icon back

Match Prediction

Henan Jianye vs Changchun Yatai Prediction

Finished
19 Oct07:35
2 : 0

Changchun

€3.62m

Preview

Henan Jianye vs Changchun Prediction Super League

Henan Jianye vs Changchun Yatai Match Prediction and Betting Preview

Our Henan Jianye vs Changchun Yatai prediction dives into a classic Super League encounter with significant implications at both ends of the table. This match at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium presents a fascinating dynamic between a home team finding strength on their own turf and a visiting side desperate to climb from the bottom.

Team Form and Tactical Analysis

Henan Jianye enters this fixture with a peculiar Jekyll and Hyde personality this season. While their overall form reads poorly with just 31% of matches won, their home performances tell a completely different story. Winning 67% of their last six matches at home transforms them into a formidable opponent in Zhengzhou. Under coach Daniel Ramos, they've developed a potent attack led by Frank Acheampong and Cardoso dos Santos, who have combined for 27 goals this season.

Changchun Yatai's situation appears more concerning, rooted firmly at the league's basement. Their recent 3-0 loss to Qingdao Hainiu highlighted ongoing struggles, though their new manager Ricardo Soares brings hope with his preferred 4-3-3 attacking formation. The significant squad changes, including the addition of striker Ohi Omoijuanfo from Brøndby IF, indicate ambition, but the team is clearly in transition.

Key Factors Influencing This Match

  • Home Fortress vs Away Struggles: Henan's impressive home record contrasts sharply with Changchun's travel woes
  • Managerial Impact: Ricardo Soares' new tactics versus Daniel Ramos' established system
  • Squad Depth Concerns: Henan faces potential suspensions to key players Bruno Nazário and Yongtao Lu
  • Historical Context: Changchun holds a slight edge in head to head records with 10 wins from 29 meetings

Head to Head History and Betting Context

The head to head history between these clubs reveals intriguing patterns that inform our sports betting approach. Despite Changchun's league position, they've historically performed well against Henan, with 10 victories to Henan's 7. However, recent encounters have typically been low-scoring affairs, which creates an interesting tension with current betting odds.

Bookmakers have installed Henan as strong favorites with home win odds at 1.53, reflecting their home dominance and Changchun's league position. The draw sits at 4.25, while an away victory pays 5.0. These betting odds accurately capture the teams' current situations but might underestimate Changchun's historical success in this specific matchup.

AI Analysis and Smart Betting Insights

Our advanced prediction algorithms have processed mountains of data to generate unique insights for this Henan Jianye vs Changchun Yatai prediction. The numbers reveal some surprising trends that might not be immediately apparent from surface-level analysis.

NerdyTips AI Prediction Breakdown

Our system generates multiple data points to help with your sports betting decisions. The predicted final score of 1:2 with a first-half score of 0:1 suggests Changchun might surprise early. This aligns with the AI's 1x2 prediction favoring the away team (prediction '2') at odds of 4.5, though with modest confidence (1.5/10).

Expected Match Statistics

  1. Possession: Henan 59% vs Changchun 41%
  2. Total Shots: Henan 16 vs Changchun 9
  3. Shots on Target: Henan 6 vs Changchun 2
  4. Corners: Henan 5 vs Changchun 3 (Total 8)
  5. Discipline: Henan 1 yellow card vs Changchun 3 yellow cards

Betting Recommendations and Value Analysis

The most compelling betting recommendation from our AI is for over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53 with a trust level of 3.2/10. This seems counterintuitive given the historical head to head data showing low-scoring matches, but current season statistics support this prediction. Henan averages 1.56 goals per match while conceding 1.31, suggesting potential for goals at both ends.

For those considering the 1x2 market, the away win at 5.0 presents interesting value given Changchun's historical success in this fixture and Henan's potential missing players. However, the low confidence rating (1.5) suggests proceeding with caution. The predicted statistics showing Henan dominating shots but Changchun being more efficient (2 shots on target from 9 attempts versus Henan's 6 from 16) indicates Changchun might capitalize on fewer opportunities.

Final Thoughts on Our Prediction

This Henan Jianye vs Changchun Yatai prediction presents a fascinating betting puzzle. While traditional analysis favors the home team, our AI detects potential for surprises. The recommendation for over 2.5 goals at 1.53 offers the most statistically supported value bet. Remember that in sports betting, sometimes the numbers see what the eyes miss - and in this case, they're spotting potential for goals and perhaps an upset. Whatever you choose, may your bets be as precise as a perfectly placed free kick!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Henan Jianye vs Changchun

O2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
3/10

1x2 Tip

2 350

Changchun is expected to win with odds of 400
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -189

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -167

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 145

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

3.4
Total Goals
2.4
2
Goals Scored
1
1.4
Goals Against
1.4
51%
Possession
43%
14.1
Total Shots
9.9
4.9
Shots on Goal
3
6.1
Shots off Goal
3.6
12.3
Fouls
14.2
4.8
Corners
3.6
1.7
Offsides
2.1
2.11
Yellow Cards
2.9
0.11
Red Cards
0.1
385
Total Passes
357

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
5
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Henan Jianye
2 - 5 - 6
Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai Changchun 11-May-25
0:1
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 27-Oct-24
0:0
Changchun Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai Changchun 26-May-24
0:0
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 29-Oct-23
1:1
Changchun Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai Changchun 03-Jul-23
3:1
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 11-Jul-22
6:2
Changchun Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai Changchun 20-Jun-22
0:0
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 02-Sep-18
1:1
Changchun Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai Changchun 15-Apr-18
3:0
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 09-Aug-17
0:2
Changchun Changchun Yatai

China - Super League China - Super League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG29
71-44
63
2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai29
64-34
61
3 Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better29
59-27
59
4 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan29
64-45
54
5 Shandong Luneng Shandong29
64-45
50
6 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda29
39-38
44
7 Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou29
58-49
41
8 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun29
46-51
41
9 Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth29
38-43
37
10 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye29
51-47
36
11 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing29
30-44
36
12 Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu29
34-58
26
13 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three29
33-57
25
14 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon29
33-46
24
15 Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia29
35-66
21
16 Changchun Yatai Changchun29
26-51
19
Video preview
You might also like:
Levante vs Atl. Madrid Lorient vs Nantes Toulouse vs Auxerre
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches