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Match Prediction

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction

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Hartberg

€11.10m

30 Nov08:30
0 : 1

Sturm Graz

€53.08m

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Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction Bundesliga

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Smart Bets

Welcome to our Hartberg vs Sturm Graz prediction for the Bundesliga match scheduled for Sunday, November 30, 2025, at 13:30 GMT. As both teams prepare to meet at the Motion Invest Arena, fans and punters alike are searching for the best insights, betting odds, and tactical analysis. Let’s break down what you need to know before placing your bets.

Form Guide and Tactical Overview

This isn’t just another fixture on the calendar—Hartberg and Sturm Graz are neck and neck in the league, sitting 4th and 3rd respectively, each with 22 points after 14 rounds. The hosts, Hartberg, have been quietly impressive. Under coach Manfred Schmid, they’ve put together a six-match unbeaten run across all competitions (three wins, three draws), conceding less than a goal per game on average. Their home form is especially solid: two wins and a draw in their last three, with an average of two goals scored at the Motion Invest Arena.

Sturm Graz, led by Jürgen Säumel, have hit a rough patch. Despite their higher squad value—€53.08m compared to Hartberg’s €11.10m—the visitors have failed to win any of their last six matches (three draws, three losses). Their attack has sputtered, averaging just 0.83 goals per game while conceding at double that rate. Yet, here’s the twist: Sturm Graz’s away record this season is formidable, with six wins and only one defeat on the road. If you’re looking for a team that travels well, Graz fit the bill.

Head to Head and Historical Context

  • Hartberg have managed just one win in their last six home games against Sturm Graz.
  • Sturm Graz have taken half of the last eight encounters at this ground in all competitions.
  • In Bundesliga head to head meetings, Hartberg have lost 67% of their matches against Sturm Graz.
  • The last time these sides met (November 2024), Sturm Graz edged Hartberg 2-1—eerily similar to our AI’s predicted scoreline for this one.

Betting Odds and AI-Backed Predictions

Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds currently stand at 4.4 for a Hartberg win, 3.75 for a draw, and 1.85 for a Sturm Graz victory. Clearly, the bookmakers are leaning toward the visitors, but not overwhelmingly so—perhaps a nod to Hartberg’s recent resilience.

  1. Top AI Betting Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals
    • Odds: 1.25
    • Trust Level: 6.8/10
    • Why? Both teams are expected to create chances (Hartberg 9 shots, Graz 17), and with the last head to head finishing 2-1, the stats point towards at least two goals again.
  2. 1x2 Market: Sturm Graz Win (2)
    • Odds: 1.85
    • Trust Level: 5.3/10
    • Why? Despite recent struggles, Graz’s away form and historical dominance give them the edge. But Hartberg’s form means this isn’t a slam dunk.

Expected Match Stats and Final Score

  • AI expects a 1:2 final score, with Sturm Graz leading 0:1 at half-time.
  • Possession: Hartberg 33%, Sturm Graz 67%—expect the visitors to dictate the tempo.
  • Total shots: Hartberg 9, Sturm Graz 17; both sides are predicted to have 4 shots on target.
  • Corner count: Hartberg 2, Sturm Graz 5.
  • Yellow cards: One apiece—looks like a fair, open contest.

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction: Verdict

Our Hartberg vs Sturm Graz prediction leans toward a competitive game, but the numbers favor Sturm Graz to edge it, much like their last meeting. The safest bet? Over 1.5 total goals, with a solid trust rating. For those feeling a bit braver, backing Graz for the win at 1.85 could pay off, but keep Hartberg’s home form in mind. As always, remember that football has a way of surprising even the smartest models—so bet responsibly, and enjoy the match!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz

O1.5 -400

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -118

Sturm Graz is expected to win with odds of -118
5/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -400

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -143

Both teams are expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -208

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.2
xG
1.44
33%
Ball Possession
67%
9
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
7
2
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
3
1.7
Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Goals Against
1.7
37%
Possession
54%
10.6
Total Shots
13.1
5
Shots on Goal
3.9
3.3
Shots off Goal
5.9
11.1
Fouls
12.4
3
Corners
4.4
1.1
Offsides
2.2
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.8
292
Total Passes
422

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Hartberg
5 - 4 - 12
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 28-Sep-25
1:0
Hartberg Hartberg
Hartberg Hartberg 09-Nov-24
1:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 11-Aug-24
2:0
Hartberg Hartberg
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 05-May-24
1:1
Hartberg Hartberg
Hartberg Hartberg 14-Apr-24
1:3
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Hartberg Hartberg 10-Mar-24
1:1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 21-Oct-23
2:1
Hartberg Hartberg
Hartberg Hartberg 18-Feb-23
1:2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 03-Sep-22
0:0
Hartberg Hartberg
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 27-Feb-22
3:0
Hartberg Hartberg

Profile time Recent Matches of Hartberg

23 JanW Hartberg Hartberg.
1:0
Grosuplje. Grosuplje
19 JanW Radomlje Radomlje.
1:2
Hartberg. Hartberg
15 JanW Din. Zagreb Din. Zagreb.
1:2
Hartberg. Hartberg
13 DecW Hartberg Hartberg.
2:1
Tirol. Tirol
06 DecD Hartberg Hartberg.
2:2
LASK. LASK
30 NovL Hartberg Hartberg.
0:1
Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz
22 NovW Hartberg Hartberg.
2:0
Ried. Ried
08 NovW Wolfsberg Wolfsberg.
1:2
Hartberg. Hartberg
01 NovW Hartberg Hartberg.
2:1
Austria V. Austria V
28 OctD BW Linz BW Linz.
2:2
Hartberg. Hartberg

Profile time Recent Matches of Sturm Graz

29 JanSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
-
Brann.Brann
22 JanLFeyenoord Feyenoord.
3:0
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
14 JanWSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
4:2
FC Copenhage.FC Copenhagen
08 JanDClub B Club B.
2:2
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
14 DecLAustria V Austria V.
3:1
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
11 DecLSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
0:1
Crvena zvezd.Crvena zvezda
07 DecWSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
2:1
Grazer AK.Grazer AK
03 DecLSturm Graz Sturm Graz.
1:3
Tirol.Tirol
30 NovWHartberg Hartberg.
0:1
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz
27 NovLPanathinaikos Panathinaiko.
2:1
Sturm Graz.Sturm Graz

Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull16
34-20
29
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz16
26-20
28
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz16
22-20
26
4 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna16
20-20
24
5 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC16
24-19
24
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg16
24-21
23
7 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna16
22-25
23
8 Ried Ried16
20-23
23
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach16
18-16
21
10 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens16
23-24
21
11 Grazer AK Grazer AK16
16-27
15
12 FC BW Linz FC BW Linz16
14-28
10
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