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Match Prediction

Gernika vs Real Sociedad III Prediction

Gernika

€2.38m

4 May06:00
3 : 0

Preview

Gernika vs Real III Prediction Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Gernika vs Real Sociedad III Prediction: Stats, Storylines & Smart Bets

Welcome to your essential Gernika vs Real Sociedad III prediction for the big match at Estadio Urbieta on May 4, 2025, at 11:00 GMT. If you’re searching for sharp betting odds, head to head trends, or just a lively story to spice up your sports betting weekend, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down why Gernika are favorites, whether Sociedad III can spring a surprise, and what the numbers—and the narrative—really say.

Why Are Gernika So Heavily Favored?

The betting odds tell a clear story: Gernika are priced at just 1.252 to win, while a draw sits at 5.1, and a Sociedad III upset is a distant 10.0. That’s not just bookie bravado—it’s a reflection of Gernika’s recent dominance, especially at home. Their last head to head meeting saw Gernika cruise to a 3-1 win away (odds 1.9 vs. 4.0), underlining their superiority in this matchup.

  • Home Fortress: Gernika have turned Estadio Urbieta into a tough place to visit, with a string of strong results and consistent scoring form.
  • Recent Upsets: Don’t forget their 1.252 away win at Alavés II (odds 6.0)—a result that sent shockwaves through the division and boosted their confidence.
  • Goal Power: Gernika rarely leave the pitch without finding the net, making them a reliable pick in the 1.252 market and for over 1.5 goals bets.

Sociedad III: Underdogs With a Puncher’s Chance?

Let’s be honest—Sociedad III’s odds are longer than a Monday morning. But if you’re a fan of fairy tales (or just love a good value punt), there’s a glimmer of hope. Their 1.252 away win at Arenas Getxo (odds 8.2) showed they can deliver when nobody expects it. While their form is patchy, they have a knack for the occasional explosive performance.

  • Sporadic Explosiveness: Sociedad III don’t win often, but when they do, it’s usually in dramatic fashion and against the run of play.
  • Nothing to Lose: With the pressure off, sometimes the underdog bites back—especially if Gernika get complacent.

Key Betting Trends & Stats

If you’re looking for a smart Gernika vs Real Sociedad III prediction, here’s what the data and our AI suggest:

  1. Home Win (1): The sharpest bet, with a 6.4/10 trust rating and odds of 1.252. Gernika’s home form and recent head to head record make this the logical pick.
  2. Over 1.5 Goals: NerdyTips’ AI leans this way (trust 2.0, odds 1.33), expecting both teams to get on the scoresheet. Gernika’s attack and Sociedad’s occasional bursts point to goals.
  3. Correct Score: The projected 2-1 final (1-0 at halftime) fits the narrative: Gernika control, Sociedad III fight back, but the favorites hold on.

Head to Head: What History Tells Us

The head to head record is clear: Gernika have the upper hand, winning the last meeting 3-1 away. That result wasn’t a fluke—Gernika’s style and confidence have consistently troubled Sociedad III, who struggle to keep things tight at the back. Still, both teams have shown they can upset the odds on the road, so don’t rule out a surprise entirely.

Final Prediction & Betting Odds Recap

Here’s your quick-fire summary for this Gernika vs Real Sociedad III prediction:

  • Best Bet: Gernika to win (odds 1.252, trust 6.4/10)
  • Value Bets: Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.33), 2-1 correct score (for the bold!)
  • Long Shot: Sociedad III to win (odds 10.0)—for those who believe in miracles or just love a big payout

In the end, Gernika’s dominance, strong head to head record, and home advantage make them the clear pick in the 1.252 market. But if you’re chasing value, keep an eye on Sociedad III’s underdog spirit—they’ve shocked us before. Whether you’re a stats nerd, a casual fan, or a sports betting enthusiast, this match promises goals, drama, and maybe a twist or two. Enjoy the game, and may your bets be as sharp as your predictions!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Real III is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Gernika vs Real III

1 -400

Gernika is expected to win with odds of -400
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -400

Gernika is expected to win with odds of -400
6/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -303

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 184

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -303

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
2.7
1
Goals Scored
1
1.8
Goals Against
1.7

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Gernika
7 - 1 - 4
Real Sociedad III
Gernika Gernika 04-May-25
3:0
Real III Real Sociedad III
Real Sociedad III Real III 21-Dec-24
2:0
Gernika Gernika
Gernika Gernika 31-Mar-24
3:1
Real III Real Sociedad III
Real Sociedad III Real III 18-Nov-23
2:0
Gernika Gernika
Gernika Gernika 18-Feb-23
1:0
Real III Real Sociedad III
Real Sociedad III Real III 02-Oct-22
1:2
Gernika Gernika
Gernika Gernika 13-Feb-22
0:0
Real III Real Sociedad III
Real Sociedad III Real III 26-Sep-21
2:3
Gernika Gernika
Real Sociedad III Real III 09-Jan-21
3:2
Gernika Gernika
Gernika Gernika 18-Oct-20
2:1
Real III Real Sociedad III

Profile time Recent Matches of Gernika

31 Jan Gernika Gernika.
-
SD Logrones. SD Logrones
25 JanW Alfaro Alfaro.
0:2
Gernika. Gernika

Profile time Recent Matches of Real III

24 JanLLeioa Leioa.
2:1
Real III.Real III

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo34
50-24
70
2 SD Logroñés SD Logroñés34
54-29
66
3 Eibar II Eibar II34
45-23
62
4 Utebo Utebo34
55-34
61
5 Teruel Teruel34
41-28
60
6 UD Logroñés UD Logroñés34
42-21
55
7 Ejea Ejea34
46-34
51
8 Deportivo Alavés II Deportivo Alavés34
35-32
49
9 Real Zaragoza II Real Zaragoza34
43-48
44
10 Alfaro Alfaro34
32-47
43
11 Tudelano Tudelano34
43-43
43
12 Gernika Gernika34
39-48
43
13 Barbastro Barbastro34
36-40
40
14 Calahorra Calahorra34
28-39
39
15 Anguiano Anguiano34
32-49
38
16 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad34
31-57
29
17 Subiza Subiza34
36-60
28
18 Izarra Izarra34
31-63
21
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