Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Prediction

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Prediction: Tight Tactics and Low-Scoring Drama Expected

Welcome to our Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this Süper Lig showdown on January 30, 2026. Whether you’re a stats lover, a betting enthusiast, or just a fan of Turkish football, this preview will help you make sense of the numbers, the tactics, and the best bets for the match. Let’s get right into the action!

Team News, Tactics, and Recent Form

There’s plenty of intrigue around this one. Kasimpasa, currently sitting 14th in the table, are desperate to turn their fortunes around. Their recent form isn’t exactly inspiring—one win, three draws, and two losses in their last six matches. The goals have dried up too, with just two scored and eight conceded over that stretch. To make matters worse, Kasimpasa haven’t managed a home league win in their last twelve attempts. If you’re a home fan, you might want to bring a lucky charm to the Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadium!

Samsunspor, on the other hand, are holding steady in 7th place. Their last six games have produced one win, two draws, and three losses. Goals have been hard to come by for them as well, averaging just 0.17 per game in that period. Their last outing was a goalless draw against Gençlerbirliği, and they haven’t won away in their last four league trips. So, it’s fair to say neither side is flying high at the moment.

Head to Head: Evenly Matched Rivals

Looking at the head to head record, these teams are pretty evenly matched. In their last five meetings, both Kasimpasa and Samsunspor have won twice, with one draw. Earlier this season, they played out a 0-0 draw. Historically, 60% of their matches have seen both teams score, and 70% of Kasimpasa’s home games have featured over 2.5 total goals. However, Samsunspor have scored in 80% of their away games, which suggests they’re not shy in front of goal when on the road.

Injuries, Suspensions, and Lineups

• Kasimpasa are missing Haris Hajradinovic (cruciate ligament), Erdem Çetinkaya (fitness), and Attila Szalai (injury). Çetinkaya and Kerem Demirbay are suspended.
• Samsunspor have a crowded treatment room too: Bedirhan Çetin, Afonso Sousa, Emre Kılınç, Carlo Holse, Eyüp Aydın, Tanguy Coulibaly, Olivier Ntcham, and Rick van Drongelen are all out or doubtful. Yalçın Kayan, Muhammet Özbaskıcı, and Alper Efe Pazar are suspended.

Kasimpasa are expected to stick with a 4-2-3-1, while Samsunspor will likely go for a 4-1-4-1, hoping to control midfield and possession.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and What to Expect

Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds for this game are pretty tight: Kasimpasa to win at 3.25, the draw at 3.4, and Samsunspor to win at 2.33. The away side are slight favorites, which makes sense given their higher league position and deeper squad value (€57.65m vs €25.95m for Kasimpasa).

• Possession: Samsunspor are expected to control the ball (56% to Kasimpasa’s 44%).
• Shots: Kasimpasa should manage around 10 shots, Samsunspor 13, but both sides are only predicted to get 3 on target each.
• Corners: Expect a total of 9 corners (5 for Kasimpasa, 4 for Samsunspor).
• Discipline: Just one yellow card apiece is forecasted—so maybe not a fiery derby, but you never know!

Our AI-powered Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction leans towards a narrow away win, with the most likely outcome being a 0:1 final score. The AI’s confidence in this result is 3.5 out of 10, so it’s not a home run, but it does give Samsunspor the edge. For the total goals market, the recommended bet is under 3.5 goals, with a solid confidence level of 7.1/10 and odds of 1.3. Given both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal, this seems like a smart play.

Summary and Final Thoughts

1. Both teams are struggling to score and missing key players, so don’t expect a goal-fest.
2. History suggests tight games, and the stats back up a low-scoring affair.
3. Our Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction: a 0:1 away win, with under 3.5 total goals looking like the best bet.

In short, this Süper Lig meeting is shaping up to be a tactical battle rather than a spectacle. If you’re betting, under 3.5 goals looks like the safest option, and Samsunspor have a slight edge for the win. But as always in football, surprises can happen—just ask Fenerbahce, who couldn’t beat either of these sides in recent upsets! Enjoy the match, and may your bets be as accurate as our AI’s predictions.