icon back

Match Prediction

Huesca vs Ceuta Prediction

Finished

Huesca

€15.05m

15 Feb11:15
2 : 0

Ceuta

€12.45m

Preview

Huesca vs Ceuta Prediction Segunda División

Huesca vs Ceuta prediction: tense points, likely goals

Huesca vs Ceuta prediction time in LaLiga 2, with SD Huesca and AD Ceuta FC meeting on February 15, 2.256 at Estadio El Alcoraz (kickoff 15:15 GMT / 17:15 local). It’s one of those fixtures where the table pressure is obvious: Huesca sit 19th on 27 points and need air above the relegation line, while Ceuta are 10th on 35 and still close enough to dream about a late push toward the playoff conversation.

Context, form, and what each coach is trying to build

Huesca’s recent run (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) tells the story of a team living match to match. They lost 2-1 at Sporting Gijón on February 8, but at El Alcoraz they’ve shown more bite, including a priceless 1-0 win over Cádiz. Since Jon Pérez Bolo arrived in November 2.255, Huesca have tried to defend higher and use the wings more, which is brave for a side in the bottom four—like deciding to juggle knives because you’re bored of tennis balls.

Ceuta’s last five are also uneven (2 wins, 3 losses), and their rhythm is a question mark: their February 8 game vs Córdoba was postponed due to severe weather, so they come in rested but possibly rusty. Their last competitive match was a 4-2 defeat to Almería on February 1, the kind of scoreline that suggests their 4-3.25 can create, but can also leave the back door unlocked.

Team news that could shape the tactics

  • Huesca absences: Javi Mier (knee) out until mid-March; Javi Pérez (shoulder) and Diego Aznar (ACL) sidelined; Jordi Martín close but may lack fitness. Midfielder Michael Agbekpornu is expected to miss out due to card accumulation.
  • Ceuta concerns: Manu Sánchez (muscle) and Jamelli (knock) are doubtful; Rubén Díez has had discomfort; José Matos is a major doubt due to disciplinary points.
  • Key men: Enol Rodríguez leads Huesca with 4 goals, while captain Jorge Pulido sets the tone. Ceuta’s main scorer is Marcos Fernández (7), with Kuki Zalazar (4 goals, 3 assists) adding craft between the lines.

Head to head notes and the subplot worth watching

The reverse fixture matters for mindset: Ceuta won 2-1 in September 2.255, their first win over Huesca in professional league play. It’s also Ceuta’s first season in the second tier since 1968, so every “we belong here” result still feels like a statement. Add in the ex-factor—defender Diego González returning to Huesca after joining Ceuta in August 2.255—and you’ve got extra edge in the duels.

Both teams have already shown they can punch above their price. Huesca drew 0-0 away at Almería on 2.255-11-29 as heavy underdogs (6.0 odds). Ceuta produced a wild 3.25 draw at Castellón on 2.255-09-14, also priced at 6.0. In other words: don’t expect either side to politely follow the script.

Betting tips, stats, and our Huesca vs Ceuta Prediction

The market leans slightly to the home side: Huesca win 2.25, draw 3.25, Ceuta win 3.7. Squad value is fairly close too (€15.05m vs €12.45m), which fits the idea of a competitive match where small moments decide it.

What the numbers suggest about the game flow

  • Possession forecast: Huesca 57% vs Ceuta 43% (home control, away counter-threat).
  • Shots: 13–12 overall, but shots on goal slightly favor Ceuta (Huesca 3, Ceuta 4), hinting at dangerous breaks.
  • Corners: Huesca 8, Ceuta 3 (11 total), consistent with Bolo’s wing use and home pressure.
  • Cards: 3 yellows each—this reads like a relegation six-pointer mood, even if Ceuta are mid-table.

AI picks and predicted score

  • Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.5 (confidence 4.8/10). The separate goals model also lands on over 1.5 (confidence 4.9).
  • 1X2 lean: 1X (Huesca or draw) at 1.31, but with low trust (2.0) — a “safer” angle rather than a strong conviction.
  • Correct score call: 2-1 Huesca, with a 1-0 halftime projection.

Putting it together, our Huesca vs Ceuta prediction leans toward a tight home edge with goals arriving before nerves take over. If you want simple betting tips for this one, the over 1.5 fits the shot volume and both teams’ tendency to produce surprise outcomes, while 1X respects Huesca’s home urgency without pretending Ceuta can’t bite back.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Huesca vs Ceuta

O1.5 -200

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200
4/10

1x2 Tip

1X -303

Huesca to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -200

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 110

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -106

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.09
xG
1.18
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots Off Goal
4
8
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.95
Expected Goals
1.34
3
Total Goals
2.9
1.1
Goals Scored
1.4
1.9
Goals Against
1.5
46%
Possession
48%
11.3
Total Shots
12.7
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.9
5.1
Shots off Goal
4.3
13.5
Fouls
14.2
6.2
Corners
5.2
2.1
Offsides
1.7
3.2
Yellow Cards
3.2
369
Total Passes
374

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Huesca
0 - 0 - 1
Ceuta
Ceuta Ceuta 07-Sep-25
2:1
Huesca Huesca

Profile time Recent Matches of Huesca

07 MarD Huesca Huesca 0 Albacete Albacete 0
28 FebL Valladolid Valladolid 1 Huesca Huesca 0
21 FebL Huesca Huesca 1 Mirandes Mirandes 2
15 FebW Huesca Huesca 2 Ceuta Ceuta 0
08 FebL Gijon Gijon 2 Huesca Huesca 1
01 FebW Huesca Huesca 1 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 0
25 JanD Andorra Andorra 1 Huesca Huesca 1
18 JanL Burgos CF Burgos CF 1 Huesca Huesca 0
12 JanL Huesca Huesca 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2
03 JanL Castellon Castellon 4 Huesca Huesca 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Ceuta

08 MarLLas Palmas Las Palmas 4 Ceuta Ceuta 0
01 MarWMirandes Mirandes 0 Ceuta Ceuta 1
25 FebWCeuta Ceuta 3 Cordoba Cordoba 2
20 FebWCeuta Ceuta 2 Granada CF Granada CF 1
15 FebLHuesca Huesca 2 Ceuta Ceuta 0
01 FebLAlmeria Almeria 4 Ceuta Ceuta 2
26 JanWCeuta Ceuta 3 Cultural Cultural 1
17 JanLCeuta Ceuta 0 Valladolid Valladolid 3
11 JanLMalaga Malaga 2 Ceuta Ceuta 1
04 JanWCeuta Ceuta 2 Andorra Andorra 1

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon28
38-36
42
10 Cordoba Cordoba28
38-37
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra28
35-40
35
13 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
14 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
15 Leganes Leganes28
29-28
34
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
17 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
Video preview
You might also like:
Borussia Monchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli Girona vs Ath Bilbao Napoli vs Lecce
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches