Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor Prediction

Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor prediction: a tense Sunday in Kayseri

If you’re looking for a Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor prediction that feels more like football talk than a math lecture, start with the setting: February 22, 2026 at the Kadir Has Stadium (RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu) in Kayseri, kickoff 10:30 GMT. Kayserispor really need points, and you can usually tell when a team is playing with that “please don’t send us down” urgency.

Kayserispor sit in 17th and the mood has been heavy. They finally stopped the bleeding with a gritty 0–0 at Göztepe on February 15, which ended a nasty run of four straight losses where they were shipping goals for fun (the bad kind of fun). The bigger issue is structural: Radomir Dalovic has been trying to stabilize a defense that has conceded a league-high 43 goals, and you don’t fix that overnight, even with extra training cones and good intentions.

Antalyaspor, meanwhile, have been hard to pin down. They’ve floated around the low-mid table (often described as 12th to 14th), and they can look sharp one week and strangely quiet the next. Still, their 3–1 win over Samsunspor on February 13 mattered, especially after that bruising 6–0 Turkish Cup exit to Iğdır FK earlier in the month. Sami Uğurlu, in charge since early January, has put a lot of energy into confidence and width, and it showed with Samuel Ballet grabbing two goals.

Team news, styles, and the little battles

Dalovic usually sets Kayserispor up in a 4-2-3-1 (sometimes 4.05-4.05), aiming to protect the center and ask the creators to do their job between the lines. László Bénes is vital for tempo and final passes, while German Onugha has been a key finisher (6 league goals). There’s also the new loan striker Fedor Chalov, who is expected to lead the line as Kayserispor try to improve a miserable goal difference. Winter additions like Joshua Brenet and Denis Makarov were meant to add quality, but Makarov is still battling a thigh issue and may not be ready to start.

• Kayserispor absences: Majid Hosseini (long-term cruciate), Yigit Emre Çeltik and Kayra Cihan (knee injuries), plus Abdulsamet Burak serving a long betting-related ban.
• Kayserispor boosts: goalkeeper Bilal Bayazıt and Ramazan Civelek should be back after suspensions.
• Antalyaspor concerns: Abdülkadir Ömür (muscle), Erdoğan Yeşilyurt (cruciate), Bünyamin Balcı a fitness doubt, and Ramzi Safouri a late call.

Uğurlu’s Antalyaspor tend to stretch teams with wide attacks, using players like Ballet and Nikola Storm to get behind full-backs. That’s an uncomfortable matchup for a Kayserispor side that has also conceded the most penalties in the league (6). Fast wingers running at tired defenders can turn into clumsy tackles quickly—referees have seen that movie before.

Head to head context before the numbers take over

The head to head record leans Antalyaspor overall (15 wins to Kayserispor’s 8, with 12 draws), and draws are a theme: 10 of the last 24 meetings ended level, including a 1–1 earlier this season. Still, the most recent meeting on May 12, 2025 went Kayserispor’s way, 3–1. So yes, history nods to the visitors, but recent memories aren’t so polite.

Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor prediction: NerdyTips betting tips

Now for the Kayserispor vs Antalyaspor prediction from our side. The market prices Kayserispor as slight favorites: home win 2.0, draw 3.45, away win 4.05. That lines up with the squad values too (€29.95m vs €23.10m), even if money doesn’t score goals by itself (sadly).

NerdyTips’ best betting tips angle is the goals market: our AI recommends under 3.45 goals at 1.3 with confidence 6.8/10. The logic fits the match story. Kayserispor have just come off a 0–0 and will likely prioritize survival-mode structure, while Antalyaspor’s away approach under Uğurlu can be cautious when the game state demands it.

In the 1X2 market, our analysis leans to 1 (home win) as the most likely outcome, but with a lower confidence (3.9) and odds around 2.0. The expected scoreline is tight: 1–0, with the anticipated half-time score also 1–0. If you like drama, this is the kind where the loudest moment might be someone arguing over a throw-in.

What the match stats forecast suggests

• Possession: Kayserispor 58% vs Antalyaspor 42%
• Shots: 14 vs 8, with shots on target 4 vs 3
• Corners: 6 vs 3 (9 total)
• Cards: 1 vs 2

Those numbers paint a picture of Kayserispor doing more of the pushing without turning it into a goal-fest—exactly why under 3.45 feels sensible. If you’re building a simple plan: start with the under, and if you want a bolder sprinkle, the narrow home win matches our model’s storyline.