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Match Prediction

Karagumruk vs Galatasaray Prediction

Finished

Karagumruk

€17.25m

24 Jan12:00
1 : 3

Galatasaray

€287.35m

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Karagumruk vs Galatasaray Prediction Süper Lig

Karagumruk vs Galatasaray Prediction: Stats, Tactics, and Betting Tips

The Karagumruk vs Galatasaray prediction for January 24, 2026, is on everyone's mind as Istanbul’s Vefa Stadium gears up for a Süper Lig fixture that feels more like David versus Goliath. Whether you’re here for sports betting tips, the latest betting odds, or just want a friendly expert take, we’ve got you covered with a story-driven preview packed with statistics and betting insights.

Team Form, Tactics, and What to Expect

This Matchweek 19 encounter finds Galatasaray sitting comfortably atop the Süper Lig table with 43 points, while Karagumruk are stuck at the bottom, 18th with just 9 points. The difference is not just in the standings—market values tell the same story, with the home team valued at €17.25m and the visitors at a staggering €287.35m.

  • Karagumruk have endured a tough season: only 2 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses in 18 matches. Their home record is even gloomier, with just 1 win at Vefa Stadium. They’ve failed to score in 6 of their last 9 home games and haven’t tasted victory in their last 6 outings across all competitions.
  • Galatasaray are in excellent shape. Four wins in their last six league matches, a solid away record (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), and a defense that’s the envy of the league. They’ve scored at least two goals in each of their last 17 Süper Lig games and remain unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 league matches.

Tactically, Galatasaray manager Okan Buruk has built a side that’s hard to break down and even harder to stop going forward. Their average of 2.13 goals per away match is 64% above the league average, while their defensive discipline means they rarely concede. Karagumruk, meanwhile, struggle to create chances and have averaged just 0.67 goals per match in their last six.

Players to Watch and Head to Head Insights

  • For Karagumruk, David Datro Fofana is the main threat, leading with 6 goals. Sam Andreas Larsson (3 assists) and Matías Kranevitter are also worth a mention.
  • For Galatasaray, Mauro Icardi stands out with 9 goals, while Barış Alper Yılmaz (7 assists) and Leroy Sane are key attacking figures.

Looking at recent head to head meetings, Galatasaray have won 5 of their last 6 against Karagumruk. The last time these two met, the Lions edged a 3-2 thriller. Karagumruk haven’t beaten Galatasaray at home since 2020, and the odds are stacked against them again.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Smart Bets

Let’s break down the Karagumruk vs Galatasaray prediction from a sports betting perspective. The current betting odds are:

  • Karagumruk win: 12.5
  • Draw: 6.5
  • Galatasaray win: 1.27

Our NerdyTips AI model is supremely confident in an away win, rating the “2” outcome (Galatasaray win) a rock-solid 10.0/10 with odds of 1.27. The AI prediction for the 1x2 market is clear: Galatasaray should take all three points.

  • Best wager: Galatasaray to win (2) at 1.27 odds – confidence 10.0/10
  • Best under/over bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.67 odds – trust rating 3.3

The predicted final score is 0:2 in favor of Galatasaray, with a half-time edge of 0:1. Expect the visitors to dominate possession (66%), create more chances (17 shots to 7), and win more corners (6 to 2). Karagumruk are likely to have just 2 shots on target, while Galatasaray should manage 5.

Key Statistics and Final Thoughts

  • Galatasaray have not lost in 14 of their last 15 Süper Lig matches.
  • Karagumruk have failed to win 15 of their last 17 league games.
  • Galatasaray have scored at least twice in every league match this season.
  • Karagumruk scores 40% of their goals after the 76th minute—watch for late drama if they get on the board.

In summary, every stat, trend, and betting tip points to a Galatasaray victory. The difference in form, squad value, and head to head history is just too great for Karagumruk to bridge. For those looking for a safe bet, Galatasaray to win is the clear pick, with under 3.5 goals offering a decent side bet. The Karagumruk vs Galatasaray prediction is a straightforward one: expect a professional, controlled away win.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Galatasaray has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Karagumruk vs Galatasaray

2 -370

Galatasaray is expected to win with odds of -370
10/10

1x2 Tip

2 -370

Galatasaray is expected to win with odds of -370
10/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -128

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -108

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -217

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

0.42
xG
2.13
34%
Ball Possession
66%
7
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
9
2
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.9
Total Goals
2.9
1.2
Goals Scored
1.9
1.7
Goals Against
1
47%
Possession
61%
8.1
Total Shots
15.6
2.9
Shots on Goal
5.1
3.9
Shots off Goal
7.9
12.2
Fouls
11.8
4
Corners
5.2
2.4
Offsides
1
2
Yellow Cards
1.83
376
Total Passes
514

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
6
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Karagumruk
2 - 3 - 5
Galatasaray
Galatasaray Galatasaray 15-Aug-25
3:0
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Karagumruk Karagumruk 12-May-24
2:3
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Galatasaray Galatasaray 29-Feb-24
0:2
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Galatasaray Galatasaray 20-Dec-23
1:0
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Galatasaray Galatasaray 23-Apr-23
3:3
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Karagumruk Karagumruk 28-Oct-22
0:2
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Galatasaray Galatasaray 02-Apr-22
2:0
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Karagumruk Karagumruk 07-Nov-21
1:1
Galatasaray Galatasaray
Galatasaray Galatasaray 10-Apr-21
1:1
Karagumruk Karagumruk
Karagumruk Karagumruk 18-Dec-20
2:1
Galatasaray Galatasaray

Profile time Recent Matches of Karagumruk

31 Jan Goztepe Goztepe.
-
Karagumruk. Karagumruk
24 JanL Karagumruk Karagumruk.
1:3
Galatasaray. Galatasaray
17 JanL Basaksehir Basaksehir.
2:1
Karagumruk. Karagumruk
13 JanD Alanyaspor Alanyaspor.
2:2
Karagumruk. Karagumruk
09 JanL Karagumruk Karagumruk.
1:2
Petrolul. Petrolul
06 JanW Karagumruk Karagumruk.
2:1
U. Cluj. U. Cluj
21 DecL Alanyaspor Alanyaspor.
2:0
Karagumruk. Karagumruk
17 DecD Karagumruk Karagumruk.
0:0
Istanbulspor. Istanbulspor
14 DecD Karagumruk Karagumruk.
1:1
Kocaelispor. Kocaelispor
07 DecL Genclerbi Genclerbi.
3:0
Karagumruk. Karagumruk

Profile time Recent Matches of Galatasaray

28 JanMan. City Man. City.
-
Galatasaray.Galatasaray
24 JanWKaragumruk Karagumruk.
1:3
Galatasaray.Galatasaray
21 JanDGalatasaray Galatasaray.
1:1
Atl. Madrid.Atl. Madrid
17 JanDGalatasaray Galatasaray.
1:1
Gaziantep.Gaziantep
13 JanWFethiyespor Fethiyespor.
1:2
Galatasaray.Galatasaray
10 JanLGalatasaray Galatasaray.
0:2
Fenerbahce.Fenerbahce
05 JanWGalatasaray Galatasaray.
4:1
Trabzonspor.Trabzonspor
21 DecWGalatasaray Galatasaray.
3:0
Kasimpasa.Kasimpasa
18 DecWGalatasaray Galatasaray.
1:0
Basaksehir.Basaksehir
13 DecWAntalyaspor Antalyaspor.
1:4
Galatasaray.Galatasaray

Turkey - Süper Lig Turkey - Süper Lig

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Galatasaray Galatasaray19
43-14
46
2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe19
43-17
43
3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor19
37-22
41
4 Göztepe Göztepe19
25-11
36
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş19
33-24
33
6 Başakşehir Başakşehir19
32-19
29
7 Samsunspor Samsunspor19
23-21
27
8 Gazişehir Gaziantep Gazişehir19
26-32
25
9 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor19
16-19
24
10 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor19
19-19
22
11 Genclerbirligi Genclerbirligi19
23-27
19
12 Rizespor Rizespor19
22-28
19
13 Konyaspor Konyaspor19
23-31
19
14 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor19
18-32
19
15 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa19
15-26
16
16 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor19
13-27
15
17 Kayserispor Kayserispor19
16-37
15
18 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih19
16-37
9
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