Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Gijon
€26.50m
Malaga
€16.23m
Preview
The Gijon vs Malaga prediction for January 4, 2026, is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in this round of the Segunda División. With both teams eager to climb the table and recent head to head history adding extra spice, this encounter at El Molinón promises plenty for fans and punters alike. Let’s break down the form, stats, and betting tips to help you make sense of this tightly contested matchup.
Sporting Gijón, sitting 7th with 30 points after 19 matches, have quietly built momentum with three consecutive league wins. Their home record is solid: 14 goals scored (61% of their total) and just 11 conceded, with goals in 9 of their last 10 home games. At El Molinón, Gijón average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, showing a balanced but slightly cautious approach.
Malaga, meanwhile, are 10th with 26 points and have also hit a purple patch—three wins and two draws in their last five. Their most recent outing, a 2-1 victory over Almeria, underlines their attacking intent. However, defensive frailties persist: Malaga have conceded in each of their last 12 matches, and away from home, they’ve struggled—just 7 goals scored and 13 conceded, with only one win in their last eight away trips.
Both sides are led by standout performers. For Gijón, Jonathan Dubasin is a constant threat with eight goals, while Juan Otero’s creativity and shooting make him another to watch. Malaga’s Carlos Rubio leads their line with six goals, but they’ll be missing several key players due to injury and suspension, including Victor and Darko Brasanac.
When it comes to Gijon vs Malaga prediction, history matters. Malaga have had the upper hand in recent meetings, unbeaten in their last five against Gijón (two wins, three draws), including a 2-1 win in May 2025. Out of their last 30 encounters, Malaga boast 13 wins to Gijón’s 6, with 11 draws. At El Molinón, Gijón have won 6 of 15, but Malaga have snatched five away victories—making this fixture anything but a home banker.
Our AI models and betting tips suggest a tight, low-scoring affair. The best tip for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals, with a trust score of 6.5/10 and odds of 1.31. Both teams have shown defensive discipline in recent matches, and their head to head history supports the under market—goals have been in short supply when these two meet.
For the 1x2 market, the AI leans towards X2 (Draw or Malaga) at odds of 1.93, though with a low trust level of 1.9. Malaga’s away record is patchy, but their resilience in this fixture and Gijón’s occasional home stumbles suggest value in backing the visitors to avoid defeat.
In summary, the Gijon vs Malaga prediction leans towards a cautious, tactical battle with few clear chances. Both teams are in decent form, but Malaga’s knack for frustrating Gijón and their recent head to head record can’t be ignored. Under 3.5 goals is the standout betting tip, while the X2 market offers a tempting outsider pick. Expect a chess match rather than a goal fest at El Molinón.
For punters seeking value, stick with the under 3.5 goals market and consider a small stake on Malaga to snatch a point or more. As always, keep an eye on team news before kickoff, but the stats and trends point to a tight, low-scoring affair—perfect for those who love a tense Segunda División encounter.
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U3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323X2 105
Malaga to win or drawUnder 3.5 -323
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -115
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 135
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:1
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|
5
-
6
-
9
|
|
 Malaga |
17-May-25
2:1
| Gijon  |
| Gijon |
21-Dec-24
1:3
| Malaga |
| Gijon |
29-Jan-23
0:0
| Malaga |
| Malaga |
06-Nov-22
1:1
| Gijon |
| Malaga |
09-Jan-22
2:2
| Gijon |
| Gijon |
26-Sep-21
2:1
| Malaga |
| Gijon |
14-Feb-21
1:0
| Malaga |
| Malaga |
22-Oct-20
1:0
| Gijon |
| Gijon |
13-Jul-20
2:1
| Malaga |
Recent Matches of Gijon| 17 Jan |
Cultural .
|
-
| Gijon.
| |
| 09 Jan | L |
Cadiz CF.
|
3:2
| Gijon.
|
| 04 Jan | L |
Gijon.
|
1:3
| Malaga.
|
| 20 Dec | W |
Leganes.
|
0:1
| Gijon.
|
| 16 Dec | L |
Gijon.
|
0:2
| Valencia.
|
| 13 Dec | W |
Gijon.
|
1:0
| Granada CF.
|
| 06 Dec | W |
Real II.
|
0:1
| Gijon.
|
| 03 Dec | W |
Mirandes.
|
0:2
| Gijon.
|
| 28 Nov | D |
Gijon.
|
1:1
| Andorra.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Huesca.
|
2:0
| Gijon.
|
Recent Matches of Malaga
| 11 Jan | W | Malaga. |
2:1 |
Ceuta. |
| 05 Jan | D | Malaga. |
0:0 |
Telstar. |
| 04 Jan | W | Gijon. |
1:3 |
Malaga. |
| 21 Dec | W | Malaga. |
2:1 |
Almeria. |
| 14 Dec | W |  Albacete. |
1:3 |
Malaga. |
| 08 Dec | D | Malaga. |
1:1 |
Zaragoza. |
| 03 Dec | L |  CF Talavera. |
2:1 |
Malaga. |
| 29 Nov | D |  Valladolid. |
1:1 |
Malaga. |
| 23 Nov | W | Malaga. |
3:2 |
Mirandes. |
| 17 Nov | L |  Cultural . |
1:0 |
Malaga. |
Spain - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santand | 21 | 45-31 | 38 |
| 2 |
Las Palmas | 21 | 26-13 | 38 |
| 3 |
Almeria | 21 | 40-30 | 36 |
| 4 |
Castellón | 21 | 34-25 | 35 |
| 5 |
Deportivo La C | 21 | 35-24 | 34 |
| 6 |
Cadiz | 21 | 25-23 | 34 |
| 7 |
Malaga | 21 | 31-26 | 32 |
| 8 |
Burgos | 21 | 25-20 | 32 |
| 9 |
Cordoba | 21 | 27-24 | 32 |
| 10 |
AD Ceuta FC | 21 | 25-26 | 32 |
| 11 |
Sporting Gijon | 21 | 26-29 | 30 |
| 12 |
Leganes | 21 | 23-21 | 26 |
| 13 |
Valladolid | 21 | 21-23 | 25 |
| 14 |
FC Andorra | 21 | 23-29 | 25 |
| 15 |
Cultural Leone | 21 | 22-30 | 25 |
| 16 |
Eibar | 21 | 23-26 | 24 |
| 17 |
Albacete | 21 | 26-34 | 24 |
| 18 |
Real Sociedad | 21 | 28-30 | 23 |
| 19 |
Huesca | 21 | 20-30 | 23 |
| 20 |
Granada CF | 21 | 23-27 | 22 |
| 21 |
Zaragoza | 21 | 20-34 | 20 |
| 22 |
Mirandes | 21 | 22-35 | 17 |
