Independ. Rivadavia hosts Union Santa Fe in a Liga Profesional Argentina clash on March 11, 2025, at 00:15 UTC. With odds of 2.25 for a home win, 3.0 for a draw, and 3.5 for an away victory, bookmakers slightly favor the hosts. However, the best betting tip for this match is Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 odds, backed by a strong 7.5/10 trust rating.

Recent trends suggest a low-scoring affair. In their last head-to-head meeting on June 5, 2024, Union Santa Fe secured a narrow 1-0 victory. Additionally, historical data from the Argentine Primera Division shows that only 38.2% of matches exceed 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight contest.

Independ. Rivadavia enters this match with confidence after a surprising away win against Argentinos JRS on February 24, 2025. Despite odds of 5.5, they managed a 0-0 draw, showcasing their defensive resilience. Meanwhile, Union Santa Fe has a history of pulling off big away wins, including a 2-1 victory over Boca Juniors in 2022 at 5.7 odds.

Possession is expected to be nearly balanced, with Independ. Rivadavia holding 52% and Union Santa Fe at 48%. Shot predictions indicate a close battle, with the home team expected to take 12 shots (4 on target) and the visitors 11 shots (3 on target). Corners should also be evenly distributed, with a total of 9 expected.

Discipline-wise, Union Santa Fe is projected to receive 2 yellow cards, while Independ. Rivadavia may only pick up 1. Despite the away side having a higher squad value (€20.20m vs. €11.12m), the home team’s recent form and defensive solidity make them slight favorites.

With a predicted final score of 1-0 and a 0-0 half-time result, expect a cautious approach from both teams. Given the statistical trends and past performances, backing Under 2.5 goals at 1.42 odds remains the smartest bet for this encounter.