What is the best bet for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Based on AI analysis, the best bet is 'under 3.5' at odds of 1.3.

What are the latest odds for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

The latest odds are: Home Win - 2.05, Draw - 3.45, Away Win - 4.

What is the predicted total goals (Under/Over) for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Our AI predicts the best bet for total goals in this match is 'under 3.5' goals. The available odds for this selection are 1.3.

What is the best 1X2 betting tip for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Our AI-powered prediction suggests that the best 1X2 bet for this match is 'X'. The available odds for this selection are 3.45.

What is the predicted final score for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Our AI predicts a final score of 0:0.

What is the predicted halftime score for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Our AI predicts the halftime score will be .

What is the expected ball possession for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Our AI predicts Kasimpasa will have 54% possession, while Fatih Karagumruk will have 46% possession.

How many shots are expected in Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

The total number of shots is expected to be 20, with Kasimpasa taking 11 shots and Fatih Karagumruk taking 9 shots.

How many corners are predicted in Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

The match is expected to have a total of 8 corners, with Kasimpasa earning 5 corners and Fatih Karagumruk earning 3 corners.

What is the predicted number of yellow cards for Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

According to our AI prediction, this match is expected to have a total of 2 yellow cards. Kasimpasa is projected to receive 1 yellow cards, while Fatih Karagumruk is expected to receive 1 yellow cards.

What is the squad value of Kasimpasa before the match against Fatih Karagumruk?

The current estimated market value of Kasimpasa is €29.95m. This reflects the financial strength of their squad before facing Fatih Karagumruk.

What is the squad value of Fatih Karagumruk before the match against Kasimpasa?

The current estimated market value of Fatih Karagumruk is €15.68m. This represents their squad’s financial standing before playing against Kasimpasa.

How many goals are expected in the first half of Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

Our AI predicts that the first half of Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk will have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted halftime score of .

How many total goals are expected in Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk?

According to our AI prediction, the match between Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagumruk is expected to have a total of 0 goals, based on the predicted full-time score of 0:0.

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk Prediction

Finished

Turkey

Süper Lig

Kasimpasa

€29.95m

16 Feb12:00

3 : 2

Karagumruk

€15.68m

Preview

Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Prediction Süper Lig

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for a tense derby

The Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for Monday, 16 February 2026 (kickoff 17:00 GMT) comes with the kind of nervous energy only a relegation six-pointer can create. It’s an Istanbul district derby at the Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadium, with Kasımpaşa sitting 16th on 16 points and Karagümrük 18th on 12. In other words: nobody is “fine,” everyone is “one good week away,” and every loose ball will feel like a season-defining moment. If you’re looking for a Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction that matches the mood, think tight, careful, and a bit scratchy.

Derby context, tactics, and what the teams might try

Kasımpaşa’s story has been messy lately. Emre Belözoğlu only arrived in December 2025, and the club has just gone through an ownership change with Kazancı Holding taking over in early February. That “new era” talk can lift a stadium… or make legs feel even heavier when the first pass goes astray. Add the fact Kasımpaşa have been winless in eight matches across all competitions and still haven’t tasted a home league win this season, and you can see why the early minutes could be played like a chess match where nobody wants to touch the queen.

Karagümrük, meanwhile, have at least felt a small bounce: a 1-0 win over Antalyaspor on 7 February was their first league victory under Aleksandar Stanojevic, who took charge in January. He’s been trying to steady a defense that has conceded around 2.17 goals per game, but his natural instinct is still to control the ball. In the reverse fixture earlier this season, Karagümrük had 72% possession and still lost 1-0—proof that possession is great, but it doesn’t count as a shot on target (sadly for coaches everywhere).

Team news that could shape the game

Kasımpaşa absences include muscle issues for Erdem Çetinkaya and Cláudio Winck, while Ali Ablak and Salem M’Bakata remain out long-term. Haris Hajradinović has been missing with a knee injury but is nearing a return, and İrfan Can Kahveci is still a major doubt.
Karagümrük concerns include Tiago Çukur and Daniel Johnson battling illness and fitness, João Camacho out with a thigh injury, and Muhammed Kadıoğlu unavailable. New faces Bartuğ Elmaz and Davide Biraschi have been integrated to add stability.

Historically, this rivalry rarely gives easy answers. The head to head record across the last 10 meetings is perfectly balanced (3 wins each, 4 draws), and the most recent H2H on 2024.02-16 ended 1-1. That pattern fits two teams who know each other well enough to cancel out the obvious plans.

AI betting tips, odds, and scoreline call

The market leans toward Kasımpaşa at home, with odds around 2.05 for a home win, 3.45 for the draw, and 4.0 for an away win—helped by the gap in squad value (€29.95m vs €15.68m). Still, both sides have shown they can spoil the script: Kasımpaşa drew 1-1 with Fenerbahçe on 2025-09-21 despite long odds against them, and Karagümrük grabbed a wild 2-2 at Alanyaspor on 2026-01-13 when priced at 6.4 for the win.

Our main betting tips angle is goals. The AI’s best tip is under 3.45 goals at 1.3 odds, with 6.2/10 confidence. That lines up with the match model: possession is forecast at 54% for Kasımpaşa and 46% for Karagümrük, but shots are modest (11 vs 9) and on-target efforts even smaller (2 vs 3). Corners are projected at 5-3, and only two yellow cards in total—signs of a game that could be tense without turning into chaos.

For the 1X2, the AI leans to X (draw) at 3.45 odds, though with a low trust level of 2.05. The predicted final score is 0:0, with the anticipated half-time score also 0:0. It’s not the kind of scoreline you frame on the wall, but in a relegation derby it can feel like both teams are holding a fragile vase and nobody wants to be the one who trips.

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for a tense derby

Derby context, tactics, and what the teams might try

Team news that could shape the game

Kasımpaşa absences include muscle issues for Erdem Çetinkaya and Cláudio Winck, while Ali Ablak and Salem M’Bakata remain out long-term. Haris Hajradinović has been missing with a knee injury but is nearing a return, and İrfan Can Kahveci is still a major doubt.
Karagümrük concerns include Tiago Çukur and Daniel Johnson battling illness and fitness, João Camacho out with a thigh injury, and Muhammed Kadıoğlu unavailable. New faces Bartuğ Elmaz and Davide Biraschi have been integrated to add stability.

AI betting tips, odds, and scoreline call

AI Predictions

Warning

Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk

U3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -333

6/10

1x2 Tip

X 245

The match is expected to end in a draw

2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match

6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -104

At least one team is not expected to score

1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -222

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals

1/10

Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

54%

Ball Possession

46%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots Off Goal

Corners

Yellow Cards

Average / Match

1.8

Total Goals

2.8

0.7

Goals Scored

1.1

Goals Against

1.8

8.5

Total Shots

9.1

Shots on Goal

3.6

3.4

Shots off Goal

3.5

16.3

Fouls

13.6

2.1

Offsides

3.4

353

Total Passes

388

Overview Last 10 Matches

Wins

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

Both Teams Scored

Unexpected Wins

Unexpected Loses

Head to Head

5 - 3 - 4

Karagumruk	^13-Sep-25 0:1	Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa	^16-Feb-24 1:1	Karagumruk
Karagumruk	^01-Oct-23 2:3	Kasimpasa
Karagumruk	^06-Jun-23 3:0	Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa	^25-Feb-23 1:3	Karagumruk
Kasimpasa	^15-Jan-23 2:2	Karagumruk
Karagumruk	^09-Apr-22 3:2	Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa	^21-Nov-21 1:3	Karagumruk
Kasimpasa	^04-Aug-21 5:1	Karagumruk
Kasimpasa	^20-Feb-21 3:2	Karagumruk

Recent Matches of Kasimpasa

12 Apr		Goztepe	-	Kasimpasa	-
04 Apr	W	Kasimpasa	2	Kayserispor	0
19 Mar	L	Besiktas	2	Kasimpasa	1
15 Mar	W	Kasimpasa	1	Eyupspor	0
08 Mar	D	Konyaspor	1	Kasimpasa	1
28 Feb	L	Kasimpasa	0	Rizespor	3
23 Feb	D	Fenerbahce	1	Kasimpasa	1
16 Feb	W	Kasimpasa	3	Karagumruk	2
09 Feb	L	Gaziantep	2	Kasimpasa	1
30 Jan	L	Kasimpasa	0	Samsunspor	1

Recent Matches of Karagumruk

12 Apr		Konyaspor	-	Fatih K	-
05 Apr	W	Fatih K	2	Rizespor	1
19 Mar	L	Kayserispor	1	Karagumruk	0
13 Mar	W	Karagumruk	2	Fenerbahce	0
08 Mar	D	Gaziantep FK	1	Karagumruk	1
03 Mar	W	Fethiyespor	0	Karagumruk	2
27 Feb	L	Trabzonspor	3	Karagumruk	1
22 Feb	D	Karagumruk	0	Samsunspor	0
16 Feb	L	Kasimpasa	3	Karagumruk	2
07 Feb	W	Karagumruk	1	Antalyaspor	0

Turkey - Süper Lig

	Team	M	G	P
1	Galatasaray	28	66-21	67
2	Fenerbahçe	28	62-28	63
3	Trabzonspor	28	55-30	63
4	Beşiktaş	28	49-32	52
5	Göztepe	28	33-23	46
6	Başakşehir	28	44-30	44
7	Samsunspor	27	31-33	36
8	Kocaelispor	28	23-32	34
9	Gaziantep FK	28	37-47	34
10	Alanyaspor	28	34-33	32
11	Konyaspor	28	33-41	31
12	Rizespor	27	33-38	30
13	Antalyaspor	28	28-43	28
14	Kasımpaşa	28	25-38	27
15	Gençlerbirliği	28	28-39	25
16	Kayserispor	28	21-50	23
17	Eyüpspor	28	19-41	22
18	Fatih	28	26-48	20

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for a tense derby

Derby context, tactics, and what the teams might try

Team news that could shape the game

AI betting tips, odds, and scoreline call

Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for a tense derby

Derby context, tactics, and what the teams might try

Team news that could shape the game

AI betting tips, odds, and scoreline call

Warning

Best Tip

1x2 Tip

Total Goals

Both Teams To Score

Bet Builder Tip

Correct Score

Stats Predictions

Average / Match

Overview Last 10 Matches

Head to Head

Latest Matches

Recent Matches of Kasimpasa

Recent Matches of Karagumruk

Turkey - Süper Lig

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