1. Home
  2. Leagues
  3. UEFA Europa Conference League
  4. Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina

19 Feb15:00
0 : 3

Fiorentina

€247.45m

Preview

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Prediction UEFA Europa Conference League

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina prediction with value picks

Thursday night in Białystok has a familiar European feel: the local crowd trying to turn noise into points, and a Serie A visitor trying to turn control into progress. This Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina prediction sits right on that tension line, with kick-off set for 2.56-02.59 at 20:00 GMT and plenty of story hidden behind the numbers.

Match context: grit meets Italian rhythm

Jagiellonia come into this with the underdog badge pinned on, but they have recently shown they wear it well. That 0:0 away draw at AZ Alkmaar on 2.55-12.58 (when the betting odds had them at 5.5) wasn’t a lucky escape; it was a disciplined, stubborn performance. Expect them to keep the game compact again, protect the middle, and try to make Fiorentina work for every clean entry into the box.

Fiorentina, meanwhile, have the habit of finding solutions on the road. Just look at 2.56-02.54: they beat Como away 1:2 despite being priced at 5.41. That kind of result suggests a team comfortable suffering a little, then being sharp when the moment arrives. In Italian terms, it’s less “dominate everything” and more “be smart, then be deadly.”

Tactical notes to watch

Even without a deep head to head history between these clubs, the styles hint at the match script. Jagiellonia’s best chance is to keep it structured and make set pieces count; Fiorentina’s is to stretch the pitch and force 1v1 moments in wide areas.

  • Fiorentina’s likely edge: cleaner build-up and more sustained possession (forecast 45% vs 55%).
  • Jagiellonia’s likely edge: emotional momentum at home and a willingness to defend for long spells.
  • Key swing factor: who wins second balls after clearances; that often decides “tight” European ties.

Betting odds and what they imply

The market leans Fiorentina: Home win 3.1, Draw 3.35, Away win 2.5. That’s not disrespect to Jagiellonia; it’s a reflection of resources too. Jagiellonia’s squad value is €32.35m, while Fiorentina’s is €247.45m. Money doesn’t score goals, but it usually buys depth, and depth matters when the tempo rises late on.

Our AI picks: where the value sits

Now to the part where numbers meet nerves. Our Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina prediction points to Fiorentina avoiding defeat as the most sensible angle, especially given the away team’s higher shot volume projection and their ability to manage away games.

  • Best value bet: X2 (Fiorentina win or draw) at 1.43, trust score 8.5/10.
  • 1X2 recommendation: Away win (2) at 2.5, trust level 8.0/10.
  • Total goals tip: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, confidence 5.3.10.

The match stats forecast supports that logic: Fiorentina are projected for 16 shots to Jagiellonia’s 12, with on-target efforts at 5 to 4. Corners are estimated at 9 total (4–5), which fits a game where Fiorentina spend more time in the final third, while Jagiellonia look to break and earn their moments in bursts. Cards are expected to be modest (2 for Jagiellonia, 1 for Fiorentina), suggesting a controlled contest rather than a messy one.

Predicted score: a narrow Fiorentina win

The model calls it 1:2, with a 0:1 halftime score. In plain terms: Fiorentina start sharper, Jagiellonia respond after the break, and the visitors find a second punch. If you’re looking for a practical approach, X2 is the “sleep well” option, while the straight away win is for those happy to live a little. Either way, this Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina prediction expects Fiorentina’s extra quality to show—eventually, and probably without too much drama… unless the home crowd decides otherwise.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina

X2 -233

Fiorentina to win or draw with odds of -233
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 150

Fiorentina is expected to win with odds of 150
8/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -143

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -128

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.92
xG
1.67
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.13
Expected Goals
1.55
2.7
Total Goals
2.8
1.5
Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Goals Against
1.5
52%
Possession
51%
13.6
Total Shots
14.8
5
Shots on Goal
4.8
5.6
Shots off Goal
5.5
12.7
Fouls
11.3
5.4
Corners
4.8
1.4
Offsides
1.8
2.14
Yellow Cards
1.9
417
Total Passes
443

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
7
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Jagiellonia
0 - 0 - 0
Fiorentina

Profile time Recent Matches of Jagiellonia

10 AprD Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1
04 AprD Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0
21 MarL Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2
17 MarW Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 2 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 1
14 MarL Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2
06 MarL Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0
01 MarD Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 2 Legia Legia 2
26 FebW Fiorentina Fiorentina 2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4
22 FebD Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 Radomiak Radomiak 1
19 FebL Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3

Profile time Recent Matches of Fiorentina

16 AprFiorentina Fiorentina - Crystal P. Crystal P. -
13 AprWFiorentina Fiorentina 1 Lazio Lazio 0
09 AprLCrystal P. Crystal P. 3 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0
04 AprWHellas V Hellas V 0 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1
22 MarDFiorentina Fiorentina 1 Inter Inter 1
19 MarWRakow Rakow 1 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2
16 MarWCremonese Cremonese 1 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4
12 MarWFiorentina Fiorentina 2 Rakow Rakow 1
08 MarDFiorentina Fiorentina 0 Parma Parma 0
02 MarLUdinese Udinese 3 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0

World - UEFA Europa Conference League World - UEFA Europa Conference League

Team M G P
1 Strasbourg Strasbourg611-516
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków69-214
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC614-713
4 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha610-313
5 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano613-713
6 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar610-513
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 0567-313
8 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca67-112
9 Lausanne Lausanne66-311
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace611-610
11 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan612-810
12 Samsunspor Samsunspor610-610
13 Celje Celje68-710
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar67-710
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina68-59
16 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka65-29
17 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia65-49
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia65-48
19 FC Noah FC Noah66-78
20 Drita Drita64-88
21 KuPS KuPS66-57
22 Shkendija Shkendija64-57
23 Zrinjski Zrinjski68-107
24 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc67-97
25 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea66-87
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps67-157
27 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv69-96
28 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa68-86
29 Slovan Bratislava Slovan65-96
30 Breidablik Breidablik66-115
31 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock67-134
32 BK Hacken BK Hacken65-83
33 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun64-113
34 Shelbourne Shelbourne60-72
35 Aberdeen Aberdeen63-142
36 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna63-141
Video preview
You might also like:
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Koln Brentford vs Fulham Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches