Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Gimnasia L.P.
€16.88m
Estudiant
€46.58m
Preview
The Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction for the Torneo Clausura semifinal is on everyone’s lips in La Plata and beyond. This isn’t just another chapter in the famous Clásico Platense; it’s a high-stakes derby with a place in the final at stake, and the city is buzzing with anticipation. Scheduled for Monday, December 8th, 2025, at 17:00 UTC at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, this match promises not just fierce rivalry but also tactical intrigue, drama, and, for those watching the betting odds, plenty of food for thought.
Few derbies in Argentina carry the weight and history of Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. The upcoming semifinal is being called the most important in decades, and it’s not just the fans who are feeling the pressure. The match was rescheduled from December 6th to December 8th due to a packed city calendar—La Plata’s authorities had to juggle a Turismo Carretera 2000 race and a major concert, all while keeping the peace. Aprevide, the local sports security agency, stepped in to set the new date, making sure the city could focus on football and not traffic jams.
Both teams arrive with recent form that inspires confidence, but also with some headaches for their managers. Gimnasia L.P., led by Fernando Zaniratto, are riding a four-match winning streak, having dispatched Barracas Central 2-0 in the quarterfinals. Their attack is clicking, and their defense has shown resilience in tight matches. However, injuries have been a recurring theme in 2025. Key players like Facundo Di Biasi (cruciate ligament), Ivo Mammini (knee), and Renzo Giampaoli (knee) have missed significant time, while others like Matías Melluso and Alejandro Piedrahita have battled muscle issues. The squad’s depth has been tested, but their spirit remains unbroken.
Estudiantes L.P., managed by Eduardo Domínguez, also advanced with a gritty win over Central Córdoba and a surprise knockout of Rosario Central. Their squad is valued at nearly three times that of Gimnasia, and their recent away win against River Plate (2-0) shows they can handle big occasions. Still, they’re not without their own problems: Mikel Amondarain is suspended, José Sosa is recovering from a toe injury, and several others have been in and out of the treatment room. The club also weathered a storm of controversy in November, when their president and starting XI were briefly suspended after a guard of honor dispute—but those bans won’t affect this semifinal.
Now, let’s get to what our readers at NerdyTips.com love most: the numbers. The current betting odds for this semifinal are:
Our AI system’s best tip for the Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction is X2 (Estudiantes win or draw), with a confidence of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.31. The 1x2 prediction gives a slight edge to Estudiantes (2) with a trust score of 7.7 and odds at 2.3. For total goals, NerdyTips’ AI suggests under 2.47 goals (trust score 5.0, odds 1.52), which fits the pattern of recent derbies—tight, tense, and low-scoring.
This semifinal is set up to be a classic—full of tension, tactical battles, and the kind of drama only the Clásico Platense can deliver. While Gimnasia’s home advantage and recent form give them hope, the stats, squad value, and AI predictions all lean toward Estudiantes L.P. to at least avoid defeat. If you’re looking for a smart bet, X2 (Estudiantes win or draw) is the safest play, and under 2.47 total goals looks likely given the stakes and recent head to head history.
In summary, our Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction is for a tight, nervy affair with Estudiantes L.P. holding the edge. Expect a chess match, not a goal fest. And remember, in La Plata, nothing is ever certain—except that this derby will be talked about for years to come.
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Gimnasia L.P. no motivation!
X2 -323
Estudiant to win or draw with odds of -3232 147
Estudiant is expected to win with odds of 147Under 2.5 -270
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -182
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -256
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
|
|
1
-
10
-
6
|
|
 Estudiant |
19-Oct-25
2:0
| Gimnasia L.P.  |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
13-Apr-25
1:1
| Estudiant |
| Estudiant |
28-Jul-24
4:1
| Gimnasia L.P. |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
25-Feb-24
0:0
| Estudiant |
| Estudiant |
01-Oct-23
0:0
| Gimnasia L.P. |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
19-Mar-23
2:1
| Estudiant |
| Estudiant |
05-Jun-22
1:1
| Gimnasia L.P. |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
20-Mar-22
1:1
| Estudiant |
| Gimnasia L.P. |
05-Dec-21
4:4
| Estudiant |
| Estudiant |
18-Apr-21
0:0
| Gimnasia L.P. |
Recent Matches of Gimnasia L.P.| 08 Dec | L |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
0:1
| Estudiant.
|
| 01 Dec | W |
Barracas .
|
0:2
| Gimnasia L.P.
|
| 25 Nov | W |
Union S.
|
1:2
| Gimnasia L.P.
|
| 17 Nov | W |
Platense.
|
0:3
| Gimnasia L.P.
|
| 10 Nov | W |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
2:0
| Velez S.
|
| 02 Nov | W |
River Plate.
|
0:1
| Gimnasia L.P.
|
| 19 Oct | L |
Estudiant.
|
2:0
| Gimnasia L.P.
|
| 11 Oct | L |
Gimnasia .
|
1:2
| Talleres .
|
| 04 Oct | W |
Sarmiento.
|
0:1
| Gimnasia .
|
| 27 Sep | L |
Gimnasia .
|
0:3
| Rosario C.
|
Recent Matches of Estudiant
| 20 Jan | Estudiant. |
- |
Ituzaingo. | |
| 20 Dec | W | Estudiant. |
2:1 |
Platense. |
| 14 Dec | D |  Racing Club. |
1:1 |
Estudiant. |
| 08 Dec | W | Gimnasia L.P. |
0:1 |
Estudiant. |
| 30 Nov | W |  Central C. |
0:1 |
Estudiant. |
| 23 Nov | W |  Rosario C. |
0:1 |
Estudiant. |
| 16 Nov | L | Estudiant. |
1:2 |
Argentino. |
| 10 Nov | L |  Tigre. |
1:0 |
Estudiant. |
| 02 Nov | L | Estudiant. |
1:2 |
Boca Juniors. |
| 19 Oct | W | Estudiant. |
2:0 |
Gimnasia L.P. |
