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Match Prediction

Gent vs St. Truiden Prediction

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Jupiler Pro League

Gent

€60.85m

30 Nov18:15
1 : 2

St. Truiden

€29.12m

Preview

Gent vs St. Truiden Prediction Jupiler Pro League

Gent vs St. Truiden Prediction: Odds, Stats, and Expert Analysis

The Jupiler Pro League serves up a fascinating fixture on November 30, 2.3, as Gent welcome St. Truiden to the Planet Group Arena for a match that could have real implications in the race for the top six. If you’re searching for a reliable Gent vs St. Truiden prediction, you’re in the right place—this preview breaks down the latest stats, betting odds, and tactical nuances, all with a touch of seasoned sports journalism.

Form, Tactics, and Team News: What to Expect on the Pitch

Both Gent and St. Truiden have plenty to play for, with the visitors sitting 4th and the hosts just behind in 6th. St. Truiden arrive in impressive form, unbeaten in five of their last six league matches and boasting four wins in their last eight away trips. Gent, meanwhile, have been solid at home, unbeaten in their last three with two wins and a draw, averaging a robust 3.33 goals scored and conceding just 0.33 per game in that stretch.

  • Head to head history leans towards Gent, who have won 12 of their 24 meetings, compared to St. Truiden’s 7, with 5 draws.
  • Gent have not lost to St. Truiden in 13 of their last 14 home games.
  • However, St. Truiden took the spoils in the first leg this season, winning 3-1 on July 27, 2.3.

On the tactical front, Gent—now under Ivan Leko since July—are sticking to their tried-and-tested 3-4-1-2, focusing on right-flank attacks and intense pressing. Injuries to defenders Jean-Kévin Duverne, Siebe Van der Heyden, and Hatim Es-Saoubi might force some tweaks, but their core remains strong.

St. Truiden, led by Wouter Vrancken, have adopted a flexible approach, alternating between a 4-4-2 and 3.6-2, emphasizing possession and quick transitions. They’ll be without Loïc Lapoussin and Abdoulaye Sissako, but their consistent starting eleven and penchant for long shots keep them dangerous.

Key Stats and Recent Results

  • Gent’s squad value is €60.85m, more than double St. Truiden’s €29.12m.
  • In their last meeting (2024-12-07), Gent won 2-0.
  • Gent recently held Club Brugge KV to a 1-1 draw, defying the odds.
  • St. Truiden surprised many with a 0-0 draw at Union St. Gilloise, despite being heavy underdogs.

With both teams showing resilience and tactical discipline, this fixture promises a tight contest. Gent will be eager to avenge their earlier defeat, while St. Truiden’s away form and recent results suggest they won’t be easy to break down.

Gent vs St. Truiden Prediction: AI Insights and Betting Odds

Let’s turn to the numbers and see what our AI-driven models and the latest sports betting odds are telling us for this Gent vs St. Truiden prediction.

  • Betting odds currently stand at 2.3 for a Gent win, 3.6 for a draw, and 3.15 for a St. Truiden victory.
  • Our AI leans towards a 1X outcome (Gent win or draw) as the top betting option, with a trust level of 3.1/10 and odds of 1.39.
  • NerdyTips’ AI suggests a straight home win (1) as the best 1x2 bet, albeit with a lower trust score of 2.1 and odds of 2.3.
  • The AI-backed over/under prediction points to over 2.5 goals, with a confidence level of 1.9 and odds of 1.75.
  • Predicted final score: Gent 2, St. Truiden 1. Expected half-time score: 1-0.

Digging deeper, the stats forecast Gent to control 54% of possession, with St. Truiden at 46%. Both sides are expected to register 14 and 13 shots respectively, with four shots on target each. Corners are predicted at 5 for Gent and 4 for St. Truiden, while yellow cards should be minimal—just one apiece.

What does all this mean for your sports betting strategy? The numbers suggest Gent’s home advantage and superior squad value could tip the balance, but St. Truiden’s form and tactical discipline make them a live underdog. The over 2.5 goals market looks tempting, given both teams’ attacking intent and recent scoring trends.

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Smart Money?

  1. Gent win or draw (1X) is the safest bet, especially with Gent’s strong home record and historical edge in head to head meetings.
  2. Over 2.5 goals is a solid option, with both teams expected to create chances and recent matches producing goals.
  3. For those seeking value, a straight Gent win at odds of 2.3 offers a reasonable risk-reward balance.

In summary, this Gent vs St. Truiden prediction points towards a narrow home win, but don’t be surprised if St. Truiden make life difficult. Expect a tactically rich contest, a few goals, and plenty of action for your sports betting slip. As always, keep an eye on the latest team news and betting odds before kick-off at 18:15 GMT.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Gent didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Gent vs St. Truiden

1X -256

Gent to win or draw with odds of -256
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 130

Gent is expected to win with odds of 130
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -149

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -182

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -152

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.56
xG
1.69
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.42
Expected Goals
1.6
3.3
Total Goals
2.4
2
Goals Scored
1.1
1.3
Goals Against
1.3
54%
Possession
53%
12.4
Total Shots
14
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.1
4.9
Shots off Goal
5.2
10.7
Fouls
12
4.7
Corners
5.1
1.1
Offsides
3.2
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
0.14
Red Cards
0.14
479
Total Passes
437

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
5
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Gent
15 - 6 - 7
St. Truiden
St. Truiden St. Truiden 27-Jul-25
3:1
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 07-Dec-24
2:0
St. Truiden St. Truiden
St. Truiden St. Truiden 06-Oct-24
1:1
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 25-May-24
2:0
St. Truiden St. Truiden
St. Truiden St. Truiden 23-Apr-24
0:2
Gent Gent
St. Truiden St. Truiden 01-Feb-24
4:1
Gent Gent
St. Truiden St. Truiden 06-Dec-23
0:1
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 20-Aug-23
2:2
St. Truiden St. Truiden
St. Truiden St. Truiden 22-Jan-23
0:3
Gent Gent
Gent Gent 30-Jul-22
1:1
St. Truiden St. Truiden

Profile time Recent Matches of Gent

14 Dec Gent Gent.
-
Antwerp. Antwerp
06 DecD Union S Union S.
1:1
Gent. Gent
03 DecW Cercle B Cercle B.
1:3
Gent. Gent
30 NovL Gent Gent.
1:2
St. Truiden. St. Truiden
22 NovD Westerlo Westerlo.
0:0
Gent. Gent
09 NovD Gent Gent.
1:1
Genk. Genk
02 NovL Leuven Leuven.
4:0
Gent. Gent
30 OctW Gent Gent.
5:0
Patro Eisden. Patro Eisden
25 OctW Gent Gent.
4:0
Standard . Standard
19 OctL Waregem Waregem.
4:1
Gent. Gent

Profile time Recent Matches of St. Truiden

13 DecAnderlecht Anderlecht.
-
St. Truiden.St. Truiden
06 DecWSt. Truiden St. Truiden.
3:2
Club B.Club B
03 DecDAntwerp Antwerp.
3:3
St. Truiden.St. Truiden
30 NovWGent Gent.
1:2
St. Truiden.St. Truiden
23 NovWLeuven Leuven.
1:2
St. Truiden.St. Truiden
09 NovWSt. Truiden St. Truiden.
1:0
Standard .Standard
02 NovWSt. Truiden St. Truiden.
1:0
Antwerp.Antwerp
30 OctWKnokke Knokke.
0:1
St. Truiden.St. Truiden
26 OctLUnion S Union S.
2:0
St. Truiden.St. Truiden
19 OctDSt. Truiden St. Truiden.
2:2
Anderlecht.Anderlecht

Belgium - Jupiler Pro League Belgium - Jupiler Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill17
32-10
37
2 St. Truiden St. Truiden17
26-20
33
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV17
24-17
32
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht17
23-17
31
5 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen17
21-18
27
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege17
16-20
24
7 Gent Gent17
25-25
23
8 Genk Genk17
21-23
23
9 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem17
23-23
22
10 Antwerp Antwerp17
18-18
20
11 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo17
25-26
20
12 Charleroi Charleroi17
18-22
19
13 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvi17
12-17
18
14 OH Leuven OH Leuven17
18-27
16
15 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge17
20-26
13
16 Dender Dender17
14-27
12
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