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Match Prediction

Granada CF vs Racing Santander Prediction

Finished

Granada CF

€23.90m

1 Feb16:00
1 : 0

Racing S

€47.72m

Preview

Granada CF vs Racing S Prediction Segunda División

Night in Los Cármenes: Granada vs Racing prediction story

The Granada CF vs Racing Santander prediction for Sunday, 2026-02-01 (20:00 GMT) feels like one of those Segunda nights where the table lies, the stadium lights buzz, and everybody pretends they’re “not looking at the standings” while absolutely looking at the standings.

Granada arrive in 17th with 26 points, still close enough to trouble that every home game comes with a little extra heartbeat. Racing travel as leaders on 44 points, carrying the calm confidence of a team that knows one good month can become a promotion party. On paper it’s simple. On grass, it rarely is.

How the game may breathe: tactics, timing, and absences

Pacheta’s Granada usually lean into an assertive 4-3-3, trying to own the ball and push the game into Racing’s half. That approach has not always turned Los Cármenes into the “fortress” he talks about (only two home wins in 12), but the recent 2-1 win at Cádiz has given them a pulse again.

José Alberto’s Racing typically set up in a balanced 4-2-3.05: not obsessed with possession, more interested in springing forward when you blink. They’ve been strong away from home, winning around half of their recent road matches, and they looked sharp in January with a 4-1 win over Las Palmas and a gritty 1-0 against Deportivo.

Key team notes to know before your betting tips

  • Granada injuries/suspensions: Miguel Ángel Brau and Pablo Insua remain out with muscle issues (late February targets), Pau Casadesus is also missing, and Ricard Sánchez is suspended after a straight red.
  • Granada key men: Jorge Pascual leads their scoring with 5, Souleymane Mame Faye has 6 assists, and Luca Zidane may be busy if Racing find rhythm.
  • Racing injuries/suspensions: Asier Villalibre (10 goals) is expected out until early February, Michelin is sidelined, Arana is a doubt, while goalkeeper Jokin Ezkieta and defender Álvaro Mantilla are suspended.
  • Racing key men: Andrés Martín (10 goals) takes on extra finishing duty, and Íñigo Vicente (13 assists) is the league’s top creative force.

There’s also a neat little “when” story in this match. Granada do a lot of damage early, with 28% of their goals coming between the 16th and 30th minute. Racing, on the other hand, often arrive fashionably late, scoring 24% of theirs between the 61st and 75th. If the first half feels cagey, it might be following the script.

For head to head comfort, Granada fans can point to the last meeting on 2024-12-07: Granada 3-0 Racing. They’ve also been hard to shift at home against Racing in recent seasons. Still, Racing’s squad value (€47.72m) dwarfs Granada’s (€23.90m), and that usually tells over a long campaign—even if it doesn’t always on one night.

Granada CF vs Racing Santander Prediction: odds & model picks

Now for the numbers that matter if you’re building a bet slip. Bookmakers price Granada at 2.47, the draw at 3.35, and Racing at 3.05—basically a “pick your stress” market.

Our most likely outcomes (and what they suggest)

  • 1X2 prediction: Draw (X) at odds 3.35, confidence 2.0/10
  • Goals prediction: Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, confidence 3.05/10
  • Correct score: 1:1
  • Half-time score: 0:0

That draw lean fits the match texture. Racing come in with momentum but without their starting keeper and a key defender, plus Villalibre missing up top. Granada, meanwhile, have struggled to turn home possession into home points. So you can picture a game where Granada control more of the ball (forecast 54% vs 46%) but Racing still land plenty of punches on the break.

The shot map also hints at a tight evening: Granada projected 13 shots to Racing’s 11, and both at 3 on target. Add a corners call of 4-2 (six total) and an even cards forecast (2 yellows each), and you get a game that sounds more like a chess match than a carnival.

Practical betting angles for this fixture

  • Under 3.5 goals is the recommended play: it matches the 0:0 half-time expectation and the 1:1 full-time idea.
  • Draw (X) at 3.35 fits the narrative of Granada needing points and Racing managing risk with defensive suspensions.

One last reminder that football loves a plot twist: Granada once walked into Athletic Club away with massive 12.0 win odds and still left with a 1-1 draw (2024-04-19). So yes, the leaders can wobble, especially on a cold night where the home crowd decides it’s the 12th man again.

Final thought: for anyone searching Granada CF vs Racing Santander prediction and wanting something simple—expect a measured first half, a louder second, and a scoreboard that likely stops at three goals or fewer.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Granada CF vs Racing S

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
3/10

1x2 Tip

X 235

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -137

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -149

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.56
xG
0.95
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.44
Expected Goals
1.03
1.9
Total Goals
3
0.9
Goals Scored
1.7
1
Goals Against
1.3
53%
Possession
52%
12.3
Total Shots
12.8
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.9
5
Shots off Goal
4.7
12.5
Fouls
12.8
4.5
Corners
3.8
2.5
Offsides
2.7
3.17
Yellow Cards
2.67
364
Total Passes
399

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
5
Over 1.5 Goals
9
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Granada CF
3 - 2 - 2
Racing Santander
Racing Santander Racing S 15-Nov-25
2:2
Granada CF Granada CF
Racing Santander Racing S 01-Jun-25
2:1
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 07-Dec-24
3:0
Racing S Racing Santander
Racing Santander Racing S 23-Apr-23
1:0
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 20-Aug-22
2:0
Racing S Racing Santander
Racing Santander Racing S 31-Mar-12
0:1
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 06-Nov-11
0:0
Racing S Racing Santander

Profile time Recent Matches of Granada CF

15 Mar Granada CF Granada CF - Andorra Andorra -
08 MarW Deportivo Deportivo 0 Granada CF Granada CF 2
28 FebL Granada CF Granada CF 0 Malaga Malaga 1
20 FebL Ceuta Ceuta 2 Granada CF Granada CF 1
14 FebW Granada CF Granada CF 5 Valladolid Valladolid 1
06 FebL Leganes Leganes 1 Granada CF Granada CF 0
01 FebW Granada CF Granada CF 1 Racing S Racing S 0
24 JanW Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Granada CF Granada CF 2
19 JanD Granada CF Granada CF 0 Eibar Eibar 0
11 JanD Granada CF Granada CF 0 Castellon Castellon 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Racing S

14 MarCultural Cultural - Racing S Racing S -
08 MarWRacing S Racing S 4 Cordoba Cordoba 3
28 FebWCastellon Castellon 1 Racing S Racing S 3
22 FebWRacing S Racing S 1 Burgos CF Burgos CF 0
15 FebLEibar Eibar 2 Racing S Racing S 1
09 FebWRacing S Racing S 1 Mirandes Mirandes 0
01 FebLGranada CF Granada CF 1 Racing S Racing S 0
25 JanWDeportivo Deportivo 0 Racing S Racing S 1
18 JanWRacing S Racing S 4 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
15 JanLRacing S Racing S 0 Barcelona Barcelona 2

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing29
60-39
56
2 Almeria Almeria29
56-40
52
3 Castellón Castellón29
48-33
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La29
44-33
49
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas29
38-22
48
6 Malaga Malaga29
44-34
48
7 Burgos Burgos29
32-26
46
8 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC29
36-43
44
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon29
38-37
42
10 Eibar Eibar29
32-30
41
11 Cordoba Cordoba29
41-41
41
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra29
36-40
38
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad29
42-41
37
14 Albacete Albacete29
33-39
36
15 Granada CF Granada CF29
34-33
35
16 Cadiz Cadiz29
29-36
35
17 Leganes Leganes29
29-29
34
18 Valladolid Valladolid29
32-41
33
19 Huesca Huesca29
26-37
31
20 Zaragoza Zaragoza29
24-41
27
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural29
27-47
27
22 Mirandes Mirandes29
28-47
24
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