building resilience under the guidance of Daniele De Rossi. Their recent form includes a gritty 1-1 draw away at AC Milan, a goalless stalemate with Parma, and a morale-boosting 3-0 victory over Cagliari. De Rossi has favored a 3-5-2 setup, aiming to keep things tight at the back while relying on the directness of Lorenzo Colombo, their top scorer, and the creativity of Aarón Martín.

Bologna, sitting a more comfortable 8th with 30 points, have had a bumpier ride lately. Vincenzo Italiano’s men have only one win in their last five Serie A games, though they did manage a spirited 2-2 draw with Celtic in the Europa League just three days before this fixture. The Rossoblù usually line up in a 4-2-3.4, with Riccardo Orsolini leading the scoring charts and Nicolò Cambiaghi providing assists from midfield. Lewis Ferguson’s return from injury has been gradual, but his presence is always a boost.

Looking at their head to head record, neither side has been able to dominate. Their last meeting saw Bologna edge a 2-1 win at home in September 2025, but previous encounters have been evenly split, including a memorable 2-2 draw in October 2024. These two are no strangers to drama, and with both having drawn against top opposition recently, confidence will be quietly simmering in both camps.

Injuries, Suspensions, and Squad Value

• Genoa are missing Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Albert Grønbæk, Benjamin Siegrist, and Caleb Ekuban through injury, while Leo Østigård is suspended. Jean Onana is away on AFCON duty, but the arrival of Dutch keeper Justin Bijlow could prove timely.
• Bologna are without Martin Vitík, Federico Bernardeschi, Jhon Lucumí, and Juan Miranda, with Santiago Castro sidelined by illness. Orsolini and Vitík are not fully fit after their European exploits, but veteran goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski is back in the squad.

It’s worth noting the team values: Genoa’s squad is valued at €132.90m, while Bologna’s is more than double at €289.50m, reflecting the visitors’ deeper resources.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Match Insights

Turning to the Genoa vs Bologna prediction from our AI, the numbers tell a story of a closely-fought battle. The current betting odds are:

• Home win: 3.4
• Draw: 3.45
• Away win: 2.45

Our AI tips the X2 market (Bologna win or draw) as the best wager, albeit with a low confidence rating of 2.0 out of 10 and odds of 1.38. The 1x2 market prediction also leans X2, again with modest confidence. In terms of total goals, under 2.5 goals is strongly preferred, with a projected final score of 1-1 and a first-half deadlock at 0-0.

Statistically, Bologna are expected to control the ball (56% possession), take more shots (15 vs. Genoa’s 9), and earn more corners (3 to 2). However, both teams are forecasted to be fairly even in terms of shots on target (4 for Bologna, 3 for Genoa). The AI expects a disciplined affair, with Genoa likely avoiding yellow cards altogether while Bologna may pick up a couple.

Final Thoughts: Genoa vs Bologna Prediction

In summary, our Genoa vs Bologna prediction suggests a tightly-contested match, with the away side having a slight statistical edge. Both teams have shown they can dig deep against tough opposition, and with recent head to head results offering little to separate them, another draw seems likely. Expect a tactical battle, possibly low on goals but high on tension.

If you’re betting, the smart money might be on under 2.5 total goals or backing Bologna not to lose (X2). But as always in Serie A, surprises are never far away. Just don’t expect either goalkeeper to have a quiet afternoon!