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Match Prediction

Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction

Finished
Croatia flag Croatia
HNL

Hajduk Split

€40.72m

29 Nov09:30
1 : 1

NK Varazdin

€10.25m

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Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction HNL

Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines

The Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction is on everyone’s mind as Saturday, November 29, 2025, approaches. With a 14:30 GMT kick-off at Stadion Poljud, two of Croatia’s most intriguing sides meet in a match that promises tactical intrigue, statistical nuance, and betting value. Whether you’re a stats enthusiast or simply enjoy a good football narrative, this fixture offers plenty to analyze.

Team News, Recent Form, and Tactical Insights

Hajduk Split, the current HNL leaders, come into this fixture brimming with confidence. Their home record at Stadion Poljud is formidable—five consecutive wins, and five victories in their last six league outings. They’ve been especially dominant in the first half, leading at the break in four of those games and often winning by two or more goals. Yet, their success has been built on defensive solidity: in six of their last eight matches, there have been under 2.5 total goals, and in seven of those, only one team found the net.

Injuries have tested Hajduk’s depth, with first-choice goalkeeper Ivica Ivušić sidelined and key men like Marino Skelin and Marko Livaja recently returning from knocks. Still, Livaja is expected to start, and Hajduk boasts the most clean sheets (8) and penalties awarded (4) in the league. Coach Gonzalo Garcia, appointed in June 2025, has instilled a disciplined, pragmatic style that’s hard to break down.

NK Varazdin, meanwhile, sit fourth in the HNL. Their away form is patchy but not without promise, including two wins on the road. Like Hajduk, Varazdin matches tend to be low-scoring: three of their last five games featured under 1.5 goals, and five of their last eight saw only one team score. Injuries to Petar Bockaj, Roberto Puncec, and Thierry Nevers limit their options, but Aleksa Latkovic and Luka Mamic remain creative threats. Under Nikola Šafarić—now the HNL’s longest-serving coach—Varazdin have built a reputation for stability and tactical discipline.

Key Statistics and Head to Head

  • Hajduk Split have won 30 of their last 44 meetings with Varazdin.
  • Recent head to head: 2 wins each and 1 draw in the last five encounters.
  • In their last meeting (2025-02-08), Hajduk won 1-0.
  • Market value: Hajduk Split €40.72m, NK Varazdin €10.25m.
  • Hajduk’s home possession is projected at 62% with 14 total shots (6 on target).
  • Varazdin expected to have 9 shots (2 on target) and 2 corners.

Betting Odds, AI Tips, and Our Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction

With home win odds at 1.65, a draw at 4.0, and an away win at 6.5, the bookmakers make Hajduk clear favorites. But what do the numbers and our AI say about the best approach?

  1. Both Teams to Score – No (NG): Our top tip for this Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction is that at least one team will fail to score. Priced at 1.6.5 with a trust rating of 6.5/10, this aligns perfectly with both teams’ recent defensive records and the low-scoring trend in their head to head history.
  2. 1X2 Prediction – Home Win: The AI projects a narrow Hajduk victory (expected score: 1-0), with a 6.5/10 trust rating and odds of 1.65. Given Hajduk’s home dominance and Varazdin’s injury list, this feels like a solid pick.
  3. Under 3.5 Total Goals: At 1.27 odds and a 6.5/10 confidence rating, under 3.5 goals is another logical bet. Both sides have been involved in tight, tactical matches, and neither is likely to open up recklessly.

Final Thoughts and Match Storyline

Expect a chess match rather than a goal fest. Hajduk Split’s control of possession and defensive organization, especially at home, should limit Varazdin’s chances. The visitors are disciplined but lack the firepower to break through consistently, especially with several key players sidelined. Our Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction is a 1-0 home win, with the first half likely to end goalless. For punters, the best value lies in NG (both teams not to score) and under 3.5 total goals.

In summary, while football always has room for surprises, the statistics, betting odds, and recent form all point in the same direction: a low-scoring, hard-fought Hajduk victory. For fans and bettors alike, this is a fixture where patience and precision—not fireworks—are likely to win the day.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin

NG -139

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -139
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -154

Hajduk Split is expected to win with odds of -154
6/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -345

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
9/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
6
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.6
1.5
Goals Scored
1.6
0.9
Goals Against
1
55%
Possession
43%
11.9
Total Shots
10.6
5
Shots on Goal
2.9
4
Shots off Goal
4.4
12
Fouls
12.1
5.4
Corners
3.5
2.1
Offsides
0.7
1.86
Yellow Cards
1.38
0
Red Cards
0
426
Total Passes
359

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
2
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Hajduk Split
16 - 2 - 5
NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 13-Sep-25
2:0
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 18-Apr-25
1:1
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 08-Feb-25
1:0
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 03-Nov-24
1:0
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 18-Aug-24
2:1
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 05-May-24
0:1
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 27-Feb-24
5:0
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 24-Feb-24
1:1
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split

Profile time Recent Matches of Hajduk Split

13 DecW Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
1:3
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
06 DecD Din. Zagreb Din. Zagreb.
1:1
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
29 NovD Hajduk Split Hajduk Split.
1:1
NK Varazdin. NK Varazdin
22 NovL Rijeka Rijeka.
5:0
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
08 NovW Hajduk Split Hajduk Split.
2:0
Osijek. Osijek
02 NovD Slaven Belupo Slaven Belup.
0:0
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
29 OctD Cibalia Cibalia.
0:0
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
24 OctW Gorica Gorica.
1:3
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
19 OctW Istra 1961 Istra 1961.
0:3
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
04 OctW Vukovar Vukovar.
0:1
Hajduk S. Hajduk S

Profile time Recent Matches of NK Varazdin

19 DecNK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
-
Istra 1961.Istra 1961
12 DecLVukovar 1991 Vukovar 1991.
2:0
NK Varazdin.NK Varazdin
07 DecWNK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
4:2
Lok. Zagreb.Lok. Zagreb
03 DecDNK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
1:1
Osijek.Osijek
29 NovDHajduk Split Hajduk Split.
1:1
NK Varazdin.NK Varazdin
22 NovLDin. Zagreb Din. Zagreb.
3:1
NK Varazdin.NK Varazdin
09 NovWNK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
1:0
Rijeka.Rijeka
02 NovDOsijek Osijek.
0:0
NK Varazdin.NK Varazdin
25 OctLNK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
1:3
Slaven Belup.Slaven Belupo
19 OctWGorica Gorica.
1:3
NK Varazdin.NK Varazdin

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb17
36-16
35
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Spl17
27-16
34
3 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belu17
26-28
25
4 Istra 1961 Istra 196116
20-20
23
5 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin17
21-22
23
6 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka16
26-19
21
7 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica17
21-26
19
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva 17
20-28
19
9 Vukovar Vukovar17
18-30
15
10 NK Osijek NK Osijek17
16-26
13
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