Gyor vs Debrecen Prediction

Gyor vs Debrecen prediction: leaders host a tricky away test

The Gyor vs Debrecen prediction for Saturday, 2026-01-31 (15:00 GMT) starts with one simple idea: this is Round 20’s headline in NB I, because the table says Győr are first on 38 points and Debrecen are fourth on 34. ETO Park (15,600 seats) should feel tight, loud, and tactical rather than chaotic.

What the game may look like at ETO Park

Győr arrive in great domestic rhythm, riding a five-match winning run and recently putting down a marker with a 3–1 win over Ferencváros. Balázs Borbély’s team is not built to play pretty for 90 minutes; it is built to win moments. With a compact block and fast breaks, Győr often wait for one poor pass or one loose second ball, then strike.

Debrecen, under Sergio Navarro (in charge since July 2025), have leaned into a calmer, possession-first identity. They just edged Diósgyőr 3–2 on January 25 and have been hard to shake away from home, losing only once in nine league trips. If Navarro’s side can keep the ball, Győr’s counter-punches become the main danger.

Key storylines to watch

• Nadhir Benbouali leads the line for Győr with 11 league goals, and the transfer noise (Malmö, Anderlecht) could add extra edge to his evening.
• Daniel Štefulj is the main creative outlet (7 assists), while Milán Vitális has grown into a major midfield piece, now valued around €1.2m.
• Donát Bárány remains Debrecen’s primary scorer (7 goals), supported by Balázs Dzsudzsák’s leadership and Ádám Lang’s minutes-heavy consistency at the back.
• Goalkeeper uncertainty for Debrecen: Ádám Varga’s loan recall created a late question mark, with reports of talks for a last-minute return.

The head to head numbers carry a warning for the league leaders: Debrecen have historically had the upper hand (15 wins in the last 30 meetings, Győr 6). Recent head to head games have also tightened up—0–0 in March 2025 and another draw in October 2025—suggesting a match where patience matters as much as talent.

Gyor vs Debrecen prediction: betting odds and NerdyTips picks

The betting odds lean clearly toward the hosts: Home win 1.57, Draw 4.2, Away win 6.0. That fits the broader picture too: Győr’s squad value (€11.48m) sits above Debrecen’s (€8.80m), and the projections point to Győr having more of the ball and more attempts.

Our model’s match script and markets

• 1X2 pick: Home win (1) at 1.57, confidence 4.8/10.
• Main goals pick: Under 3.5 goals at 1.5, confidence 4.9/10.
• NerdyTips’ AI recommended bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.5, trust level 4.8/10.

Those two ideas connect well. Even if Debrecen try to slow the tempo with possession, Győr are comfortable winning without turning the game into a shootout. The stats expectation supports that: around 61% possession for Győr, 39% for Debrecen, with shots projected at 18–10 and shots on goal 6–3. Add a predicted 9 corners (6–3) and modest discipline (1 yellow for Győr, 2 for Debrecen), and it reads like controlled pressure rather than a wild afternoon.

Correct score lean

For sports betting readers who like a narrative with their numbers, the model’s most likely finishing line is 2:0, with 1:0 at half-time. That respects Debrecen’s road discipline, but also respects Győr’s ability to land the decisive blows—often from set-pieces or one clean transition. For this Gyor vs Debrecen prediction, the safest angle is still the same: keep it simple, and keep it under 3.5.