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Match Prediction

Karagumruk vs Besiktas Prediction

Finished

Karagumruk

€20.40m

30 Nov13:00
0 : 2

Besiktas

€167.80m

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Karagumruk vs Besiktas Prediction Süper Lig

Karagumruk vs Besiktas Prediction: Odds, Insights, and Betting Tips

Welcome to our Karagumruk vs Besiktas prediction, where we break down one of Istanbul’s most intriguing Süper Lig fixtures set for November 30, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. With both teams hungry for points, tactical tweaks on the cards, and a rich head-to-head history, there’s plenty to unpack for fans and bettors alike.

Form, Standings, and Tactical Talking Points

The setting is Istanbul’s Vefa Stadium—although Karagumruk fans know their club has often called the vast Atatürk Olympic Stadium home for big Süper Lig nights. As we approach kickoff, the home side finds themselves in a precarious 18th position, while Besiktas, the Black Eagles, perch at 7th. Both teams are coming off winless outings, but their recent paths couldn’t be more different.

  • Karagumruk have managed just one win in their last ten league matches, a worrying trend for coach Marcel Licka. Their most valuable player, David Datro Fofana, will need to step up, especially with key assister Sam Andreas Larsson sidelined.
  • Besiktas, on the other hand, have been reliable travelers—unbeaten in ten of their last twelve away games. Sergen Yalçın’s side is looking to bounce back after a frustrating 1-1 draw with Samsunspor, and he’s not shying away from bold decisions: Tammy Abraham, after a dip in form, is set to start on the bench, making way for El Bilal Toure up front with Jota Silva on the wing.

Injuries are a concern for both teams. Karagumruk are without Larsson, Ahmet Sivri, and Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze, while Besiktas have a longer list, including Emirhan Topcu, Mustafa Hekimoglu, Necip Uysal, and Rafa Silva. Still, with a squad valued at €1.722.80m compared to Karagumruk’s €20.40m, Besiktas have the depth to cope.

Head to Head: History Favors the Black Eagles

When it comes to the Karagumruk vs Besiktas prediction, history is a reliable guide. In their last nine meetings, Besiktas have claimed victory seven times, with just one draw and one loss. The Black Eagles are undefeated in their last six Süper Lig encounters with Karagumruk, and they’ve scored in nine straight matches against them.

  • Average total goals per match: 2.0
  • Average first-half goals: 0.6
  • Karagumruk average goals vs Besiktas: 0.6
  • Besiktas average goals vs Karagumruk: 1.4

Karagumruk’s struggles in front of goal are clear—they’ve failed to score in four of their seven home games this season. Besiktas, meanwhile, have only been shut out twice in seven away matches.

Betting Odds and AI-Backed Predictions

Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. The betting odds tell a story of their own:

  • Home win: 4.7
  • Draw: 4.3
  • Away win: 1.722

Our AI gives a strong nod to Besiktas, recommending an away win (2) with a trust rating of 8.0/10 and odds of 1.722. The 1x2 prediction is also a confident 2, with the same trust and odds. If you’re looking for a little extra excitement, the best over/under bet is over 2.5 total goals, though the trust rating here is a more cautious 2.1 and odds are 1.722.

  1. Expected final score: 0:3 in favor of Besiktas
  2. Half-time prediction: 0:2 Besiktas
  3. Possession: Karagumruk 42%, Besiktas 58%
  4. Shots: Karagumruk 10 (2 on target), Besiktas 13 (4 on target)
  5. Corners: Both teams expected to win 3 each
  6. Yellow cards: Karagumruk 2, Besiktas 1

What Does It All Mean? Our Karagumruk vs Besiktas Prediction

The numbers, form, and history all point in one direction for this Karagumruk vs Besiktas prediction: a comfortable away win. Besiktas have the squad value, the form, and the tactical flexibility to take all three points, especially with El Bilal Toure and Jota Silva looking to make a statement. Karagumruk’s struggles in front of goal and injury woes only add to the away side’s advantage.

If you’re betting, the away win at 1.722 looks like the smart play, and while over 2.5 goals is tempting, the trust rating suggests keeping your stake modest there. The expected scoreline of 0:3 reflects Besiktas’s attacking potential and Karagumruk’s defensive frailties. For those who like their bets wrapped up early, a half-time away lead is also on the cards.

In summary, our Karagumruk vs Besiktas prediction is a confident nod to the Black Eagles. Istanbul’s big three are always hard to beat, and with history and form on their side, Besiktas should have too much for their neighborhood rivals this time around. As always, bet responsibly—and enjoy the football!

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Karagumruk vs Besiktas

2 -139

Besiktas is expected to win with odds of -139
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -139

Besiktas is expected to win with odds of -139
8/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -159

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No 125

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -244

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

0.96
xG
1.85
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.12
Expected Goals
1.69
2.9
Total Goals
3.1
1.1
Goals Scored
1.8
1.8
Goals Against
1.3
47%
Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
12.3
2.9
Shots on Goal
4.5
4.9
Shots off Goal
4.2
14.8
Fouls
12.9
4
Corners
3.7
2.5
Offsides
2
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.9
0.17
Red Cards
0.17
365
Total Passes
398

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
10
4
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Karagumruk
1 - 3 - 6
Besiktas
Besiktas Besiktas 28-Mar-24
1:1
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Besiktas Besiktas 13-Jan-24
3:0
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Karagumruk Karagumruk 14-Aug-23
0:1
Besiktas Besiktas
Karagumruk Karagumruk 31-Jan-23
1:1
Besiktas Besiktas
Besiktas Besiktas 02-Dec-22
1:1
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Besiktas Besiktas 21-Aug-22
4:1
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Karagumruk Karagumruk 18-Jan-22
0:1
Besiktas Besiktas
Besiktas Besiktas 28-Aug-21
1:0
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Besiktas Besiktas 11-May-21
1:2
Karagumruk Karagumruk

Profile time Recent Matches of Karagumruk

13 MarW Karagumruk Karagumruk 2 Fenerbahce Fenerbahce 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Besiktas

15 MarGenclerbirligi Genclerbirligi - Besiktas Besiktas -

Turkey - Süper Lig Turkey - Süper Lig

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray26
62-18
64
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe26
57-27
57
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor26
52-29
57
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş25
45-30
46
5 Göztepe Göztepe26
30-20
43
6 Başakşehir Başakşehir26
44-30
42
7 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor26
23-27
33
8 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK26
35-42
33
9 Samsunspor Samsunspor25
27-30
32
10 Rizespor Rizespor26
32-36
30
11 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor26
28-32
28
12 Konyaspor Konyaspor26
30-39
27
13 Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği25
28-34
25
14 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor26
25-43
24
15 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor25
19-36
22
16 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa25
21-36
21
17 Kayserispor Kayserispor25
19-46
20
18 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih26
24-46
17
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