England
Preview
Portman Road holds the key: Ipswich prediction vs Birmingham
The Ipswich vs Birmingham prediction for Monday, 2026.254.156 (15:00 GMT) starts with a simple scene: Portman Road, spring light, and a home side trying to turn draws into the kind of wins that buy promotion dreams. Ipswich sit 3rd in the Championship picture and are still very much in the automatic-promotion conversation, while Birmingham hover around mid-table (roughly 16th) after sliding down the table on a rough run.
There’s also a scheduling twist that matters for anyone weighing form and legs. Ipswich had their Good Friday game postponed because Southampton were tied up in the FA Cup, so Kieran McKenna’s squad comes in fresher. Birmingham, by contrast, had to play—losing 1-0 at home to Blackburn—so the tank may not be quite as full by Monday afternoon.
Team news, likely game plan, and what to watch
McKenna’s Ipswich have looked like themselves in patches lately, but three draws in their last four league games have kept them from tightening their grip on the top two. The upside is practical: they still have games in hand, and this is exactly the kind of fixture where promotion-chasing teams are expected to behave like promotion-chasing teams.
- Ipswich availability: Wes Burns (calf) and Marcelino Núñez (hamstring) are touch and go; Ashley Young is back training after a hip issue; Jack Taylor is available again; Cédric Kipré returns after a two-game suspension; Leif Davis serves the final match of his ban.
- McKenna’s messaging: he has framed the postponement as a “silver lining,” with extra recovery time, while stressing no unnecessary risks on fitness.
- Birmingham issues: results have dipped (one win in seven), and they’ve taken a major hit up front with Kyogo Furuhashi ruled out for the season after shoulder surgery.
Tactically, it shapes up in a familiar way: Ipswich to control territory and tempo, Birmingham to stay compact and hope to nick moments in transition. That storyline also fits the numbers you’d expect from this matchup—more ball, more shots, and more corners for the hosts, with Birmingham needing efficiency rather than volume.
The recent head to head adds a little colour too. When these sides last met on 2024.152-24, Ipswich won 3-1, and the market leaned heavily their way then as well. Still, Birmingham have shown before they can spring a surprise away from home—like that 2-3 win at West Brom in 2022 at big odds—so complacency is the only real enemy for the home crowd.
Ipswich vs Birmingham prediction: odds, tips, and score call
Now to the betting board and our model’s read. Current 1X2 odds: Home 1.59, Draw 4.15, Away 6.25. Our Ipswich vs Birmingham prediction is a home win, but with sensible caution rather than fireworks.
Main markets and NerdyTips betting tips
- Top pick (AI): 1 (Ipswich win) at 1.59, confidence 6.25/10
- 1X2 model: 1 (Ipswich win) at 1.59, confidence 6.25/10
- Goals market: Under 3.5 goals at 1.4, trust 3.7/10
Why that combination? The forecast points to Ipswich controlling the match without it necessarily becoming a goal-fest: projected possession 62% to 38%, shots 14 to 6, and on-target efforts 4 to 2. Add an estimated 6-3 edge in corners (9 total), and it reads like steady pressure rather than chaos. Even discipline looks balanced (2 yellows each), suggesting a game more about structure than frantic tackling.
Our projected final score is 2:0, with a 1:0 first half. That fits both the odds and the context: Ipswich’s stronger squad value (€198.65m vs €107.10m), their fresher legs, and Birmingham’s current attacking concerns. In short: the smart angle is trusting Ipswich to do the job, while keeping an eye on the unders as a sensible companion bet.
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Warning
Ipswich didn't play better in the last H2H match!
Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Ipswich vs Birmingham1 -169
Ipswich is expected to win with odds of -1691x2 Tip
1 -169
Ipswich is expected to win with odds of -169Total Goals
Under 3.5 -256
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
No -110
At least one team is not expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&U5.5 -417
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goalsCorrect Score
2:0
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
|
|
7
-
9
-
4
|
|
Latest Matches
 Ipswich |
06-Apr-26
2:1
| Birmingham  |
| Ipswich |
24-Feb-24
3:1
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
17-Apr-12
1:1
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
27-Apr-13
3:1
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
01-Mar-14
1:0
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
24-Feb-15
4:2
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
18-Sep-15
1:1
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
01-Apr-17
1:1
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
05-Aug-17
1:0
| Birmingham |
| Ipswich |
13-Apr-19
1:1
| Birmingham |
Recent Matches of Ipswich
| 19 Apr |
Ipswich
| - |
Middlesbrough
| - | |
| 14 Apr | L |
Portsmouth
| 2 |
Ipswich
| 0 |
| 11 Apr | W |
Norwich
| 0 |
Ipswich
| 2 |
| 06 Apr | W |
Ipswich
| 2 |
Birmingham
| 1 |
| 21 Mar | D |
Ipswich
| 1 |
Millwall
| 1 |
| 14 Mar | W |
Sheffield Wed
| 0 |
Ipswich
| 2 |
| 10 Mar | D |
Stoke
| 3 |
Ipswich
| 3 |
| 07 Mar | D |
Ipswich
| 1 |
Leicester
| 1 |
| 03 Mar | W |
Ipswich
| 1 |
Hull
| 0 |
| 28 Feb | W |
Ipswich
| 3 |
Swansea
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Birmingham
| 18 Apr |  Hull City |
- | Birmingham |
- | |
| 12 Apr | W | Birmingham |
2 |  Wrexham |
0 |
| 06 Apr | L | Ipswich |
2 | Birmingham |
1 |
| 03 Apr | L | Birmingham |
0 |  Blackburn |
1 |
| 21 Mar | L |  Derby |
1 | Birmingham |
0 |
| 14 Mar | D | Birmingham |
1 |  Sheffield Utd |
1 |
| 11 Mar | W | Birmingham |
1 |  QPR |
0 |
| 07 Mar | L |  Charlton |
1 | Birmingham |
0 |
| 02 Mar | L | Birmingham |
1 |  Middlesbrough |
3 |
| 25 Feb | L |  Millwall |
3 | Birmingham |
0 |
England - Championship
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry | 42 | 84-42 | 85 |
| 2 |
Ipswich | 41 | 71-42 | 75 |
| 3 |
Millwall | 42 | 56-47 | 73 |
| 4 |
Southampton | 42 | 73-50 | 72 |
| 5 |
Middlesbrough | 42 | 62-42 | 72 |
| 6 |
Hull City | 42 | 64-60 | 68 |
| 7 |
Wrexham | 42 | 63-60 | 64 |
| 8 |
Derby | 42 | 61-53 | 63 |
| 9 |
Norwich | 42 | 55-50 | 58 |
| 10 |
Bristol City | 42 | 52-51 | 58 |
| 11 |
QPR | 42 | 58-63 | 58 |
| 12 |
Watford | 42 | 52-51 | 57 |
| 13 |
Preston | 42 | 50-53 | 57 |
| 14 |
Swansea | 42 | 50-54 | 57 |
| 15 |
Birmingham | 42 | 51-52 | 56 |
| 16 |
Stoke City | 42 | 49-46 | 55 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd | 42 | 59-59 | 54 |
| 18 |
Charlton | 42 | 39-51 | 49 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth | 42 | 43-57 | 48 |
| 20 |
Blackburn | 43 | 38-53 | 48 |
| 21 |
West Brom | 42 | 42-56 | 46 |
| 22 |
Oxford United | 42 | 41-54 | 44 |
| 23 |
Leicester | 42 | 54-64 | 41 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 42 | 25-82 | -4 |
