Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
Huracan vs San Lorenzo prediction time, and the calendar has been kind enough to drop the Clásico de Barrio on February 8, 2026 (kickoff 22:15 GMT) at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó. It’s Round 4 of the Liga Profesional Argentina (Apertura), which means the table is still young, but the emotions are already fully grown.
Because these two live next door (Parque Patricios and Boedo), this derby never feels like “just another match.” It usually feels like a 90-minute argument where neither side wants to blink first.
Martínez’s Huracán often toggles between 4-3-3 and a more compact 4-4-2, with a clear preference for defensive order and quick transitions. At their best, they narrow the space, force opponents into low-quality shots, and then break fast. The goal threat is usually simple and direct: get service into Jordy Caicedo, who has started the season as their main finisher and one of the early names among league scorers.
San Lorenzo, under Damián Ayude, have leaned heavily on youth. Ayude has even hinted he’d love a few more 25–27-year-old “grown-ups” in the squad, because derbies are rarely kind to teenagers. Their chance creation often runs through Alexis Cuello, who leads their creative numbers and is the player most likely to play the final pass when things get tight.
Huracán are missing Leonel Pérez and Nehuén Paz, while San Lorenzo arrive with a significant defensive hit: Jhohan Romaña is out with a hamstring tear, and Daniel Herrera plus Nahuel Arias are also unavailable. Add the recent sale of young left-back Elías Báez to Atlanta United, and San Lorenzo’s back line looks like it has had a busy week.
Still, derby football laughs at logic. Teo Rodríguez Pagano has already pointed at the emotional weight of the game, while Ayude’s message has been clear: heart is required, but so is being smarter and more clinical.
The head to head pattern is stubborn: four draws in the last five meetings, with one Huracán win. And that one win matters here—on 2025-02-23 at the Ducó, Huracán beat San Lorenzo 2–0. That home edge is real, even if Huracán’s historical troubles away at San Lorenzo’s place get mentioned every year like an old family story.
The market also expects a cagey derby. Odds are: Huracán 2.6, Draw 2.63, San Lorenzo 3.75. That “draw slightly shorter than the away win” feeling fits the recent head to head narrative perfectly.
The AI calls a 0–0 first half and a 0–1 final score, with Huracán having slightly more of the ball (54% possession) and a narrow shot edge (13–11). The detail that stands out: only 3 shots on target for Huracán and 2 for San Lorenzo—classic low-conversion derby numbers. Corners are modest too (4–3, total 7), while cards look very “Argentine derby”: 3 yellows each.
For readers searching Huracan vs San Lorenzo prediction value, the safer path is the low-scoring logic: NG and Under 2.5 fit the teams, the rivalry, and the numbers. If you want a spicy sprinkle, San Lorenzo at 3.75 (or the AI’s 3.75 line) is the long shot—but treat it like hot sauce: a little goes a long way.
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Derby match
NG -238
At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -2382 275
San Lorenzo is expected to win with odds of 275Under 2.5 -385
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -238
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -122
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
0:1
|
|
4
-
9
-
4
|
|
 San Lorenzo |
30-Aug-25
0:0
| Huracan  |
| Huracan |
23-Feb-25
2:0
| San Lorenzo |
| San Lorenzo |
20-Jul-24
1:1
| Huracan |
| Huracan |
24-Feb-24
0:0
| San Lorenzo |
| San Lorenzo |
30-Sep-23
1:1
| Huracan |
| Huracan |
05-Mar-23
1:1
| San Lorenzo |
| San Lorenzo |
01-Oct-22
1:0
| Huracan |
| San Lorenzo |
19-Mar-22
0:0
| Huracan |
| Huracan |
24-Oct-21
2:1
| San Lorenzo |
Recent Matches of Huracan| 03 Mar |
Huracan
| - |
Belgrano
| - | |
| 26 Feb | L |
Estudiant
| 2 |
Huracan
| 0 |
| 21 Feb | D |
Dep. Riestra
| 0 |
Huracan
| 0 |
| 14 Feb | W |
Huracan
| 1 |
Sarmiento
| 0 |
| 08 Feb | W |
Huracan
| 1 |
San Lorenzo
| 0 |
| 01 Feb | D |
Atl. Tucuman
| 1 |
Huracan
| 1 |
| 27 Jan | L |
Huracan
| 1 |
Rivadavia
| 2 |
| 22 Jan | D |
Banfield
| 1 |
Huracan
| 1 |
| 16 Jan | D |
Cucuta
| 1 |
Huracan
| 1 |
| 17 Nov | D |
Barracas
| 1 |
Huracan
| 1 |
Recent Matches of San Lorenzo
| 01 Mar | D |  Talleres |
0 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 24 Feb | D | San Lorenzo |
1 |  Instituto |
1 |
| 22 Feb | W | San Lorenzo |
2 |  Estudiant |
0 |
| 14 Feb | D |  Union S |
0 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 08 Feb | L | Huracan |
1 | San Lorenzo |
0 |
| 31 Jan | W | San Lorenzo |
1 |  Central C |
0 |
| 27 Jan | W |  Gimnasia M. |
0 | San Lorenzo |
1 |
| 23 Jan | L | San Lorenzo |
2 |  Lanus |
3 |
| 23 Nov | L | Central C |
2 | San Lorenzo |
1 |
| 15 Nov | D | San Lorenzo |
1 |  Sarmiento |
1 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. | 7 | 11-7 | 16 |
| 2 |
Tigre | 8 | 13-6 | 15 |
| 3 |
Belgrano | 7 | 9-4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Estudiantes | 7 | 7-2 | 15 |
| 5 |
Velez | 7 | 8-4 | 15 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe | 8 | 11-5 | 14 |
| 7 |
Rosario | 8 | 10-6 | 14 |
| 8 |
Defensa Y | 8 | 7-4 | 14 |
| 9 |
Independiente | 8 | 11-7 | 13 |
| 10 |
San Lorenzo | 8 | 7-5 | 12 |
| 11 |
Platense | 7 | 5-3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Talleres | 8 | 8-9 | 11 |
| 13 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 8 | 8-9 | 11 |
| 14 |
River Plate | 7 | 7-7 | 10 |
| 15 |
Boca Juniors | 7 | 6-5 | 9 |
| 16 |
Argentinos JRS | 6 | 4-3 | 9 |
| 17 |
Barracas | 8 | 6-7 | 9 |
| 18 |
Huracan | 7 | 5-6 | 9 |
| 19 |
Instituto | 8 | 9-10 | 8 |
| 20 |
Lanus | 6 | 8-9 | 8 |
| 21 |
Racing Club | 7 | 8-9 | 8 |
| 22 |
Central Cordoba de | 8 | 3-6 | 8 |
| 23 |
Gimnasia M. | 8 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 24 |
Banfield | 7 | 7-9 | 7 |
| 25 |
Sarmiento | 7 | 5-9 | 6 |
| 26 |
Atletico | 7 | 9-10 | 5 |
| 27 |
Deportivo | 7 | 2-5 | 4 |
| 28 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 7 | 3-11 | 4 |
| 29 |
Aldosivi | 6 | 2-6 | 3 |
| 30 |
Newells Old | 8 | 5-16 | 2 |
