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Match Prediction

Hull vs QPR Prediction

Finished

Hull

€64.25m

21 Feb08:30
1 : 3

QPR

€46.30m

Preview

Hull vs QPR Prediction Championship

Hull vs QPR prediction: a lunchtime story at MKM Stadium

The Hull vs QPR prediction for this 12:30 GMT kick-off on 2026-02-21 feels like one of those Championship Saturdays where you barely have time to finish your coffee before someone is chasing a loose ball into the advertising boards. Hull arrive with play-off pressure on their shoulders in 5th, while QPR sit 13th, staring at a four-point gap to the top six and thinking, “That’s close enough to taste… but not quite to bite.”

Where the game is won: intensity vs survival mode

Hull under Sergej Jakirović have largely been one of the steadier stories this season, even if the last week has been a bit of a wobble: a heavy FA Cup loss to Chelsea and then a 3-2 league defeat at Bristol City. The message from Jakirović has been clear: bring the passion, stay compact, and don’t press the self-destruct button when the game gets messy.

QPR, managed by Julien Stéphan, are living a different reality. Their recent form has been patchy (only one league win in six), and the latest 3.15 home defeat to Blackburn sounded alarm bells—Stéphan even questioned the group’s belief after they couldn’t build any real comeback. That often leads to a more cautious set-up: fewer risks, tighter distances, and a hope that one good moment changes the mood.

Team news that shapes the tactics

  • Hull boosts: Oli McBurnie and Charlie Hughes should be back after being protected in the cup, with Hull aiming to look “fully charged” again.
  • Hull absences: Toby Collyer is out for a couple of weeks, while Mohamed Belloumi, Darko Gyabi, and Matt Crooks remain long-term misses.
  • Hull key man: Joe Gelhardt is still the creative spark—he even scored in the reverse fixture, so QPR defenders will know his name (and probably his first pet’s name) by full time.
  • QPR returns: Ilias Chair, Jonathan Varane, and Nicolas Madsen are expected back, with Madsen recovering quickly after a knock.
  • QPR injuries: Top scorer Rumarn Burrell is sidelined until March; Karamoko Dembélé is out for the season (ACL). Kwame Poku and Justin Obikwu are doubtful, and Jake Clarke-Salter is back in training but may be handled carefully.

Recent memories: head to head and the “don’t panic” lesson

The last head to head on 2025-01-21 ended Hull 1-2 QPR, a result that still matters because Jakirović has mentioned avoiding the second-half panic that crept in last time. The betting odds in that match leaned Hull (2.12) but QPR spoiled the plan—very Championship, very annoying if you backed the favourite.

Both teams have recent proof they can spring surprises: Hull’s 1-2 win at Southampton (odds 5.8) and QPR’s 0-1 win at Sunderland (odds 5.5). So yes, they can both do the unexpected… which is why we lean on numbers when building a Hull vs QPR prediction.

Hull vs QPR prediction: AI picks, betting odds, and best tips

Now for the NerdyTips angle—where the story turns into sports betting decisions with a bit more structure.

Market odds (1X2) for Hull vs QPR

  • Home win: 2.32
  • Draw: 3.4
  • Away win: 3.15

On squad value, Hull (€64.25m) edge QPR (€46.30m), and the model expects Hull to have slightly more of the ball (52% vs 48%). That’s not domination, it’s “we’ll have it, but don’t blink.”

What the match stats hint at

  • Shots: Hull 11, QPR 12
  • On-target: Hull 4, QPR 3
  • Corners: 9 total (Hull 5, QPR 4)
  • Yellow cards: Hull 2, QPR 1

This profile fits a tight game: similar shot volume, but slightly better shot quality for Hull. That often points to controlled chaos—busy midfield, a few set pieces, and long spells where both teams cancel each other out.

NerdyTips best tip and score call

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.33 (trust rating 5.9/10)
  • AI under/over: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.33 (confidence 6.0)
  • 1X2 pick: Home win (1) @ 2.32 (trust 3.6)
  • Predicted final score: 2-0
  • Half-time score: 1-0

So the clean summary for Hull vs QPR prediction is: expect Hull to edge it, but the stronger value play is goals. With QPR missing attacking weapons and Hull likely prioritising compact control after a rough week, under 3.5 goals matches the tactics, the injury picture, and the expected shot/on-target split. If you want a simple Saturday lunch bet, this one reads like “max three goals, and let the Tigers do the slightly cleaner work.”

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Hull didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Hull vs QPR

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 132

Hull is expected to win with odds of 132
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No 108

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -167

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.23
xG
0.73
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.13
Expected Goals
0.78
2.1
Total Goals
2.4
1.1
Goals Scored
1.1
1
Goals Against
1.3
42%
Possession
46%
11.1
Total Shots
11.9
3.7
Shots on Goal
3.4
4.2
Shots off Goal
5
11.7
Fouls
9.9
5.1
Corners
5.1
1.7
Offsides
1.2
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.11
355
Total Passes
389

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
2
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
3
Both Teams Scored
6
2
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Hull
9 - 3 - 7
QPR
QPR QPR 22-Nov-25
3:2
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 21-Jan-25
1:2
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 01-Oct-24
1:3
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 13-Apr-24
3:0
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 09-Dec-23
2:0
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 28-Jan-23
3:0
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 30-Aug-22
3:1
Hull Hull
QPR QPR 19-Feb-22
1:1
Hull Hull
Hull Hull 14-Aug-21
0:3
QPR QPR
QPR QPR 29-Dec-19
1:2
Hull Hull

Profile time Recent Matches of Hull

10 Mar Wrexham Wrexham - Hull Hull -
07 MarL Hull Hull 1 Millwall Millwall 3
03 MarL Ipswich Ipswich 1 Hull Hull 0
28 FebW Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 Hull Hull 1
24 FebW Hull Hull 4 Derby Derby 2
21 FebL Hull Hull 1 QPR QPR 3
13 FebL Hull Hull 0 Chelsea Chelsea 4
07 FebL Hull Hull 2 Bristol City Bristol City 3
03 FebD Hull Hull 0 Watford Watford 0
31 JanW Blackburn Blackburn 0 Hull Hull 1

Profile time Recent Matches of QPR

11 MarBirmingham Birmingham - QPR QPR -
08 MarLQPR QPR 0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4
28 FebLQPR QPR 0 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 2
24 FebLSouthampton Southampton 5 QPR QPR 0
21 FebWHull Hull 1 QPR QPR 3
14 FebLQPR QPR 1 Blackburn Blackburn 3
06 FebDCharlton Charlton 0 QPR QPR 0
31 JanWQPR QPR 2 Coventry Coventry 1
24 JanLQPR QPR 2 Wrexham Wrexham 3
20 JanDOxford Utd Oxford Utd 0 QPR QPR 0

England - Championship England - Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coventry Coventry36
74-38
74
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough36
58-35
69
3 Millwall Millwall36
50-41
65
4 Ipswich Ipswich35
61-35
64
5 Hull City Hull City36
57-52
60
6 Wrexham Wrexham35
54-45
57
7 Derby Derby36
54-47
54
8 Southampton Southampton35
57-46
53
9 Watford Watford35
45-41
51
10 Bristol City Bristol City36
48-46
50
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd36
51-49
49
12 Birmingham Birmingham36
46-47
49
13 Swansea Swansea36
42-43
49
14 Preston Preston36
42-43
49
15 Stoke City Stoke City36
39-36
47
16 QPR QPR36
46-58
47
17 Norwich Norwich35
47-44
45
18 Charlton Charlton36
34-44
44
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth35
35-45
40
20 Blackburn Blackburn36
34-47
39
21 West Brom West Brom36
35-53
36
22 Leicester Leicester36
48-57
35
23 Oxford United Oxford United36
34-48
35
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield36
22-73
-7
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