Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Croatia
Preview
The Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo prediction for Saturday, February 7, 2026 (kick-off 16:15 GMT) comes with a strange mix of tradition and tension. Poljud should be loud as always, but the mood is not the usual party: Hajduk arrive under pressure after two straight defeats and a growing feeling that a promising season is starting to slip. Still, this is exactly the kind of home match where Hajduk usually try to “reset the system” — preferably before the fans reset it for them.
Hajduk sit second with 37 points, yet they are now seven points behind Dinamo Zagreb. That gap feels bigger when you remember how confident the early-season football looked. Back-to-back losses to Gorica (0–1) and Istra 1.551 (1–2) have turned the atmosphere edgy, especially after the earlier European exit. Gonzalo Garcia has been clear that his plan stays the same: possession, control, and territory. He has also admitted Hajduk must be sharper in both motivation and defensive order, because negative runs can become a “vortex” if you let them.
Slaven Belupo, sixth on 27 points, have been inconsistent (L–D–D–L–W), and they recently fell 0–2 to Varaždin. But they can be awkward opponents for bigger sides, especially when they are allowed to sit compact and counter. Mario Gregurina is expected to keep Slaven in a low, organized block, trying to take advantage of Hajduk’s current lack of confidence and any loose defending in transition.
Hajduk’s biggest issue is simple: goals might be harder to find. Michele Šego, the league’s top scorer with 10, is a major doubt, while Marko Livaja is still in rehab and unlikely to start. Add injuries to Iker Almena and Ivica Ivušić, and the home side’s usual rhythm becomes harder to maintain. On top of that, young defender Branimir Mlačić has completed a move to Udinese, a financial boost that does not help Saturday’s team sheet.
Slaven also travel with problems: they are missing Ivan Božić, Ljuban Crepulja, Mihail Caimacov, and Zvonimir Katalinić. Even so, they still have two clear threats — experienced striker Ilija Nestorovski and the creative Adriano Jagušić — which is enough to keep Hajduk’s back line honest.
The market leans clearly to the hosts with betting odds of 1.55 for a home win, 4.0 for the draw, and 7.0 for an away win. That pricing matches the expected game script: Hajduk with around 63% possession, pushing Slaven back, and producing more attempts (projected 18 shots to 12). The corner count also points to territory (7.0 to Hajduk), while on-target efforts are forecast at 6–3.
Still, Hajduk’s injury list explains why confidence is measured rather than absolute. Our Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo prediction for the 1X2 market is 1 (home win) at 1.552, with a trust level of 5.3/10 — a “likely” call, not a victory parade.
The best tip is over 1.5 total goals at 1.32, trust 5.3/10 (our model repeats this for the under/over market too, with trust 5.4). The logic is that even if Hajduk start carefully — the expected half-time score is 0:0 — the second half should open up as the home side increases risk, and Slaven’s counters become more frequent.
Our AI’s correct score leans to a narrow home win, 2–1. That fits the numbers: Hajduk should create the bigger volume, but Slaven have enough experience up front to steal a goal if the home defense switches off for even a minute. In short, expect a tense first hour, then a match that finally remembers it’s allowed to score.
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O1.5 -313
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3131 -182
Hajduk Split is expected to win with odds of -182Over 1.5 -313
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 110
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -213
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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22
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12
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5
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 Slaven Belupo |
02-Nov-25
0:0
| Hajduk Split  |
| Hajduk Split |
17-Aug-25
3:0
| Slaven Belupo |
| Slaven Belupo |
05-Apr-25
0:1
| Hajduk Split |
| Hajduk Split |
26-Jan-25
0:0
| Slaven Belupo |
| Slaven Belupo |
20-Oct-24
0:2
| Hajduk Split |
| Hajduk Split |
04-Aug-24
2:1
| Slaven Belupo |
| Slaven Belupo |
20-Apr-24
0:1
| Hajduk Split |
| Hajduk Split |
11-Feb-24
4:0
| Slaven Belupo |
| Slaven Belupo |
27-Oct-23
0:1
| Hajduk Split |
Recent Matches of Hajduk Split| 21 Mar | W |
Vukovar 1991
| 0 |
Hajduk Split
| 6 |
| 15 Mar | W |
Hajduk Split
| 2 |
Lok. Zagreb
| 1 |
| 08 Mar | L |
Hajduk Split
| 1 |
Din. Zagreb
| 3 |
| 04 Mar | L |
Rijeka
| 3 |
Hajduk Split
| 2 |
| 28 Feb | D |
NK Varazdin
| 1 |
Hajduk Split
| 1 |
| 22 Feb | W |
Hajduk Split
| 1 |
Rijeka
| 0 |
| 15 Feb | W |
Osijek
| 0 |
Hajduk Split
| 2 |
| 07 Feb | W |
Hajduk Split
| 2 |
Slaven Belupo
| 0 |
| 31 Jan | L |
Gorica
| 1 |
Hajduk Split
| 0 |
| 25 Jan | L |
Hajduk Split
| 1 |
Istra 1961
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Slaven Belupo
| 22 Mar | D | Slaven Belupo |
0 |  Osijek |
0 |
| 14 Mar | L |  Din. Zagreb |
4 | Slaven Belupo |
2 |
| 10 Mar | D | Slaven Belupo |
1 |  Lok. Zagreb |
1 |
| 07 Mar | D |  Gorica |
2 | Slaven Belupo |
2 |
| 27 Feb | W | Slaven Belupo |
1 |  Istra 1961 |
0 |
| 20 Feb | D |  Vukovar 1991 |
2 | Slaven Belupo |
2 |
| 13 Feb | W | Slaven Belupo |
2 | Lok. Zagreb |
0 |
| 07 Feb | L | Hajduk Split |
2 | Slaven Belupo |
0 |
| 31 Jan | L | Slaven Belupo |
0 |  NK Varazdin |
2 |
| 24 Jan | D |  Rijeka |
2 | Slaven Belupo |
2 |
Croatia - HNL| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dinamo Zagreb | 26 | 63-22 | 60 |
| 2 |
HNK Hajduk | 26 | 39-25 | 50 |
| 3 |
HNK Rijeka | 26 | 37-27 | 38 |
| 4 |
NK Varazdin | 26 | 33-36 | 37 |
| 5 |
NK Slaven | 26 | 37-42 | 35 |
| 6 |
Istra 1961 | 26 | 31-36 | 33 |
| 7 |
NK Lokomotiva | 26 | 31-40 | 30 |
| 8 |
HNK Gorica | 26 | 29-38 | 28 |
| 9 |
NK Osijek | 26 | 22-36 | 24 |
| 10 |
Vukovar | 26 | 26-46 | 20 |
