Match Prediction
Match Prediction
India
Jamshedpur
€3.30m
ATK M
€7.25m
Preview
As the Indian Super League moves into its final stretch, all eyes turn to JRD Tata Sports Complex on April 3rd, where Jamshedpur will host ATK Mohun Bagan in a 15:00 GMT kickoff. With the mercury rising both on and off the pitch, this encounter promises to be a fascinating study in contrasts — a gritty, underdog home side taking on a technically superior title contender.
Jamshedpur, currently valued at €3.30m, has had their moments of brilliance this season, including a surprising 0:3 away win against Mumbai City back in January. But consistency has eluded them. ATK Mohun Bagan, with a squad value of €7.25m, have looked more composed and balanced, and their recent form suggests they’re gearing up for a strong finish.
The last time these two sides met — on January 17th, 2025 — it ended in a 1-1 draw, with both teams sharing the spoils. That result, however, came when Jamshedpur was riding a rare high. This time, the odds paint a clearer picture: home win at 3.3, draw at 3.6, and away win at 1.94. The bookmakers are clearly leaning toward the Mariners, and so are we.
Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan prediction models heavily favor the away side, with our analysis forecasting a 0:2 scoreline and a 0:1 lead by halftime. That suggests a quiet but controlled performance from ATK Mohun Bagan, who are likely to dominate possession (expected 54%) and use their technical superiority to dictate the tempo.
If you're looking for fireworks, this might not be your match. The AI-generated best tip for this one is under 3.3 goals, with a confidence of 3.8/10 and odds of 1.42. That might not scream certainty, but it aligns with broader league trends — only 33% of Indian Super League matches this season have seen more than 3.3 goals. Both teams are predicted to register just four shots on target each, further suggesting a low-scoring affair.
Interestingly, 56.3% of ISL games have seen both teams score, but our prediction model leans against that trend here. With ATK Mohun Bagan’s defensive discipline and Jamshedpur’s occasional struggles in the final third, this feels like one of those 43.7% where both teams don’t find the net. In short, a “No” on both teams to score could be worth a look.
Here's what we predict for Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan: the best tip is under 3.3 goals at odds of 1.42, with a moderate confidence rating of 3.8 out of 10 — a pick that aligns well with the expected tempo and recent form of both sides.
Statistically, ATK Mohun Bagan’s higher squad value and better possession metrics give them the edge. They’re predicted to take 13 shots — the same number as Jamshedpur — but with greater efficiency in front of goal. The corner count is expected to be close (5 for Jamshedpur, 4 for ATKMB), indicating that while the game might be tight in terms of chances, the away side is more likely to convert when it matters.
Disciplinary issues could also play a role. With both teams expected to receive two yellow cards each, tempers may flare, especially if Jamshedpur find themselves behind early. But unless something dramatic unfolds, this looks like a game ATK Mohun Bagan should control without shifting into high gear.
So, while Jamshedpur has pulled off surprises before — just ask Mumbai City — this seems like one step too far. For punters and fans alike, the smart money is on a professional, low-scoring victory for the visitors.
Expect a methodical display from ATK Mohun Bagan, who are tipped to win 0:2. The under 3.3 goals market looks attractive given the stats and predicted tempo, and while it may not be a goal-fest, it promises to be a display of tactical control and defensive discipline. Keep your expectations grounded — this one’s more chess match than barn burner.
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Meaningless match!
U3.5 -238
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2382 -106
ATK M is expected to win with odds of -106Under 3.5 -238
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 120
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U5.5 -250
Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:2
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5
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2
-
6
|
|
 ATK M |
07-Apr-25
2:0
| Jamshedpur  |
| Jamshedpur |
03-Apr-25
2:1
| ATK M |
| Jamshedpur |
17-Jan-25
1:1
| ATK M |
| ATK M |
23-Nov-24
3:0
| Jamshedpur |
| ATK M |
01-Mar-24
3:0
| Jamshedpur |
| Jamshedpur |
01-Nov-23
2:3
| ATK M |
| Jamshedpur |
14-Apr-23
3:0
| ATK M |
| Jamshedpur |
09-Feb-23
0:0
| ATK M |
| ATK M |
08-Dec-22
1:0
| Jamshedpur |
| ATK M |
07-Mar-22
0:1
| Jamshedpur |
India - Indian Super League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ATK Mohun Baga | 24 | 47-16 | 56 |
| 2 |
Goa | 24 | 43-27 | 48 |
| 3 |
Bengaluru | 24 | 40-31 | 38 |
| 4 |
NorthEast Unit | 24 | 46-29 | 38 |
| 5 |
Jamshedpur | 24 | 37-43 | 38 |
| 6 |
Mumbai City | 24 | 29-28 | 36 |
| 7 |
Odisha | 24 | 44-37 | 33 |
| 8 |
Kerala Blaster | 24 | 33-37 | 29 |
| 9 |
East Bengal | 24 | 27-33 | 28 |
| 10 |
Minerva Punjab | 24 | 34-38 | 28 |
| 11 |
Chennaiyin | 24 | 34-39 | 27 |
| 12 |
Hyderabad | 24 | 22-47 | 18 |
| 13 |
Mohammedan | 24 | 12-43 | 13 |
