Getafe vs Villarreal Prediction

Getafe vs Villarreal prediction: value spots and game script

The Getafe vs Villarreal prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026 (15:15 GMT) reads like a classic La Liga tension test at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez: one team looking up at Europe, the other looking over its shoulder. Villarreal arrive chasing a Champions League place, while Getafe are trying to keep daylight between themselves and the relegation line. That contrast in pressure often decides not just results, but the rhythm of the match.

Context, table pressure, and what each coach wants

Villarreal sit around 4th on roughly 45 points, and they finally shook off a five-game winless stretch in January by hammering Espanyol 4–1 on February 9. Marcelino’s side play at a higher tempo than most visitors to the Coliseum, but he has already stressed “patience and precision” for breaking down Getafe’s block. That is coach-speak for: expect long spells of probing before the killer pass.

Getafe, by contrast, hover around 17th with about 23 points, only a point above the drop. They have not tasted a league win since late November and have recently leaned on draws against Girona and Rayo Vallecano. José Bordalás teams rarely melt quietly; they scrap, press, and turn matches into second-ball battles. Off the pitch, reported tension with president Ángel Torres adds another layer of noise to a season already tight on margins.

Team news that shapes the tactics

• Villarreal absences: Pau Cabanes, Willy Kambwala, Juan Foyth, Ayoze Pérez and Alfon González are out; Alfonso Pedraza is suspended. Gerard Moreno is a key doubt, training alone with muscular discomfort, and Thomas Partey is also not fully clear.
• Getafe absences: top scorer Borja Mayoral remains out (knee), with Davinchi and Abu Kamara also sidelined.
• Fresh attacking angle: January loanee Veljko Birmančević (“Birma”) is fit and expected to be central to Getafe’s direct approach.

Head to head notes and a familiar tactical duel

This is the third meeting of the season: Getafe won 2–0 in August, Villarreal answered 2–0 in December. Their most recent head to head on 2025-03.40 ended 1–2 to Villarreal, and that scoreline also matches the general pattern: when Villarreal manage the first goal, games become a chess match rather than a track meet.

There is also the long-running Marcelino vs Bordalás rivalry, usually “long and demanding” in the way neutrals describe with a smile and bettors describe with a notebook.

Getafe vs Villarreal prediction: betting odds and NerdyTips picks

Current 1X2 betting odds price this as a slight away lean: Home 3.4, Draw 3.1, Away 2.4. The squad values underline why the market tilts: Getafe at €80.90m versus Villarreal at €255.80m, even with Villarreal’s injury list.

• Standout pick: X2 (Villarreal win or draw) at 1.35, confidence 5.0/10.
• 1X2 call: Away win (2) at 2.4, trust 4.0/10.
• Total goals: Under 2.5 at 1.55, trust 2.3.10.

Why do these tips connect? Getafe’s recent lack of wins suggests they struggle to turn effort into goals, especially without Mayoral. Villarreal, even when not at full strength, tend to travel with a clearer plan in possession and more ways to create. The cautious lean to total goals under 2.5 fits the expected script: Bordalás compressing space, Marcelino circulating until an opening appears, and neither side wanting to donate a cheap transition.

Correct score lean

• AI final score: 0:1
• Half-time prediction: 0:0

As a final reminder of volatility: Getafe already landed a big away surprise at Athletic (won 0–1 at 6.0 odds), and Villarreal pulled a 1–1 at Atlético at 5.7. Still, for this Getafe vs Villarreal prediction, the safer angle is Villarreal not to lose, with the bolder punt being the away win paired with a low-scoring match narrative.