What is the best bet for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is 'under 2.5' at odds of 1.41.

What are the latest odds for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 3.5, Draw - 3, Away Win - 2.82.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'under 2.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.41.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is '2'. The available odds for this selection are 2.82.

What is the predicted final score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our AI predicts a final score of 0:1.

What is the predicted halftime score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be 0:0.

What is the expected ball possession for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our AI predicts Gimnasia L.P. will have 47% possession, while Estudiantes L.P. will have 53% possession.

How many shots are expected in Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

The total number of shots is expected to be 19, with Gimnasia L.P. taking 8 shots and Estudiantes L.P. taking 11 shots.

How many corners are predicted in Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

The match is expected to have a total of 8 corners, with Gimnasia L.P. earning 4 corners and Estudiantes L.P. earning 4 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 3 yellow cards. Gimnasia L.P. is projected to receive 1 yellow cards, while Estudiantes L.P. is expected to receive 2 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of Gimnasia L.P. before the match against Estudiantes L.P.?

The current estimated market value of Gimnasia L.P. is €17.05m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Estudiantes L.P..

What is the squad value of Estudiantes L.P. before the match against Gimnasia L.P.?

The current estimated market value of Estudiantes L.P. is €50.08m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against Gimnasia L.P..

How many goals are expected in the first half of Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Our AI predicts that the first half of Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. will have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of 0:0.

How many total goals are expected in Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.?

According to our AI prediction, the match between Gimnasia L.P. and Estudiantes L.P. is expected to have a total of 1 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 0:1.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

Finished

Argentina

Liga Profesional

Gimnasia L.P.

€17.05m

15 Feb15:00

0 : 0

Estudiant

€50.08m

Preview

Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiant Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

El Bosque derby prediction: a tight Platense night

The Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction for Sunday, 2026-02-15 (20:00 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this derby rarely gives away goals for free. Round 5 of the Liga Profesional Argentina (Torneo Apertura) brings the Interzonal meeting to Gimnasia’s Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, better known as El Bosque, where tension usually travels faster than the ball.

Context, form, and why this derby feels “small margins”

Gimnasia arrive with a respectable early-season base: 6 points from four matches has them hovering around the top half (reported 6th), and Fernando Zaniratto’s first full year in charge has brought clear intent at home. Wins like 3-1 vs Aldosivi and 2-0 vs Barracas Central show they can be direct and effective when the press lands.

Estudiantes, listed 4th, come in with the calmer profile: unbeaten in nine across competitions, and already with statement results in the Apertura like 2-1 over Boca and 1-0 vs Riestra. Eduardo Domínguez’s team has looked built for control first, risks later—an approach that often ages well in derby games.

Team news that can shape the game plan

Availability leans into the “cagey” script. Gimnasia have doubts and absences through the spine, while Estudiantes carry both a suspension and forward fitness concerns—factors that can reduce rhythm and raise the value of set pieces.

Gimnasia absences/doubts: Germán Conti (questionable), Nacho Fernández (recovering), Ivo Mammini (likely out), Facundo Di Biasi (long-term).
Estudiantes absences/doubts: Santiago Núñez (suspended), Guido Carrillo (late test), Lucas Alario (out), Santiago Arzamendia (out), Fernando Muslera (expected to start after returning).

Tactics: two 4-2-3-1 shapes, different priorities

Reports point to both sides lining up in 4-2-3-1, but the emphasis differs. Gimnasia under Zaniratto tend to press higher at El Bosque, trying to win the ball early and let Lucas Castro supply Marcelo Torres. Estudiantes, meanwhile, are more possession-minded, with José Sosa dictating tempo and the wingers attacking the spaces that open after longer spells of circulation—especially if Carrillo and Alario are not fully ready.

One historical detail matters for psychology and betting: Estudiantes have generally travelled well to El Bosque, and Gimnasia have limited recent home derby wins. The last head to head on 2025-12-08 also followed that pattern, ending 0-1.

Betting odds and what the market suggests

The opening betting odds lean slightly toward the visitors: Home 3.5, Draw 3.0, Away 2.82. That fits the squad-value gap too (€17.05m vs €50.08m), even if derbies often ignore spreadsheets. Still, this is not priced as a walkover—more like “Estudiantes edge, but expect resistance.”

NerdyTips AI picks: total goals first, then the result

Our data-driven angle agrees with the derby narrative. NerdyTips’ best tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.41) with a 4.9/10 trust level, and the separate under/over model lands on the same: under 2.5 with 5.0 trust at 1.41. With predicted possession around 47% vs 53% and shots at 8 vs 11 (only 3 on target each), the model is basically saying: “activity, not fireworks.”

Best bet: Under 2.5 total goals @ 1.41
1X2 lean: Away win (2) @ 2.82, confidence 2.1/10
Correct score: 0-1
Half-time score: 0-0

If you want a practical angle: the low 1X2 confidence suggests caution on the match winner, while the total goals call is supported by the shot quality projection, the likely midfield-heavy 4-2-3-1 mirror, and the recent 0-1 head to head. Corners are projected at 4-4 (8 total) and cards at 1-2, hinting at a competitive but not chaotic night—by derby standards, that’s almost polite.

Final word for bettors

For this Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction, the smartest path is to respect the derby’s tight grip: prioritize under 2.5 goals, then consider Estudiantes on the win line only if you accept variance. A 0-0 at the break with Estudiantes sneaking it late is the story our numbers keep rewriting.

El Bosque derby prediction: a tight Platense night

Context, form, and why this derby feels “small margins”

Team news that can shape the game plan

Gimnasia absences/doubts: Germán Conti (questionable), Nacho Fernández (recovering), Ivo Mammini (likely out), Facundo Di Biasi (long-term).
Estudiantes absences/doubts: Santiago Núñez (suspended), Guido Carrillo (late test), Lucas Alario (out), Santiago Arzamendia (out), Fernando Muslera (expected to start after returning).

Tactics: two 4-2-3-1 shapes, different priorities

Betting odds and what the market suggests

NerdyTips AI picks: total goals first, then the result

Best bet: Under 2.5 total goals @ 1.41
1X2 lean: Away win (2) @ 2.82, confidence 2.1/10
Correct score: 0-1
Half-time score: 0-0

Final word for bettors

AI Predictions

Warning

Estudiantes L.P. didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiant

U2.5 -244

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -244

4/10

1x2 Tip

2 182

Estudiant is expected to win with odds of 182

2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -244

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match

4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -175

At least one team is not expected to score

1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -143

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals

1/10

Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

1.63

0.95

47%

Ball Possession

53%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

1.53

Expected Goals

0.88

2.3

Total Goals

1.8

1.5

Goals Scored

1.4

0.8

Goals Against

0.4

41%

Possession

46%

8.4

Total Shots

10.8

3.5

Shots on Goal

3.9

Shots off Goal

4.4

12.5

Fouls

12.2

3.7

Corners

1.6

Offsides

1.1

2.33

Yellow Cards

3.4

309

Total Passes

350

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

1 - 10 - 7

Gimnasia L.P.	^08-Dec-25 0:1	Estudiant
Estudiant	^19-Oct-25 2:0	Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.	^13-Apr-25 1:1	Estudiant
Estudiant	^28-Jul-24 4:1	Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.	^25-Feb-24 0:0	Estudiant
Estudiant	^01-Oct-23 0:0	Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.	^19-Mar-23 2:1	Estudiant
Estudiant	^05-Jun-22 1:1	Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.	^20-Mar-22 1:1	Estudiant

Recent Matches of Gimnasia L.P.

09 Feb	L	Barracas .	2:0	Gimnasia L.
02 Feb	W	Gimnasia L.	3:1	Aldosivi.
28 Jan	L	River Plat.	2:0	Gimnasia L.
24 Jan	W	Gimnasia L.	2:1	Racing Clu.
08 Dec	L	Gimnasia L.	0:1	Estudiant.
01 Dec	W	Barracas .	0:2	Gimnasia L.
25 Nov	W	Union S.	1:2	Gimnasia L.
17 Nov	W	Platense.	0:3	Gimnasia L.
10 Nov	W	Gimnasia L.	2:0	Velez S.
02 Nov	W	River Plat.	0:1	Gimnasia L.

Recent Matches of Estudiant

09 Feb	W	Estudiant.	1:0	Dep. Riest.
02 Feb	D	Defensa J.	0:0	Estudiant.
29 Jan	W	Estudiant.	2:1	Boca Junio.
23 Jan	D	Independie.	1:1	Estudiant.
20 Jan	W	Estudiant.	4:0	Ituzaingo.
20 Dec	W	Estudiant.	2:1	Platense.
14 Dec	D	Racing Clu.	1:1	Estudiant.
08 Dec	W	Gimnasia L.	0:1	Estudiant.
30 Nov	W	Central C.	0:1	Estudiant.
23 Nov	W	Rosario C.	0:1	Estudiant.

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

	Team	Matches	Goals	Points
1	Independ.	4	7-3	12
2	Tigre	4	10-3	10
3	Velez	4	6-3	10
4	Lanus	4	8-6	8
5	Defensa Y	4	4-2	8
6	Estudiantes	4	4-2	8
7	Belgrano	4	4-2	8
8	Platense	4	4-3	7
9	River Plate	4	4-4	7
10	Boca Juniors	4	5-4	6
11	Independiente	4	4-3	6
12	San Lorenzo	4	4-4	6
13	Sarmiento	4	4-4	6
14	Gimnasia L.P.	4	5-6	6
15	Gimnasia M.	4	2-5	6
16	Barracas	4	3-2	5
17	Rosario	4	4-4	5
18	Huracan	4	4-4	5
19	Argentinos JRS	4	2-2	5
20	Union Santa Fe	4	5-3	4
21	Talleres	4	5-6	4
22	Banfield	4	3-4	4
23	Central Cordoba de	4	1-2	4
24	Aldosivi	4	2-4	3
25	Racing Club	4	5-8	3
26	Atletico	4	3-5	2
27	Instituto	4	3-6	1
28	Deportivo	4	1-4	1
29	Newells Old	4	4-8	1
30	Estudiantes de Rio	4	1-5	1