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Match Prediction

Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS Prediction

Finished
Sweden flag Sweden
Superettan

Kalmar FF

€6.15m

22 Jun11:00
2 : 3

Orgryte IS

€3.70m

Preview

Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS Prediction Superettan

Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS Prediction: Can the Home Side Extend Their Lead?

The Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS prediction is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing matchups in the Superettan this weekend. With Kalmar sitting pretty at the top of the table and Orgryte not far behind in third, this game could have major implications for the promotion race. The betting odds favor the hosts, but as any seasoned football fan knows, surprises are always lurking in Swedish football.

Why the AI Backs Kalmar FF

Both our AI and NerdyTips' model are leaning toward a home win, and it’s easy to see why. Kalmar’s squad value (€6.15m) dwarfs Orgryte’s (€3.70m), and their league position (1st, 26 pts) suggests they’ve been the more consistent side. Here’s what the numbers tell us:

  • Home win odds: 1.67 (53% implied probability)
  • Draw odds: 3.78 (24% chance)
  • Away win odds: 4.75 (18% chance)

The AI’s trust scores (5.0/10 and 5.1) aren’t sky-high, but they reflect Kalmar’s edge in possession (projected at 64%) and home advantage. Still, Orgryte’s ability to create chances (5 shots on target vs. Kalmar’s 3) means this won’t be a walk in the park.

Goal Expectations: Will the Net Bulge?

The sports betting markets are buzzing about goals. The AI predicts over 2.5 goals (odds: 1.57, confidence: 2.3) and a 2-1 final score, with Kalmar leading 1-0 at halftime. Superettan trends back this up:

  1. 47.7% of games see over 2.5 goals
  2. BTTS (Both Teams to Score) lands 49.9% of the time
  3. Home wins occur in 38.4% of matches

Kalmar’s control vs. Orgryte’s sharper shooting makes for a fascinating duel. Will the hosts’ dominance translate into goals, or can Orgryte exploit counterattacks?

Historical Context: Upsets Loom Large

If there’s one thing Superettan teaches us, it’s that underdogs love to bite back. Kalmar’s 1-1 draw against Djurgardens last season (odds: 5.53) and Orgryte’s surprise 1-1 stalemate with Vasteras SK earlier this year (odds: 5.0) prove that past form isn’t everything. The head-to-head record adds another layer—Kalmar has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, but Orgryte snatched a draw in their most recent encounter.

Referee & Intangibles: The Wild Card

With the referee still TBD, we’re left to wonder: will the officiating sway the game? Swedish football has a knack for drama, and an unknown ref can sometimes mean unpredictable calls. Discipline-wise, expect a fiery but fair contest—the AI projects just 1 yellow card per team.

Final Betting Insights

For those diving into Superettan betting tips, here’s the breakdown:

  • Safe pick: Kalmar win (1.67) – Their form and home record inspire confidence.
  • Value bet: Over 2.5 goals (1.57) – Both teams have attacking intent.
  • Dark horse: Orgryte double chance (2.60) – Their resilience could pay off.

Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS Prediction: The Verdict

The Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS prediction boils down to trust in the league leaders or faith in the underdog’s grit. Kalmar’s superior squad and home turf give them the edge, but Orgryte’s knack for defying betting odds makes them a live threat. Whether you’re backing Kalmar’s dominance or betting on Orgryte’s defiance, these odds offer tasty value. Let’s see if the script plays out—or if Swedish football delivers another twist.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Kalmar FF vs Orgryte IS

1 -149

Kalmar FF is expected to win with odds of -149
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -149

Kalmar FF is expected to win with odds of -149
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -172

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -294

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

64%
Ball Possession
36%
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
3.7
2
Goals Scored
2.5
0.7
Goals Against
1.2

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Kalmar FF
1 - 0 - 0
Orgryte IS
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 23-Feb-20
3:0
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS

Sweden - Superettan Sweden - Superettan

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK30
62-30
65
2 Kalmar FF Kalmar FF30
52-21
64
3 Orgryte IS Orgryte IS30
57-33
56
4 Oddevold Oddevold30
42-36
48
5 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF30
53-36
46
6 Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS 30
45-42
43
7 Helsingborg Helsingborg30
42-39
41
8 IK brage IK brage30
51-51
41
9 Landskrona BoIS Landskrona BoI30
39-47
41
10 Sandviken Sandviken30
36-47
41
11 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall30
36-38
40
12 Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK30
33-51
36
13 Utsikten Utsikten30
46-53
30
14 Orebro SK Orebro SK30
39-54
22
15 trelleborgs FF trelleborgs FF30
23-51
22
16 Umeå FC Akademi Umeå FC Akade30
30-57
19
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