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Genoa

€134.10m

20 Mar14:45
0 : 2

Udinese

€137.55m

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Genoa vs Udinese Prediction Serie A

Genoa vs Udinese prediction: low-scoring value at Ferraris

Genoa vs Udinese prediction time is here, and the calendar says Friday, 20 March 2.256 (19:45 GMT) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. Genoa arrive with the kind of momentum that makes home fans believe in “just one more win,” while Udinese look like a solid mid-table side that can spoil the mood if you let them hang around.

Match context, form, and what to expect tactically

Serie A Round 30 puts two teams in a familiar part of the table: Genoa are sitting 13th on 33 points and have created a healthy nine-point cushion from the bottom three. Daniele De Rossi has them playing with more purpose lately, especially at home, where they’ve won four of their last five. The recent run has been loud too: a dramatic 2-1 home win over Roma (March 8), then a controlled 2-0 away victory at Hellas Verona (March 15) where Genoa largely dictated the rhythm.

Udinese, meanwhile, are comfortable in mid-table (around 11th/12th) but have hit a small speed bump. They lost 1-0 at home to Juventus on March 14, after an entertaining 2.25 draw away to Atalanta. That Atalanta result showed they can punch up, but the Juventus game also underlined a recent issue: against stronger or more organised opponents, creating clear chances has not always been easy.

Team news that can shape the game

Genoa have a notable absence: attacking midfielder Tommaso Baldanzi is ruled out, which can reduce the “between-the-lines” creativity. The good news is Patrizio Masini returns after serving a one-game suspension, adding energy and balance in midfield—useful if Genoa want to keep Udinese penned in and control transitions.

  • Genoa’s likely approach: patient possession, push play into wide areas, and keep the defensive structure tight to protect against counters.
  • Udinese’s likely approach: compact shape, wait for mistakes, and attack quickly when space opens—especially if Genoa commit numbers forward.

Head to head and the “small margins” trend

The head to head leans towards tight games, and the last meeting on 2.255-04-04 finished 1-0 to Genoa. It’s also worth noting how both teams have recently produced surprise results away from home. Genoa held AC Milan 1-1 on 2.256-01-08 despite huge pre-match betting odds (8.5), while Udinese drew 2.25 at Atalanta on 2.256-03-07 with long odds (5.9). In other words: both sides can stay alive in matches even when the script says otherwise.

Squad value is almost identical (€134.10m Genoa vs €137.55m Udinese), so this doesn’t feel like a mismatch. It feels like a typical Serie A evening where one goal can decide everything.

Genoa vs Udinese prediction: NerdyTips AI picks and betting odds

For the main market, the betting odds point slightly to Genoa: Home 2.25, Draw 3.15, Away 3.9. Our Genoa vs Udinese prediction model agrees with that lean, but it prefers safety over heroics.

  • Best value bet: 1X (Genoa win or draw) at 1.29 odds, trust 7.4/10
  • 1X2 pick: Genoa to win (1) at 2.25 odds, trust 6.3/10
  • Total goals: Under 2.5 at 1.55 odds, trust 2.1/10

That “1X” recommendation fits the match story: Genoa’s strong home run, Udinese’s ability to resist and nick points, and the general sense of a game decided by details rather than fireworks.

Expected match stats and scoreline tips

The numbers paint a controlled Genoa performance: projected possession is 58% to 42%, with shots at 14-9 and on-target efforts 4-3. Corners are forecast at 4-4 (8 total), suggesting phases of pressure without constant panic. Cards are expected to be calm too (0 for Genoa, 1 for Udinese), which usually supports a slower tempo and fewer total goals.

  • Final score prediction: 1-0
  • Half-time prediction: 0-0

If you want the clean reading: Genoa’s form and home comfort make them the more reliable side, but Udinese are stubborn enough that taking the “win or draw” cushion makes sense. Expect a measured game, a few decent chances, and one moment that decides it.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Genoa didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Genoa vs Udinese

1X -345

Genoa to win or draw with odds of -345
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 125

Genoa is expected to win with odds of 125
6/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -172

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -128

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -238

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.38
xG
0.9
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
4

Average / Match

1.2
Expected Goals
0.98
2.8
Total Goals
2.5
1.7
Goals Scored
1.3
1.1
Goals Against
1.2
49%
Possession
44%
12.1
Total Shots
9.6
4.4
Shots on Goal
3.1
4.2
Shots off Goal
4
12.6
Fouls
14.5
3.6
Corners
4.1
0.8
Offsides
1.4
1.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
408
Total Passes
353

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Genoa
9 - 11 - 10
Udinese
Udinese Udinese 08-Dec-25
1:2
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 01-Dec-24
0:2
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 01-Oct-23
2:2
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 28-Nov-21
0:0
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 22-Nov-20
1:0
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 05-Jul-20
2:2
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 28-Aug-10
0:1
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 06-May-12
2:0
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 30-Sep-12
0:0
Genoa Genoa
Udinese Udinese 24-Sep-13
1:0
Genoa Genoa

Profile time Recent Matches of Genoa

26 AprL Genoa Genoa 0 Como Como 2
19 AprW Pisa Pisa 1 Genoa Genoa 2
12 AprW Genoa Genoa 2 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1
06 AprL Juventus Juventus 2 Genoa Genoa 0
20 MarL Genoa Genoa 0 Udinese Udinese 2
15 MarW Hellas V Hellas V 0 Genoa Genoa 2
08 MarW Genoa Genoa 2 AS Roma AS Roma 1
28 FebL Inter Inter 2 Genoa Genoa 0
22 FebW Genoa Genoa 3 Torino Torino 0
15 FebD Cremonese Cremonese 0 Genoa Genoa 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of Udinese

27 AprDLazio Lazio 3 Udinese Udinese 3
18 AprLUdinese Udinese 0 Parma Parma 1
11 AprWAC Milan AC Milan 0 Udinese Udinese 3
06 AprDUdinese Udinese 0 Como Como 0
20 MarWGenoa Genoa 0 Udinese Udinese 2
14 MarLUdinese Udinese 0 Juventus Juventus 1
07 MarDAtalanta Atalanta 2 Udinese Udinese 2
02 MarWUdinese Udinese 3 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0
23 FebLBologna Bologna 1 Udinese Udinese 0
15 FebLUdinese Udinese 1 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2

Italy - Serie A Italy - Serie A

Team M G P
1 InterInter3480-3179
2 NapoliNapoli3452-3369
3 AC MilanAC Milan3448-2767
4 JuventusJuventus3457-2964
5 ComoComo3459-2861
6 AS RomaAS Roma3448-2961
7 AtalantaAtalanta3447-3254
8 LazioLazio3437-3348
9 BolognaBologna3442-4148
10 SassuoloSassuolo3441-4446
11 UdineseUdinese3441-4644
12 ParmaParma3425-4042
13 TorinoTorino3439-5641
14 GenoaGenoa3440-4839
15 FiorentinaFiorentina3438-4537
16 CagliariCagliari3436-4936
17 LecceLecce3422-4629
18 CremoneseCremonese3426-5128
19 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3423-5619
20 PisaPisa3424-6118
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