icon back

Match Prediction

Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Finished

Hull

€56.58m

5 Dec16:00
1 : 4

Preview

Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction Championship

Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction: Storylines, Stats, and Smart Bets

Welcome to our Hull vs Middlesbrough prediction, where we break down the numbers, the narratives, and the betting odds for this December 5, 2025, fixture at the MKM Stadium. Whether you’re a stat-loving punter or just want to know who’s likely to come out on top, we’ve got you covered with a friendly, easy-to-read preview.

Hull City: Surprise Packages and Home Fortresses

It’s been a season of surprises for Hull City. The Tigers, sitting just outside the play-off spots in seventh, have made the MKM Stadium a tough place to visit. Their home form has been impressive, with only one recent blip—a 2-0 loss to Ipswich, which marked their first home defeat since August. But just when doubters started whispering, Hull bounced back with a gutsy 2-1 away win at Stoke, defying the odds and reminding everyone they’re not here to make up the numbers.

Injuries, though, have been a persistent shadow. Key players like Liam Millar, K. Palmer, and Oliver McBurnie are all working their way back to fitness, while others like Eliot Matazo and N. Tinsdale are eyeing December returns. The good news? Mohamed Belloumi is back in the squad, and Joe Gelhardt—on loan for the season—has been a revelation up front, finding the net in seven of his last nine league games. Under Sergej Jakirovic, Hull’s tactics have focused on maximizing home advantage, with a blend of solid defense and quick transitions.

Middlesbrough: New Faces, New Ambitions

Change is in the air for Middlesbrough. With Kim Hellberg stepping in as head coach just last week, Boro fans are hoping for a fresh chapter. Hellberg’s debut brought a 2-1 win over Derby County, and his philosophy is clear: aggressive, high-tempo football, with a focus on winning the ball back quickly and creating chances. He’s already brought his trusted assistant, David Selini, along for the ride.

But Boro’s away form has been less convincing, with two draws and a loss in their last three on the road. The injury list is also a concern, with Seny Dieng and Alex Bangura only just returning to training, and Darragh Lenihan still sidelined. Other key absentees include Luke Ayling, Aidan Morris, and David Strelec, but the squad is slowly getting back to full strength.

Head to Head and Historical Context

  • Middlesbrough have the historical edge: 34 wins to Hull’s 22 in 76 previous meetings, with 20 draws.
  • Hull haven’t beaten Boro at home since 2021.
  • Their last head to head, in January 2025, ended 1-0 to Middlesbrough at the MKM Stadium.
  • Hull’s market value: €56.58m. Middlesbrough’s: €108.30m.

Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction: Betting Odds and AI Insights

Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds currently stand at:

  • Home win: 3.3
  • Draw: 3.5
  • Away win: 2.22

According to our NerdyTips AI, the most profitable bet is on over 1.5 total goals (odds: 1.29, trust rating: 7.1/10). Given both teams’ attacking intent and recent form, that’s a bet that looks more solid than a Yorkshire pudding on Sunday. The AI also leans towards an away win as the best 1x2 bet (odds: 2.22, trust score: 4.4), reflecting Middlesbrough’s superior squad depth and historical dominance in this fixture.

Here’s what our prediction model says:

  1. Predicted final score: Hull 2-3 Middlesbrough
  2. First half prediction: 0-1 to Middlesbrough
  3. Possession: Hull 44%, Middlesbrough 56%
  4. Total shots: Hull 10, Middlesbrough 14
  5. On-target shots: 3 each
  6. Corners: Hull 4, Middlesbrough 6
  7. Yellow cards: Hull 1, Middlesbrough 0

What Does It All Mean for Bettors?

  • Hull vs Middlesbrough prediction: Expect goals, with at least two likely to hit the net.
  • Middlesbrough’s higher market value and recent head to head record give them the edge.
  • Hull’s home form and Joe Gelhardt’s scoring run could make things interesting, but Boro’s new manager bounce and tactical shift may just tip the scales.

In summary, our Hull vs Middlesbrough prediction points to a high-energy match with plenty of attacking intent. If you’re betting, over 1.5 total goals looks a smart pick, and an away win is worth considering. But as always in the Championship, expect the unexpected—and maybe keep an eye on the injury updates right up to kick-off!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Hull vs Middlesbrough

O1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 122

Middlesbrough is expected to win with odds of 122
4/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -145

Both teams are expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -143

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

1.15
xG
1.09
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
6

Average / Match

1.15
Expected Goals
1.12
3.1
Total Goals
2.6
1.7
Goals Scored
1.2
1.4
Goals Against
1.4
46%
Possession
59%
10.2
Total Shots
14.9
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.6
3.2
Shots off Goal
6.3
10.4
Fouls
9.7
4.8
Corners
6.2
0.9
Offsides
2.4
2
Yellow Cards
1.11
365
Total Passes
505

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
7
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Hull
9 - 3 - 11
Middlesbrough
Hull Hull 01-Jan-25
0:1
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 30-Nov-24
3:1
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 10-Apr-24
2:2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 13-Dec-23
1:2
Hull Hull
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 19-Apr-23
3:1
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 01-Nov-22
1:3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 09-Apr-22
0:1
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 02-Oct-21
2:0
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Hull Hull 02-Jul-20
2:1
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough

Profile time Recent Matches of Hull

10 Mar Wrexham Wrexham - Hull Hull -
07 MarL Hull Hull 1 Millwall Millwall 3
03 MarL Ipswich Ipswich 1 Hull Hull 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Middlesbrough

11 MarMiddlesbrough Middlesbrough - Charlton Charlton -
08 MarWQPR QPR 0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coventry Coventry36
74-38
74
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough36
58-35
69
3 Millwall Millwall36
50-41
65
4 Ipswich Ipswich35
61-35
64
5 Hull City Hull City36
57-52
60
6 Wrexham Wrexham35
54-45
57
7 Derby Derby36
54-47
54
8 Southampton Southampton35
57-46
53
9 Watford Watford35
45-41
51
10 Bristol City Bristol City36
48-46
50
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd36
51-49
49
12 Birmingham Birmingham36
46-47
49
13 Swansea Swansea36
42-43
49
14 Preston Preston36
42-43
49
15 Stoke City Stoke City36
39-36
47
16 QPR QPR36
46-58
47
17 Norwich Norwich35
47-44
45
18 Charlton Charlton36
34-44
44
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth35
35-45
40
20 Blackburn Blackburn36
34-47
39
21 West Brom West Brom36
35-53
36
22 Leicester Leicester36
48-57
35
23 Oxford United Oxford United36
34-48
35
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield36
22-73
-7
Video preview
You might also like:
Girona vs Ath Bilbao Lorient vs Lens Napoli vs Lecce
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches