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Match Prediction

Juventus vs Benfica Prediction

Juventus

€602.70m

21 Jan15:00
2 : 0

Benfica

€350.50m

Preview

Juventus vs Benfica Prediction UEFA Champions League

Juventus vs Benfica Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Betting Preview

The UEFA Champions League returns with a match that has fans and sports betting enthusiasts buzzing: Juventus vs Benfica prediction is the hot topic for January 21, 2026, as these two storied clubs meet at the Allianz Stadium in Turin. With Juventus looking to break their winless streak against Benfica and both sides bringing tactical intrigue, there’s plenty to unpack for bettors and football fans alike.

Team News, Tactics, and Head to Head Insights

Let’s start with the basics. Juventus host this fixture with a squad that, while boasting a market value of €602.70m, is not without its injury headaches. The likes of Dusan Vlahović and Daniele Rugani are sidelined, while Federico Gatti is only just returning from a meniscus injury. The attack will rely on the improving Jonathan David, supported by key midfielders like Manuel Locatelli and Weston McKennie, who have been instrumental in maintaining team balance. Juventus’ form is encouraging: four wins and a draw in their last five outings, including a resounding 5.5 win over Cremonese.

Benfica, valued at €350.50m, arrive in Turin under the pragmatic guidance of José Mourinho, who took the reins in September 2025. The Portuguese giants have had their own injury woes, with several key players like João Veloso and D. Lukébakio out of action. Their recent form is less convincing—just two wins in their last five, with a 1-0 defeat to Porto fresh in the memory. Still, Benfica’s tactical approach under Mourinho is likely to be disciplined and defensive, focusing on quick transitions and well-organized pressing.

  • Juventus have never beaten Benfica in seven previous meetings, with the Portuguese side winning three and the rest ending in stalemates.
  • The last head to head in the Champions League saw Benfica win 2-0, continuing their dominance over Juve in this competition.

Tactically, Juventus are shifting under Luciano Spalletti, who was appointed in October 2025. Spalletti’s side is fluid, aggressive, and comfortable in possession, often building from the back and looking to exploit space with high balls and quick transitions. Expect to see the “Koopmeiners Metamorphosis” in action, with Teun Koopmeiners dropping into the back line to orchestrate play, while attackers like Openda and David create space for runners. Defensively, Juve can morph from a 3-4-2-1 to a compact 5-4-1 when needed.

Benfica, under Mourinho, are expected to cede possession—projected at just 36%—and focus on defensive solidity, hoping to catch Juventus on the break. This pragmatic approach is a departure from their previous fluid, attacking style under Bruno Lage.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Smart Tips

Now, let’s get to what matters for those making their Juventus vs Benfica prediction: the betting odds and tips. The bookmakers have Juventus as favorites with odds of 1.75 for a home win, while a draw is set at 3.95 and an away win for Benfica at 5.5. Our AI tips Juventus to win (1) as the best bet, with a trust rating of 5.6/10—solid, but not overwhelming confidence.

  1. 1x2 Market: The main prediction here is a home win for Juventus (odds 1.75, trust rating 5.7/10). The Old Lady’s recent form, home advantage, and tactical discipline under Spalletti tip the scales in their favor, even if history isn’t on their side.
  2. Under/Over Market: Under 3.5 goals is the suggested play (odds 1.35, confidence 2.6/10). Both teams have shown defensive resilience, and with Mourinho’s cautious approach, a low-scoring affair is likely.
  3. Correct Score: The predicted final score is 2:0 for Juventus, aligning with their improved attacking output and Benfica’s struggles to break down organized defenses away from home.

Additional stats back up our Juventus vs Benfica prediction: Juve are expected to dominate possession (64%), take more shots (15 vs 10), and win more corners (5 vs 2). Benfica’s best hope may be to frustrate the home side and strike on the counter, but the odds and recent form suggest that’s a tall order.

Key Takeaways and Betting Advice

  • Juventus are favored by both AI prediction and betting odds, but the trust rating suggests a degree of caution.
  • Under 3.5 goals looks a strong bet given both teams’ tactical setups and recent goal-scoring records.
  • With Juventus’ historical struggles against Benfica, a small stake on the away win (5.5) could appeal to risk-takers, but the smart money is on the home side.

In summary, our Juventus vs Benfica prediction leans toward a Juventus win in a measured, tactical contest. Expect a chess match, not a goal fest—perfect for those who appreciate the finer points of European football and smart sports betting.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Juventus vs Benfica

1 -133

Juventus is expected to win with odds of -133
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -133

Juventus is expected to win with odds of -133
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -111

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -244

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.74
xG
1.01
64%
Ball Possession
36%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
2

Average / Match

1.77
Expected Goals
1.5
2.4
Total Goals
2.6
1.9
Goals Scored
1.8
0.5
Goals Against
0.8
56%
Possession
49%
16.2
Total Shots
14.3
5.9
Shots on Goal
5.3
5.3
Shots off Goal
5.8
11.6
Fouls
11.7
6.4
Corners
5.1
2
Offsides
1.9
0.86
Yellow Cards
1
554
Total Passes
462

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
6
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
3
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Juventus
0 - 1 - 3
Benfica
Juventus Juventus 29-Jan-25
0:2
Benfica Benfica
Benfica Benfica 25-Oct-22
4:3
Juventus Juventus
Juventus Juventus 14-Sep-22
1:2
Benfica Benfica
Benfica Benfica 28-Jul-18
1:1
Juventus Juventus

Profile time Recent Matches of Juventus

01 Feb Parma Parma.
-
Juventus. Juventus
25 JanW Juventus Juventus.
3:0
Napoli. Napoli
21 JanW Juventus Juventus.
2:0
Benfica. Benfica
17 JanL Cagliari Cagliari.
1:0
Juventus. Juventus
12 JanW Juventus Juventus.
5:0
Cremonese. Cremonese
06 JanW Sassuolo Sassuolo.
0:3
Juventus. Juventus
03 JanD Juventus Juventus.
1:1
Lecce. Lecce
27 DecW Pisa Pisa.
0:2
Juventus. Juventus
20 DecW Juventus Juventus.
2:1
AS Roma. AS Roma
14 DecW Bologna Bologna.
0:1
Juventus. Juventus

Profile time Recent Matches of Benfica

25 JanWBenfica Benfica.
4:0
Estrela.Estrela
21 JanLJuventus Juventus.
2:0
Benfica.Benfica
17 JanWRio Ave Rio Ave.
0:2
Benfica.Benfica
14 JanLFC Porto FC Porto.
1:0
Benfica.Benfica
07 JanLBenfica Benfica.
1:3
Braga.Braga
03 JanWBenfica Benfica.
3:1
Estoril.Estoril
28 DecDBraga Braga.
2:2
Benfica.Benfica
22 DecWBenfica Benfica.
1:0
Famalicao.Famalicao
17 DecWSC Farense SC Farense.
0:2
Benfica.Benfica
14 DecWMoreirense Moreirense.
0:4
Benfica.Benfica

World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal7
20-2
21
2 Bayern München Bayern7
20-7
18
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid7
19-8
15
4 Liverpool Liverpool7
14-8
15
5 Tottenham Tottenham7
15-7
14
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint7
20-10
13
7 Newcastle Newcastle7
16-6
13
8 Chelsea Chelsea7
14-8
13
9 Barcelona Barcelona7
18-13
13
10 Sporting CP Sporting CP7
14-9
13
11 Manchester City Manchester7
13-9
13
12 Atletico Madrid Atletico7
16-13
13
13 Atalanta Atalanta7
10-9
13
14 Inter Inter7
13-7
12
15 Juventus Juventus7
14-10
12
16 Borussia Dortmund Borussia7
19-15
11
17 Galatasaray Galatasaray7
9-9
10
18 Qarabag Qarabag7
13-15
10
19 Marseille Marseille7
11-11
9
20 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer7
10-14
9
21 Monaco Monaco7
8-14
9
22 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven7
15-14
8
23 Athletic Club Athletic Club7
7-11
8
24 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos7
8-13
8
25 Napoli Napoli7
7-12
8
26 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen7
11-17
8
27 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV7
12-17
7
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt7
12-14
6
29 Benfica Benfica7
6-10
6
30 Pafos Pafos7
4-10
6
31 Union St. Gilloise Union St.7
7-17
6
32 Ajax Ajax7
7-19
6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht7
10-19
4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha7
4-15
3
35 Villarreal Villarreal7
5-15
1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty7
5-19
1
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