Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Preview
Welcome to our detailed Imperatriz vs Tocantinopolis prediction, where we break down all the key stats, betting tips, and context you need ahead of the Serie D fixture at Estádio Frei Epifânio D'Abadia on June 28, 2025. With the odds stacked in favor of the home side and both teams known for their defensive discipline, this promises to be a fascinating encounter for punters and fans alike.
Let’s start with the basics: Imperatriz are priced at 1.72 to win, a draw sits at 3.6, and Tocantinopolis are the outsiders at 4.2. These odds reflect more than just home advantage—they mirror the broader trends of Serie D, where home teams win 37.1% of the time, while away victories are a rare breed at just 18.7%. Draws, however, are surprisingly common, cropping up in 44.2% of matches.
Our AI’s top tip is under 3.5 goals at 1.27 (trust rating 5.0/10), while NerdyTips' AI recommends a 1X bet (home win or draw) at 1.17 with a trust score of 2.0. These tips are not plucked from thin air—they’re rooted in the numbers. The modest goal averages and the high rate of draws in Serie D make the 1X and under 3.5 goals bets look like sensible, if not particularly adventurous, options.
Tocantinopolis arrive in Imperatriz with a spring in their step, having just pulled off a 0:1 away win over Iguatu on June 13, 2025, defying odds of 5.1. That result shows they’re no strangers to upsetting the apple cart on the road, but history and the stats suggest lightning rarely strikes twice in Serie D. With away teams winning less than one in five matches, Tocantinopolis will need more than just momentum to repeat the feat.
For those looking for value, the under 3.5 goals market (odds 1.27) stands out, backed by both the stats and our AI’s confidence. The 1X bet is another solid choice, especially given the draw frequency and Imperatriz’s home edge.
Here’s how our Imperatriz vs Tocantinopolis prediction shapes up for punters:
In summary, this Serie D fixture is likely to be a tactical, low-scoring affair, with Imperatriz’s home advantage and the league’s draw-happy nature shaping our betting tips. Whether you’re a stats lover or just looking for a smart punt, this match promises to reward patience and a keen eye for value. For more head to head analysis and expert betting tips, keep following NerdyTips for all your Serie D predictions.
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U3.5 -370
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3701X -588
Imperatriz to win or drawUnder 3.5 -370
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -125
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -333
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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2
-
1
-
0
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 Tocantinopolis |
21-May-25
1:2
| Imperatriz  |
| Imperatriz |
24-Jul-21
3:2
| Tocantinopolis |
| Tocantinopolis |
17-Jul-21
0:0
| Imperatriz |
Recent Matches of Imperatriz| 01 Feb |
Imperatriz.
|
-
| IAPE.
| |
| 28 Jan | L |
Moto Club.
|
2:0
| Imperatriz.
|
| 24 Jan | L |
Imperatriz.
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0:1
| Maranhao.
|
Recent Matches of Tocantinopolis
Brazil - Serie D| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Altos | 14 | 22-14 | 26 |
| 2 |
Imperatriz | 14 | 17-15 | 24 |
| 3 |
Sampaio Correa | 14 | 17-11 | 21 |
| 4 |
Maranhão | 14 | 18-12 | 19 |
| 5 |
Iguatu | 14 | 15-15 | 18 |
| 6 |
Tocantinópoli | 14 | 11-17 | 15 |
| 7 |
Parnahyba | 14 | 16-22 | 14 |
| 8 |
Maracanã | 14 | 12-22 | 9 |
