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Match Prediction

Juventude vs Santos Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil
Serie A

Juventude

€23.20m

3 Dec17:30
0 : 3

Santos

€82.80m

Preview

Juventude vs Santos Prediction Serie A

Juventude vs Santos Prediction: Odds, Form, and Tactical Preview

Welcome to NerdyTips’ deep dive into the Juventude vs Santos prediction for the crucial Serie A fixture on December 3, 2025. With both teams fighting for survival, this encounter at Alfredo Jaconi Stadium is set to be decisive. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, betting odds, and what our AI expects from this high-stakes match.

Team Form, Injuries, and Tactical Approaches

Both Juventude and Santos enter this game with their backs against the wall. Juventude sits 19th in the Serie A table with 34 points, while Santos is just ahead in 17th with 38 points. The hosts have recently drawn 1-1 with EC Bahia and suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Sao Paulo, reflecting their ongoing struggle to find consistency. Santos, meanwhile, are enjoying a modest revival, unbeaten in four and fresh off a commanding 3-0 win over Sport Recife.

Injuries are a major storyline for both sides:

  • Juventude will be without Emerson Galego, Daniel Peixoto, Lucas Fernandes, Wilker Ángel, and Gilberto, all sidelined with various muscle and ankle issues. Defensive solidity and midfield creativity could be hard to come by.
  • Santos are missing Gonzalo Escobar and, crucially, Neymar. Despite his heroics in the last match, the star forward is out with a meniscus injury, leaving a creative void up front.

On the tactical front, Juventude—under Thiago Carpini—are likely to stick with a 3-4-2-1, hoping to crowd the midfield and spring quick counters. Earlier in the season, their 4-1.29-2 under Fábio Matias aimed for high pressing, but recent form suggests a more cautious approach. Santos, led by Juan Vojvoda, favor a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing pace and counterattacks, a style that has brought them some recent success.

Head to Head and Recent Encounters

Looking at the head to head record, Santos have had the upper hand. In their last league meeting on August 4, 2025, Santos won 3-1, with Neymar bagging a brace. Juventude haven’t won at home in their last three league games and are winless in their last three against Santos. Last time they met at Alfredo Jaconi, Santos edged a 2-1 victory.

Despite their struggles, Juventude did pull off a shock 3-1 win at Vasco earlier this season, showing they can spring a surprise. Santos, too, stunned Cruzeiro away with a 2-1 win, proving they’re dangerous on the road.

Betting Odds, AI Tips, and Match Predictions

The betting odds paint a clear picture:

  • Home win: 5.6
  • Draw: 3.9
  • Away win (Santos): 1.7

Our NerdyTips AI leans towards an away win in its Juventude vs Santos prediction, with a trust level of 4.4/10 and odds of 1.7. The AI also strongly suggests betting on over 1.5 total goals (odds 1.29, confidence 4.5.60), indicating we should expect at least two goals in this match.

Here’s how the stats stack up:

  • Expected final score: 0:2 for Santos
  • Half-time score: 0:1
  • Ball possession: Juventude 34%, Santos 66%
  • Shots: Juventude 7 (3 on target), Santos 15 (4 on target)
  • Corners: Juventude 2, Santos 5
  • Yellow cards: Juventude 2, Santos 1

Key Factors and Final Thoughts

With squad values of €23.20m for Juventude and €82.80m for Santos, there’s a clear gap in resources. Yet, in a relegation battle, grit often matters more than price tags. The absence of Neymar is a blow, but Santos’ recent form and tactical discipline make them favorites according to both the odds and our AI model.

To sum up our Juventude vs Santos prediction:

  1. Santos are the likely winners, especially given their recent head to head dominance and better form.
  2. Expect at least two total goals, with the away side likely to control possession and create more chances.
  3. Juventude will need to dig deep and hope for another upset, but the stats and betting odds are stacked against them.

For both casual fans and serious bettors, this is a match where the numbers and the narrative align: Santos to win and over 1.5 goals is the smart play. Stay tuned for more expert analysis and tips on NerdyTips.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Juventude is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Juventude vs Santos

O1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -143

Santos is expected to win with odds of -143
4/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -345

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -105

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -222

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

0.83
xG
1.26
34%
Ball Possession
66%
7
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.03
Expected Goals
1.15
3
Total Goals
2.6
1.3
Goals Scored
1.4
1.7
Goals Against
1.2
41%
Possession
50%
11.4
Total Shots
13.4
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.5
4.3
Shots off Goal
5.8
19.3
Fouls
12.2
3.6
Corners
4.9
1.4
Offsides
1.4
3.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
315
Total Passes
383

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
6
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Juventude
1 - 1 - 3
Santos
Santos Santos 05-Aug-25
3:1
Juventude Juventude
Santos Santos 11-Oct-22
4:1
Juventude Juventude
Juventude Juventude 15-Jun-22
1:2
Santos Santos
Juventude Juventude 26-Sep-21
3:0
Santos Santos
Santos Santos 12-Jun-21
0:0
Juventude Juventude

Profile time Recent Matches of Juventude

14 JanD Novo H Novo H.
1:1
Juventude. Juventude
10 JanD Juventude Juventude.
1:1
Ypiranga-RS. Ypiranga-RS
07 DecD Corinthians Corinthians.
1:1
Juventude. Juventude
03 DecL Juventude Juventude.
0:3
Santos. Santos
28 NovD Juventude Juventude.
1:1
Bahia. Bahia
23 NovL Sao Paulo Sao Paulo.
2:1
Juventude. Juventude
20 NovD Juventude Juventude.
3:3
Cruzeiro. Cruzeiro
08 NovW Vasco Vasco.
1:3
Juventude. Juventude
05 NovW Sport Recife Sport Recife.
0:2
Juventude. Juventude
02 NovL Juventude Juventude.
0:2
Palmeiras. Palmeiras

Profile time Recent Matches of Santos

14 JanLPalmeiras Palmeiras.
1:0
Santos.Santos
10 JanWSantos Santos.
2:1
Novorizontin.Novorizontino
07 DecWSantos Santos.
3:0
Cruzeiro.Cruzeiro
03 DecWJuventude Juventude.
0:3
Santos.Santos
29 NovWSantos Santos.
3:0
Sport Recife.Sport Recife
25 NovDInternacional Internaciona.
1:1
Santos.Santos
20 NovDSantos Santos.
1:1
Mirassol.Mirassol
16 NovWSantos Santos.
1:0
Palmeiras.Palmeiras
09 NovLFlamengo RJ Flamengo RJ.
3:2
Santos.Santos
07 NovLPalmeiras Palmeiras.
2:0
Santos.Santos

Brazil - Serie A Brazil - Serie A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Flamengo Flamengo37
75-24
78
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras37
63-32
73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro36
53-26
69
4 Mirassol Mirassol37
60-36
66
5 Fluminense Fluminense37
48-39
61
6 Bahia Bahia37
50-44
60
7 Botafogo Botafogo36
52-34
59
8 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo37
43-46
51
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino37
44-54
48
10 Corinthians Corinthians37
41-46
46
11 Gremio Gremio37
43-50
46
12 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama37
55-55
45
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG37
38-44
45
14 Santos Santos37
42-50
44
15 Ceara Ceara37
33-37
43
16 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC37
41-54
43
17 Vitoria Vitoria37
34-52
42
18 Internacional Internacional37
41-56
41
19 Juventude Juventude37
34-68
34
20 Sport Recife Sport Recife37
28-71
17
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