Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Portugal
Preview
Welcome to our Gil Vicente vs Nacional prediction for the Primeira Liga fixture on January 17, 2026, at 15.20 GMT. If you’re looking for a friendly, straightforward breakdown of the stats, betting odds, and what to expect when these two sides meet, you’re in the right place. Let’s dig into the details, from tactics to team form, and see where the smart money might go.
Gil Vicente, currently sitting 4th in the league, have been a model of consistency this season. Their defensive record is impressive, conceding just 0.71 goals per game. At home, they’re even tougher to beat, with five clean sheets in their last 12 matches and an 80% unbeaten rate in their last 10 home games. The team’s overall record stands at 7 wins, 7 draws, and only 3 losses from 17 matches, with a healthy +10 goal difference.
Nacional, on the other hand, are down in 13th place and struggling for form. They’ve managed just 4 wins in 16 games, with a negative goal difference of -5. Away from home, things get even trickier: they’ve lost half of their last 20 away games and have only two away wins in their recent run. Their defense tends to leak goals, especially on the road.
When it comes to tactics, both teams are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Gil Vicente, under César Peixoto, focus on controlling the midfield and using the flanks for quick transitions. Players like Samuel Lino and Martim Neto are key to both their attack and defense. Nacional, meanwhile, have been searching for stability, with a managerial change possibly on the cards and several injuries affecting their squad depth.
Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds currently favor a home win for Gil Vicente at 1.78, with a draw at 3.55 and an away win for Nacional at a long 5.2. The market value gap is also notable: Gil Vicente’s squad is worth €28.70m compared to Nacional’s €18.58m.
Our AI-generated Gil Vicente vs Nacional prediction, however, throws a curveball: it actually favors Nacional to win (odds 5.2, trust rating 1.78/10), predicting a 2-1 away victory. That’s a bold call, especially given the stats and recent form, but sometimes football surprises us.
For those looking for a safer bet, the best tip from NerdyTips is over 1.5 total goals (odds 1.38, trust rating 5.0/10). Both teams are expected to create chances: Gil Vicente are projected to have 61% possession, 15 shots (4 on target), and 7 corners, while Nacional are expected to manage 10 shots (2 on target) and 2 corners. The predicted first-half score is 1-1, with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Nacional.
While the AI leans towards a Nacional win, the stats and recent head to head history suggest Gil Vicente have the upper hand, especially at home. The over 1.5 total goals bet looks like the safest play here, given both teams’ attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities. If you’re feeling adventurous, a small punt on Nacional at big odds could pay off, but the smart money is on goals.
To sum up our Gil Vicente vs Nacional prediction: expect a competitive game with at least two goals, a strong showing from the home side, but don’t rule out a surprise if Nacional can find their form. For betting, over 1.5 goals is the tip with the highest trust rating, and the head to head stats back up a lively encounter. Good luck, and enjoy the match!
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Gil Vicente didn't play better in the last H2H match!
O1.5 -263
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2632 420
Nacional is expected to win with odds of 420Over 1.5 -263
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 108
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 176
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:1
1:2
|
|
7
-
3
-
6
|
|
 Nacional |
09-Aug-25
0:2
| Gil Vicente  |
| Nacional |
19-Apr-25
0:3
| Gil Vicente |
| Gil Vicente |
07-Dec-24
2:1
| Nacional |
| Gil Vicente |
27-Nov-22
2:0
| Nacional |
| Gil Vicente |
19-Mar-21
2:0
| Nacional |
| Nacional |
08-Nov-20
2:1
| Gil Vicente |
| Gil Vicente |
22-Apr-18
0:0
| Nacional |
| Nacional |
10-Dec-17
1:1
| Gil Vicente |
| Nacional |
12-Apr-15
3:2
| Gil Vicente |
| Gil Vicente |
30-Nov-14
0:0
| Nacional |
Recent Matches of Gil Vicente| 01 Feb |
Gil Vicente.
|
-
| Famalicao.
| |
| 26 Jan | L |
FC Porto.
|
3:0
| Gil Vicente.
|
| 17 Jan | W |
Gil Vicente.
|
2:1
| Nacional.
|
| 02 Jan | D |
Gil Vicente.
|
1:1
| Sporting CP.
|
| 28 Dec | D |
Arouca.
|
2:2
| Gil Vicente.
|
| 20 Dec | D |
Gil Vicente.
|
2:2
| Rio Ave.
|
| 13 Dec | D |
Casa Pia.
|
1:1
| Gil Vicente.
|
| 08 Dec | D |
Guimaraes.
|
0:0
| Gil Vicente.
|
| 29 Nov | L |
Gil Vicente.
|
0:1
| Tondela.
|
| 09 Nov | D |
AVS.
|
1:1
| Gil Vicente.
|
Recent Matches of Nacional
| 25 Jan | W | Nacional. |
4:0 |
Rio Ave. |
| 17 Jan | L | Gil Vicente. |
2:1 |
Nacional. |
| 11 Jan | D | Nacional. |
3:3 |
Santa Clara. |
| 02 Jan | L |  Guimaraes. |
2:1 |
Nacional. |
| 21 Dec | D |  AFS. |
2:2 |
Nacional. |
| 15 Dec | W | Nacional. |
3:1 |
Tondela. |
| 07 Dec | L |  Alverca. |
1:0 |
Nacional. |
| 29 Nov | L | Nacional. |
1:2 |
Benfica. |
| 23 Nov | L |  Braga. |
4:2 |
Nacional. |
| 09 Nov | D |  Estrela. |
1:1 |
Nacional. |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto | 19 | 40-4 | 55 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP | 19 | 52-10 | 48 |
| 3 |
Benfica | 19 | 42-11 | 45 |
| 4 |
SC Braga | 19 | 37-18 | 33 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente | 19 | 24-16 | 31 |
| 6 |
Moreirense | 19 | 26-26 | 30 |
| 7 |
Famalicao | 19 | 24-14 | 29 |
| 8 |
Estoril | 19 | 37-31 | 26 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes | 19 | 20-27 | 25 |
| 10 |
Alverca | 19 | 19-33 | 23 |
| 11 |
Nacional | 19 | 26-28 | 20 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave | 19 | 22-35 | 20 |
| 13 |
Estrela | 19 | 23-36 | 19 |
| 14 |
Santa Clara | 19 | 14-21 | 17 |
| 15 |
Arouca | 19 | 20-44 | 17 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia | 19 | 20-38 | 15 |
| 17 |
Tondela | 19 | 12-33 | 12 |
| 18 |
AVS | 19 | 14-47 | 5 |
