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Match Prediction

Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction

Finished

Guimaraes

€26.60m

18 Jan15:30
0 : 1

FC Porto

€407.80m

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Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga

Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction: Odds, Stats & Betting Tips

The Guimaraes vs FC Porto prediction is shaping up as one of the most anticipated fixtures in the Primeira Liga calendar, with the action set for January 18, 2026, at 20:30 GMT. Both teams have plenty to play for, but with FC Porto sitting at the summit of the table and Guimaraes eager to build on recent momentum, this head to head promises drama—and potentially a few surprises for sports betting fans scanning the latest betting odds.

Team Form, Tactics & Key Players

FC Porto, the perennial powerhouse, enters this encounter in imperious form. With 49 points from 17 matches (16 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), their dominance is clear. The Dragons have combined a ruthless attack—36 goals scored—with a defense that’s nearly impenetrable, conceding just four times all season. Samu Aghehowa leads the line with 12 goals, ably supported by Borja Sainz and William Gomes.

Coach Francesco Farioli’s tactical blueprint is built on control and precision. Expect Porto to line up with Diogo Costa in goal, a backline featuring Martim, Thiago Silva, Jan Bednarek, and Jakub Kiwior, and a midfield trio of Pablo Rosario, Victor Froholdt, and Gabri Veiga. The attacking trident of Pepê, Sainz, and Aghehowa is likely to test Guimaraes’ resolve from the opening whistle.

Guimaraes, meanwhile, sit sixth with 25 points (7 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). Their campaign has been a mix of gritty wins and tough losses, but a recent 2-1 victory over Braga—at odds of 5.6—shows they can upset the odds. Nelson Oliveira and Oumar Camara, each with three league goals, provide the attacking spark. Coach Luis Pinto favors consistency in his starting XI, and his side’s collective spirit was on full display when they lifted their first League Cup after a 3-1 win over Porto in December.

Injuries, Suspensions & Squad Depth

  • FC Porto are missing Luuk de Jong, Nehuén Pérez, and Tomás Pérez to long-term injuries. Francisco Moura is a doubt, and Zaidu Sanusi is on international duty. The addition of 41-year-old Thiago Silva brings experience to a defense stretched by absences.
  • Guimaraes have their own concerns: Óscar Rivas is out short-term, while Gui and Jose Ribeiro are sidelined until August. Beni Mukendi is away with his national team, and Thiago Balieiro is recovering from illness.

Head to Head: Recent Meetings & Historical Trends

Historically, Porto have dominated this fixture, winning 45 of the last 56 meetings. However, Guimaraes’ 3-1 League Cup triumph over Porto in December 2025 is a reminder that football rarely follows a script. The last league meeting, back in September 2024, saw Porto cruise to a 3-0 victory. With Guimaraes’ squad valued at €26.60m compared to Porto’s eye-watering €407.70m, the gulf in resources is vast—but recent form suggests the underdogs can bite.

Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction & Betting Odds: What to Expect

When it comes to the Guimaraes vs FC Porto prediction, the betting odds tell their own story: Porto are clear favorites at 1.52 for the away win, while a home victory is priced at a lengthy 7.7, and the draw at 4.2. Our AI analysis leans heavily towards Porto, predicting a 2-0 away win with a confidence level of 4.5 out of 10. The expected half-time score? Porto ahead 1-0.

  • Possession: Porto are expected to control 62% of the ball, with Guimaraes chasing shadows at 38%.
  • Shots: Porto should register 13 attempts (5 on target), Guimaraes 10 (3 on target).
  • Corners: The AI tips a total of 7 corners—5 for Porto, 2 for the hosts.
  • Discipline: Guimaraes are forecast to pick up 3 yellow cards, Porto just 1.

For sports betting enthusiasts, our recommended tip is under 3.5 goals (odds 1.29, trust level 4.6/10). Both sides have shown defensive discipline, and with Porto rarely conceding and Guimaraes likely to play compact, a low-scoring affair is on the cards. The 1x2 prediction is a Porto win, but the AI’s confidence level suggests there’s still room for a surprise—especially given Guimaraes’ recent giant-killing exploits.

Final Thoughts: Guimaraes vs FC Porto Prediction Summary

In summary, the Guimaraes vs FC Porto prediction points to a professional, controlled performance from the league leaders. Porto’s firepower, tactical nous, and recent form make them the logical pick for the win. Yet, as Guimaraes proved with their League Cup success, the beautiful game is never short of surprises. For those looking to place a bet, under 3.5 goals looks a solid shout, with Porto’s defensive record and Guimaraes’ pragmatic approach likely to keep the scoreline respectable.

  1. Prediction: FC Porto to win (2-0 final score predicted).
  2. Best Bet: Under 3.5 goals.
  3. Odds: Porto win at 1.52, under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Whether you’re a seasoned sports betting fan or just tuning in for the spectacle, this fixture is set to deliver tactical intrigue, individual brilliance, and perhaps a twist or two. That’s the beauty of football—and the thrill of the Guimaraes vs FC Porto prediction.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

FC Porto has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Guimaraes vs FC Porto

U3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -192

FC Porto is expected to win with odds of -192
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -357

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

1.07
xG
1.78
38%
Ball Possession
62%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
4
2
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.25
Expected Goals
1.91
2.4
Total Goals
2.6
1.5
Goals Scored
2
0.9
Goals Against
0.6
51%
Possession
61%
12.3
Total Shots
14.8
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.8
6.1
Shots off Goal
5.3
16.5
Fouls
13.9
5.1
Corners
5.6
1.5
Offsides
1.7
2.38
Yellow Cards
1.89
355
Total Passes
494

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
9
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
4
3
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Guimaraes
4 - 5 - 28
FC Porto
FC Porto FC Porto 04-Dec-25
1:3
Guimaraes Guimaraes
FC Porto FC Porto 11-Aug-25
3:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
FC Porto FC Porto 24-Feb-25
1:1
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 21-Sep-24
0:3
FC Porto FC Porto
FC Porto FC Porto 17-Apr-24
3:1
Guimaraes Guimaraes
FC Porto FC Porto 07-Apr-24
1:2
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 03-Apr-24
0:1
FC Porto FC Porto
Guimaraes Guimaraes 11-Nov-23
1:2
FC Porto FC Porto
FC Porto FC Porto 27-May-23
3:0
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Guimaraes Guimaraes 21-Jan-23
0:1
FC Porto FC Porto

Profile time Recent Matches of Guimaraes

30 Jan Guimaraes Guimaraes.
-
Moreirense. Moreirense
24 JanL Estoril Estoril.
4:2
Guimaraes. Guimaraes
18 JanL Guimaraes Guimaraes.
0:1
FC Porto. FC Porto
10 JanW Guimaraes Guimaraes.
2:1
Braga. Braga
06 JanW Sporting CP Sporting CP.
1:2
Guimaraes. Guimaraes
02 JanW Guimaraes Guimaraes.
2:1
Nacional. Nacional
28 DecD Casa Pia Casa Pia.
0:0
Guimaraes. Guimaraes
23 DecL Guimaraes Guimaraes.
1:4
Sporting CP. Sporting CP
17 DecL Guimaraes Guimaraes.
0:1
AFS. AFS
13 DecW Rio Ave Rio Ave.
0:1
Guimaraes. Guimaraes

Profile time Recent Matches of FC Porto

29 JanFC Porto FC Porto.
-
Rangers.Rangers
22 JanDPlzen Plzen.
1:1
FC Porto.FC Porto
18 JanWGuimaraes Guimaraes.
0:1
FC Porto.FC Porto
14 JanWFC Porto FC Porto.
1:0
Benfica.Benfica
04 JanWSanta Clara Santa Clara.
0:1
FC Porto.FC Porto
29 DecWFC Porto FC Porto.
2:0
AFS.AFS
22 DecWAlverca Alverca.
0:3
FC Porto.FC Porto
18 DecWFC Porto FC Porto.
4:1
Famalicao.Famalicao
15 DecWFC Porto FC Porto.
3:1
Estrela.Estrela
11 DecWFC Porto FC Porto.
2:1
Malmo FF.Malmo FF

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Porto FC Porto18
37-4
52
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP19
52-10
48
3 Benfica Benfica19
42-11
45
4 SC Braga SC Braga19
37-18
33
5 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente18
24-13
31
6 Moreirense Moreirense19
26-26
30
7 Famalicao Famalicao19
24-14
29
8 Estoril Estoril19
37-31
26
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes19
20-27
25
10 Alverca Alverca19
19-33
23
11 Nacional Nacional19
26-28
20
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave19
22-35
20
13 Estrela Estrela19
23-36
19
14 Santa Clara Santa Clara19
14-21
17
15 Arouca Arouca19
20-44
17
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia19
20-38
15
17 Tondela Tondela19
12-33
12
18 AVS AVS19
14-47
5
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