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Match Prediction

Independiente vs Rosario Central Prediction

Finished

Independiente

€56.95m

15 Nov19:30
1 : 0

Rosario C

€39.40m

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Independiente vs Rosario C Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente vs Rosario Central Prediction: Odds, Stats & AI Insights

Welcome to our Independiente vs Rosario Central prediction, where we break down everything you need to know for this Liga Profesional Argentina matchup on November 16, 2.12. Whether you’re a stats nerd, a casual fan, or just looking for some friendly betting advice, we’ve got you covered. Let’s see what’s brewing at the Estadio Libertadores de América!

Match Context: A Tale of Two Teams

The Estadio Libertadores de América in Buenos Aires will light up as Independiente hosts Rosario Central. The home side, Independiente, comes into this one with renewed confidence. After a rocky patch (two losses in a row), they’ve pulled off three straight wins, including a convincing 3-0 against Atlético Tucumán. Their recent record reads L-L-W-W-W—proof that they’re finding their feet after a rough start to the season.

Rosario Central, meanwhile, are flying high. Currently leading the league table with 31 points, they’ve stitched together an impressive unbeaten run of 10 league matches, including five wins on the bounce. Their away form is just as solid, staying unbeaten in their last five games. Recent results? W-W-W-W-D. Both sides average 1.5 goals per game, but Rosario Central’s defense stands out, conceding just 0.2 goals per match.

Tactics, Teams & Key Players

Let’s talk tactics. Independiente is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Rey guarding the net and a midfield trio looking to keep things ticking. Injuries could be a headache, with Gabriel Ávalos (muscle tear), Federico Paredes, and Santiago Valdez all sidelined. Lautaro Millán is off on national duty, so depth will be tested. One to watch? Felipe Loyola, a 23-year-old defender who’s caught the eye of European scouts—manager Gustavo Quinteros is keen to keep him around.

Rosario Central, under Ariel Holan, will likely opt for a 4-1-3.3 setup. Their predicted lineup includes stars like Ángel Di María, Jaminton Campaz, and Ignacio Malcorra. Alejo Véliz is expected to lead the line, while Juan Cruz Komar and Agustín Módica are still recovering from injuries. With a strong midfield and a tight defense, Central’s tactical discipline has been key to their success.

Head to Head: A Brief History

  • These teams have met 35 times: Independiente have 14 wins, Rosario Central 10, and 11 draws.
  • Average total goals per match: 2.23.
  • Last meeting (2024-08-17): Independiente 1-0 Rosario Central.

While not a classic rivalry, their meetings are always competitive and often tight on goals.

Betting Odds & AI Predictions

Let’s get to the numbers that matter for your bet slip. Bookmakers have set the odds as follows:

  • Home win (Independiente): 2.12
  • Draw: 3.3
  • Away win (Rosario Central): 5.0

Our AI-powered Independiente vs Rosario Central prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair. Here’s what the stats suggest:

  1. Best tip: Under 2.5 total goals — Odds: 1.5, Confidence: 3.3.30
  2. 1X2 market prediction: Draw (X) — Odds: 3.3, Confidence: 2.0/10
  3. Expected final score: 0:0
  4. Anticipated half-time score: 0:0

If you’re expecting fireworks, you might want to temper those hopes. Both teams’ recent defensive records and their head to head history point to a tight contest. The AI expects just 19 shots in total (10 for the home team, 9 for the visitors), with both sides registering three on target. Nine corners and four yellow cards are also forecasted, so expect a tactical battle rather than an all-out goal fest.

Possession and Player Value

  • Independiente expected to control the ball: 59% possession.
  • Rosario Central: 41% possession.
  • Squad values: Independiente at €56.95m, Rosario Central at €39.40m.

Despite Independiente’s higher squad value and home advantage, Rosario Central’s form and defensive solidity make this a tough one to call.

Final Word: Our Independiente vs Rosario Central Prediction

So, what’s the best bet? The under 2.5 total goals market looks solid, given both teams’ recent defensive performances and their tendency to keep things tight in head to head matchups. While Independiente have found their groove at home, Central’s unbeaten run and knack for grinding out results on the road shouldn’t be underestimated. Our AI’s confidence isn’t sky-high, but the numbers nudge us toward a low-scoring draw—think 0:0 or possibly a single goal separating the sides.

To sum up:

  • Prediction: Draw (X), odds 3.3
  • Best tip: Under 2.5 total goals, odds 1.5
  • Expected score: 0:0

Remember, football is full of surprises—just ask Independiente after their shock 2:2 draw with Boca Juniors, or Rosario Central’s gutsy 2:2 against River Plate. But with both teams in good defensive form, don’t expect this one to turn into a goal-fest. Good luck, and may your bets be as safe as a goalkeeper hugging the post!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.4

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Independiente vs Rosario C

U2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -200
3/10

1x2 Tip

X 230

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -200

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 142

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

0.92
xG
1.11
59%
Ball Possession
41%
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.87
Expected Goals
1.22
1.5
Total Goals
2
0.9
Goals Scored
1.5
0.6
Goals Against
0.5
59%
Possession
54%
10.4
Total Shots
11.6
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.6
3.6
Shots off Goal
4.1
10.2
Fouls
9.8
4.8
Corners
5.6
2.2
Offsides
1.8
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.4
0.29
Red Cards
0
385
Total Passes
328

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
7
5
Over 1.5 Goals
6
2
Over 2.5 Goals
4
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
2
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Independiente
5 - 5 - 3
Rosario Central
Rosario Central Rosario C 03-May-25
1:0
Independiente Independiente
Independiente Independiente 17-Aug-24
1:0
Rosario C Rosario Central
Independiente Independiente 14-Feb-24
1:0
Rosario C Rosario Central
Rosario Central Rosario C 20-Sep-23
1:1
Independiente Independiente
Rosario Central Rosario C 13-Apr-23
1:0
Independiente Independiente
Independiente Independiente 16-Jul-22
0:0
Rosario C Rosario Central
Rosario Central Rosario C 23-Apr-22
3:0
Independiente Independiente
Rosario Central Rosario C 15-Aug-21
1:2
Independiente Independiente
Independiente Independiente 01-Feb-20
5:0
Rosario C Rosario Central
Rosario Central Rosario C 07-Apr-19
1:2
Independiente Independiente

Profile time Recent Matches of Independiente

28 Jan Newells Newells.
-
Independient. Independiente
23 JanD Independiente Independient.
1:1
Estudiant. Estudiant

Profile time Recent Matches of Rosario C

28 JanRacing Club Racing Club.
-
Rosario C.Rosario C
25 JanLRosario C Rosario C.
1:2
Belgrano.Belgrano

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
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