Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction

Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction: Stats, Tips, and a Battle at the Bottom

Welcome to our Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction, where two Serie A sides desperate for points meet at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Sunday, November 9, 2025, at 14:00 GMT. With both teams languishing at the foot of the table, fans can expect a tense, tactical affair—perhaps not a goal fest, but certainly a match full of intrigue and, let’s be honest, a bit of nail-biting.

Team Form, Tactics, and Recent Turmoil

Let’s set the scene. Genoa, currently 18th with just 6 points, and Fiorentina, rock bottom with 4, are both searching for a spark. Genoa have managed only one win in their last ten Serie A outings, with three draws and six losses. Their home form? Well, let’s just say the Luigi Ferraris hasn’t exactly been a fortress—no wins in eight of their last ten home games and not a single goal scored in the last three.

Fiorentina, meanwhile, have yet to taste victory this season. Four draws and six defeats tell a story of a team struggling at both ends of the pitch, averaging just 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their away record is equally uninspiring, with five winless trips in their last six.

Both clubs have been busy in the boardroom as well as on the pitch. Genoa recently parted ways with Patrick Vieira, handing the reins to Daniele De Rossi—though he’ll be watching from the stands due to a suspension. Fiorentina, not to be outdone, dismissed Stefano Pioli and have installed Daniele Galloppa as interim coach, with whispers of Roberto Mancini possibly taking over soon. If you think the dugouts will be calm, think again.

Head to Head: History Favors the Viola

Looking at the head to head record, Fiorentina have enjoyed the upper hand. Out of 32 previous meetings, they’ve won 14, Genoa just 3, with 15 draws. Genoa haven’t beaten Fiorentina in their last six encounters, and half of their last 18 matches have ended all square. In their most recent meeting on October 31, 2024, Fiorentina edged Genoa 1-0.

• Squad value: Genoa €141.95m, Fiorentina €285.35m
• Key absentees: Fiorentina miss Tariq Lamptey (cruciate ligament) and Robin Gosens (thigh strain)
• Likely formations: Both sides expected to stick with a 3-5-2

Betting Tips, Predictions, and What the Numbers Say

Now, let’s talk numbers and Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction tips. Bookmakers can barely split them, with both a home and away win priced at 2.75, and a draw at 3.0. Our AI leans towards X2 (Fiorentina win or draw) as the best tip, albeit with a modest confidence rating of 2.2/10 and odds of 1.44. The 1x2 prediction algorithm slightly favors a draw (X) at 3.0, again with a trust score of 2.2.

If you’re hoping for fireworks, you may want to temper expectations. The AI suggests under 2.5 goals (odds 1.53, trust 2.0), with a predicted final score of 0:0 and even the first half expected to end goalless. Both teams are forecast to have a near-equal share of possession (Genoa 49%, Fiorentina 51%), with 13 shots for Genoa and 12 for Fiorentina, but only three on target each. Corners? Seven in total. Yellow cards? Two apiece. In other words, expect a tactical chess match rather than a wild shootout.

1. Best tip: X2 (Fiorentina win or draw) at 1.44
2. Alternative: Under 2.5 goals at 1.53
3. Correct score prediction: 0:0

Final Thoughts: A Tight Affair Awaits

With both teams desperate for points and struggling for form, our Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction is for a low-scoring, hard-fought contest. The stats, recent form, and head to head record all point to a draw or a narrow edge for the visitors. If you’re looking for betting tips, backing Fiorentina to avoid defeat or betting under 2.5 goals looks the safest play. It may not be a classic, but for fans of tactical battles and high-stakes drama at the bottom of Serie A, this is one to watch.