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Match Prediction

Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

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Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eredivisie

Groningen

€24.88m

14 May14:00
2 : 2

Ajax

€203.55m

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Groningen vs Ajax Prediction Eredivisie

Groningen vs Ajax Prediction: Can the Underdogs Shock the League Leaders?

When Groningen hosts Ajax at the Euroborg on May 14, 2025, it’ll be a classic case of David vs Goliath—except this time, David forgot his sling at home. The gap between these two sides is staggering: Groningen sits 11th with 38 points from 32 games, while Ajax, the runaway leaders, boast 74 points. Our Groningen vs Ajax prediction dives into the stats, odds, and betting tips to see if the underdogs can pull off a miracle or if Ajax will flex their dominance yet again.

The Odds Tell the Story

The bookmakers aren’t exactly hiding their expectations. A home win for Groningen is priced at a juicy 4.9, a draw at 4.1, and an Ajax victory at a modest 1.65. In simpler terms? Ajax are heavy favorites, but those long odds for Groningen might tempt a few brave souls. Here’s the breakdown:

  • Ajax to win (1.65) – The safe bet, but with a trust rating of just 3.9/10, even the oddsmakers aren’t entirely convinced it’s a lock.
  • Over 2.5 goals (1.62) – Our AI-backed best tip, with a trust score of 8.3/10. Given both teams’ tendencies, this feels like a banker.
  • Predicted scoreline: 2-3 – Expect fireworks, with a 1-1 halftime deadlock before Ajax turn on the style.

Stats Don’t Lie (Usually)

Ajax’s €203.55m squad value dwarfs Groningen’s €24.88m, and the stats reflect that gap. Here’s how the numbers stack up:

  • Possession: 42% (Groningen) vs 58% (Ajax) – Ajax will boss the ball, as usual.
  • Shots: 9 (Groningen) vs 17 (Ajax) – More firepower from the visitors.
  • Corners: 2 (Groningen) vs 7 (Ajax) – Ajax’s attacking pressure will pin Groningen back.
  • Yellow cards: 2 (Groningen) vs 1 (Ajax) – Groningen might resort to roughhousing to stop the onslaught.

These stats scream one thing: Ajax control the game, but Groningen might sneak a goal or two on the counter. That’s why the over 2.5 goals bet is our top pick.

Recent Form: Surprises and Statements

Groningen’s recent 2-2 draw against Feyenoord—where they were 11.0 underdogs—proves they can punch above their weight. Meanwhile, Ajax’s 2-0 away win over PSV (as 5.05 outsiders) was a reminder of their big-game pedigree. Here’s the head-to-head context:

  • Last meeting (April 2022): Ajax won 3-1, with odds of 1.22 for the Amsterdam giants.
  • Eredivisie trends: Away wins happen 30.3% of the time, but Ajax aren’t your average away team.

Broader Eredivisie Trends

The league’s stats back our betting tips:

  1. 57.7% of matches see over 2.5 goals – Our 1.62 pick fits like a glove.
  2. Both teams score in 53.2% of games – A 2-3 scoreline wouldn’t shock anyone.
  3. 36.7% of games exceed 3.5 goals – If you’re feeling bold, the over 3.5 market could be fun.

Final Verdict: Ajax to Edge a Thriller

While Groningen have shown they can frustrate big teams (looking at you, Feyenoord), Ajax’s quality should shine through. Our Groningen vs Ajax prediction leans toward an Ajax win, but the real value lies in the goals market. Expect a lively, end-to-end game with plenty of chances—perfect for the over 2.5 goals bet. And if you’re feeling nostalgic for underdog magic, maybe sprinkle a little on Groningen at 4.9. After all, football loves a good upset.

So grab your snacks, settle in, and enjoy what promises to be a fun night at the Euroborg. Just don’t blame us if Ajax make it look easy—we did warn you.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Groningen vs Ajax

O2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -154

Ajax is expected to win with odds of -154
3/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -159

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -303

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
7
2
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.4
Total Goals
3.1
1.6
Goals Scored
1.3
1.8
Goals Against
1.8
48%
Possession
58%
10.2
Total Shots
15.6
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.3
3
Shots off Goal
6
9.6
Fouls
8
3.8
Corners
7
1
Offsides
0.7
1.4
Yellow Cards
1.33
0.1
Red Cards
0.1
416
Total Passes
530

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
7
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Groningen
4 - 4 - 20
Ajax
Groningen Groningen 14-May-25
2:2
Ajax Ajax
Ajax Ajax 06-Oct-24
3:1
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 16-May-23
2:3
Ajax Ajax
Ajax Ajax 14-Aug-22
6:1
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 02-Apr-22
1:3
Ajax Ajax
Ajax Ajax 25-Sep-21
3:0
Groningen Groningen
Ajax Ajax 07-Mar-21
3:1
Groningen Groningen
Groningen Groningen 04-Oct-20
1:0
Ajax Ajax
Groningen Groningen 26-Jan-20
2:1
Ajax Ajax
Ajax Ajax 28-Sep-19
2:0
Groningen Groningen

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Profile time Recent Matches of Ajax

14 DecAjax Ajax.
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Feyenoord.Feyenoord
10 DecWQarabag Qarabag.
2:4
Ajax.Ajax
06 DecWSittard Sittard.
1:3
Ajax.Ajax

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven34
103-39
79
2 Ajax Ajax34
67-32
78
3 Feyenoord Feyenoord34
76-38
68
4 Utrecht Utrecht34
62-45
64
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar34
58-37
57
6 Twente Twente34
62-49
54
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagle34
57-55
51
8 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen34
51-46
43
9 Heerenveen Heerenveen34
42-57
43
10 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle34
43-51
41
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittar34
37-54
41
12 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterd34
39-43
39
13 Groningen Groningen34
40-53
39
14 Heracles Heracles34
42-63
38
15 NAC Breda NAC Breda34
34-58
33
16 Willem II Willem II34
34-56
26
17 Waalwijk Waalwijk34
44-74
25
18 Almere City FC Almere City FC34
23-64
22
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