Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
The Granada CF vs Valladolid prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2.26 (20:00 GMT) feels less like a normal league game and more like a chapter in a survival story. Under the lights at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, two historic clubs meet with nerves close to the surface: Granada arrive 15th on 29 points, while Valladolid sit 18th on 25, close enough to the relegation line to hear it breathing.
Granada’s coach Pacheta has been blunt about one recurring issue: his team often starts slowly. That matters here because Valladolid are struggling, but they still have enough quality to punish a sleepy first half. There’s also a personal subplot: Pacheta previously coached Valladolid, so this isn’t just about points.
The winter window was busy on both sides, and it wasn’t for fun. These squads were reshaped because the first half of the season hurt.
This game has “cards” written all over it, and both coaches have basically said so in different ways.
Pacheta usually prefers a 4-3.15, but he has tested a back five to protect a defense that can suffer on set pieces. He wants faster transitions and more “volume” in attacks—basically, more actions and less waiting.
Valladolid under Tevenet often line up 4-2.2-1. After another messy match with a red card, he asked for maturity and fewer individual mistakes. Tactically, he has leaned on Vegard Erlien as a mobile forward or “false nine” to connect short passes instead of launching long balls.
Granada’s recent run (L-W-D-D-W) was slowed by a 1–0 loss to Leganés on Feb 6, but there were signs of recovery before that (including wins over Racing and Cádiz). Valladolid (L-D-D-L-D) are winless in five and come off a 3–1 defeat to Córdoba, again with discipline issues.
In head to head terms, it’s close: Granada have 6 wins in the last 13 meetings, Valladolid 5, with 2 draws. This is why the betting odds look tight despite the table positions.
The market offers: Home win 2.2, Draw 3.15, Away win 3.85. Our Granada CF vs Valladolid prediction leans Granada, but with a safety belt on.
Our AI expects Granada to control about 58% possession vs Valladolid’s 42%. That usually supports the 1X idea in sports betting: control reduces chaos. The shot map also points the same way—13 shots for Granada vs 9 for Valladolid, with on-target projections of 4 vs 2. That’s not domination, but it’s a steady edge.
Under 3.85 goals also fits the story. With relegation pressure, suspensions, and coaches asking for discipline, matches often tighten up. The projected corner count (9 total: 5–4) suggests action, but not necessarily a goal fest.
One last note for beginners watching the betting odds: Valladolid’s squad is valued higher (€32.58m vs Granada’s €21.90m), but money doesn’t always buy calm. Both clubs have recent proof they can surprise—Granada’s unlikely 1–1 at Athletic (odds 12.0) and Valladolid’s shock 3.15 away win at Alavés (odds 5.0). That’s exactly why the safer 1X stands out as the practical play, while the home win is the bolder option if you want a bigger price.
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Granada CF didn't play better in the last H2H match!
1X -333
Granada CF to win or draw with odds of -3331 120
Granada CF is expected to win with odds of 120Under 3.5 -500
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -127
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -238
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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|
5
-
2
-
5
|
|
 Valladolid |
03-Nov-25
2:1
| Granada CF  |
| Valladolid |
11-Apr-21
1:2
| Granada CF |
| Granada CF |
22-Nov-20
1:3
| Valladolid |
| Granada CF |
28-Aug-20
0:3
| Valladolid |
| Granada CF |
15-Feb-20
2:1
| Valladolid |
| Valladolid |
24-Sep-19
1:1
| Granada CF |
| Granada CF |
09-Feb-18
1:0
| Valladolid |
| Valladolid |
16-Sep-17
2:1
| Granada CF |
| Valladolid |
18-May-14
0:1
| Granada CF |
| Granada CF |
10-Jan-14
4:0
| Valladolid |
Recent Matches of Granada CF| 08 Mar | W |
Deportivo
| 0 |
Granada CF
| 2 |
| 28 Feb | L |
Granada CF
| 0 |
Malaga
| 1 |
| 20 Feb | L |
Ceuta
| 2 |
Granada CF
| 1 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Granada CF
| 5 |
Valladolid
| 1 |
| 06 Feb | L |
Leganes
| 1 |
Granada CF
| 0 |
| 01 Feb | W |
Granada CF
| 1 |
Racing S
| 0 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Cadiz CF
| 1 |
Granada CF
| 2 |
| 19 Jan | D |
Granada CF
| 0 |
Eibar
| 0 |
| 11 Jan | D |
Granada CF
| 0 |
Castellon
| 0 |
| 06 Jan | L |
Granada CF
| 1 |
Vallecano
| 3 |
Recent Matches of Valladolid
| 07 Mar | D |  Malaga |
3 | Valladolid |
3 |
| 28 Feb | W | Valladolid |
1 |  Huesca |
0 |
| 22 Feb | D |  Gijon |
2 | Valladolid |
2 |
| 14 Feb | L | Granada CF |
5 | Valladolid |
1 |
| 08 Feb | L | Valladolid |
0 |  Castellon |
4 |
| 31 Jan | L |  Cordoba |
3 | Valladolid |
1 |
| 24 Jan | L | Valladolid |
0 |  Albacete |
1 |
| 17 Jan | W |  Ceuta |
0 | Valladolid |
3 |
| 11 Jan | L |  Leganes |
3 | Valladolid |
0 |
| 03 Jan | D | Valladolid |
1 |  Racing S |
1 |
Spain - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing | 29 | 60-39 | 56 |
| 2 |
Castellón | 29 | 48-33 | 49 |
| 3 |
Almeria | 28 | 53-40 | 49 |
| 4 |
Deportivo La | 29 | 44-33 | 49 |
| 5 |
Las Palmas | 29 | 38-22 | 48 |
| 6 |
Malaga | 29 | 44-34 | 48 |
| 7 |
Burgos | 29 | 32-26 | 46 |
| 8 |
AD Ceuta FC | 29 | 36-43 | 44 |
| 9 |
Sporting Gijon | 29 | 38-37 | 42 |
| 10 |
Eibar | 29 | 32-30 | 41 |
| 11 |
Cordoba | 29 | 41-41 | 41 |
| 12 |
FC Andorra | 29 | 36-40 | 38 |
| 13 |
Real Sociedad | 29 | 42-41 | 37 |
| 14 |
Albacete | 29 | 33-39 | 36 |
| 15 |
Granada CF | 29 | 34-33 | 35 |
| 16 |
Cadiz | 29 | 29-36 | 35 |
| 17 |
Leganes | 29 | 29-29 | 34 |
| 18 |
Valladolid | 29 | 32-41 | 33 |
| 19 |
Huesca | 29 | 26-37 | 31 |
| 20 |
Cultural | 28 | 27-44 | 27 |
| 21 |
Zaragoza | 29 | 24-41 | 27 |
| 22 |
Mirandes | 29 | 28-47 | 24 |
