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Match Prediction

Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao Prediction

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19 Jul15:00
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Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao Prediction Copa Paulista

Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao Prediction: Betting Tips & Match Preview

Welcome to our Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao prediction for the Copa Paulista, where we break down the latest news, tactics, and betting odds for this intriguing Group 2 encounter. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just looking for the best tips, we’ll help you make sense of the stats and strategies ahead of the big game on July 19, 2025.

Form Guide: Uniao Sao Joao Flying High, Itapirense Seeking Redemption

Let’s start with the basics. Uniao Sao Joao, coached by Danilo Sacramento, are sitting pretty at the top of Group 2 with 10 points after a run of three straight wins. Their most recent scalp? A gritty 1-0 away victory over Comercial, the previous group leaders, thanks to a poacher’s finish from Jonatan Da Ora (jersey 99). The confidence in their camp is sky-high—and why wouldn’t it be?

Itapirense, on the other hand, find themselves in fifth place with just four points. Things haven’t been going their way lately, especially after a 4-2 defeat at home to Inter de Limeira. Despite goals from João Vittor and Alexandre Manzoni, their defensive frailties were exposed, and coach Tassio Lopes Ferreira will be desperate for a response to get back into the top four. The pressure is on, and the fans know it.

Head to Head: Recent History and Rivalry

If you’re the type who checks the head to head record before placing a bet, this fixture has been pretty balanced. In their last three meetings, Itapirense have taken two wins, while Uniao Sao Joao have one. The goal tally? All square at 4-4. The last time these two met, Itapirense edged a tight 1-0 win, but the previous encounters have seen more open play—including a memorable 4-2 for Uniao Sao Joao and a surprise 0-0 draw when few expected it.

Tactics and Key Players to Watch

  • Itapirense: Usually lining up in a compact 4-4-2 or 4-3-3, Itapirense like to keep things tight at the back and look for quick transitions. Their set-piece routines can be dangerous, and they rely on Lucas Almeida for goals—he’s a clinical finisher who doesn’t need many chances. Midfield veteran Lucas Nascimento is the glue, dictating play and keeping things ticking. Between the sticks, either Jackson or Felipe Viotti could get the nod.
  • Uniao Sao Joao: Expect a 4-2-3-1 with plenty of attacking intent. They love to press and counter, making the most of any defensive lapses. Rafael Costa is the creative heartbeat, while Ricardo Lopes and Jonatan (number 99) bring the pace and finishing up front. Emanoel could be a wildcard, with Borges and Dudu Black ready to make an impact off the bench.

What the Betting Odds Tell Us

  • Home win (Itapirense): 2.75
  • Draw: 3.2
  • Away win (Uniao Sao Joao): 2.35

The odds suggest a tight contest, with Uniao Sao Joao just edging it as slight favorites. But with Itapirense’s home advantage and history of resilience, don’t rule out a surprise.

Our NerdyTips AI Prediction & Betting Tips

Now for the part everyone’s waiting for—the Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao prediction from our AI at NerdyTips. The numbers and recent results point to a low-scoring affair. Our best tip? Under 2.5 total goals, which comes with a trust rating of 8.0/10 and odds of 1.64. Both teams have shown they can keep things tight, especially Uniao Sao Joao, who have made a habit of grinding out results on the road (remember their 1-0 at Comercial and that 0-0 at Marilia?).

For those who like to play the 1x2 market, our prediction leans toward an away win (Uniao Sao Joao) at odds of 2.35, with a confidence rating of 4.3. The predicted scoreline? 0-1, with a goalless first half. It’s not the most glamorous forecast, but it fits the recent trend of tight, tactical battles between these sides.

Summary: What to Expect

  1. Uniao Sao Joao are in better form and have momentum on their side, but Itapirense’s defensive approach could frustrate them.
  2. Expect a cautious first half, with both teams wary of making mistakes.
  3. Set-pieces and quick transitions could be the difference-makers.
  4. Our top betting tip is under 2.5 goals, with a slight edge for an away win.

So, if you’re looking for value, the under 2.5 goals market looks strong. And if you fancy a bit more risk, backing Uniao Sao Joao to edge it could pay off. Whatever happens, this Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao prediction promises a tense, tactical battle—just the way we like it in the Copa Paulista!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is increasing. The initial odd was: 1.47

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao

U2.5 -156

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -156
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 135

Uniao Sao Joao is expected to win with odds of 135
4/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -156

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -120

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -118

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
1.9
0.7
Goals Scored
1.3
1.3
Goals Against
0.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
7
4
Over 1.5 Goals
4
2
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Itapirense
2 - 0 - 1
Uniao Sao Joao
Uniao Sao Joao Uniao S 14-Jun-25
0:1
Itapirense Itapirense
Uniao Sao Joao Uniao S 25-Jan-25
0:1
Itapirense Itapirense
Itapirense Itapirense 21-Feb-24
2:4
Uniao S Uniao Sao Joao

Profile time Recent Matches of Itapirense

23 JanD Paulista Paulista.
2:2
Itapirense. Itapirense

Profile time Recent Matches of Uniao S

23 JanWXV de Jau XV de Jau.
0:1
Uniao S.Uniao S
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