Kisvarda vs Kazincbarcikai Prediction

Kisvarda vs Kazincbarcikai prediction: home edge speaks

If you’re looking for a clean, simple Kisvarda vs Kazincbarcikai prediction for your weekend slip, this one has a pretty clear story: Kisvárda want to keep their mid-table life calm, while Kazincbarcikai are trying to survive their first-ever NB I season with their heads above water. They meet on 2026-02-06 at 16:45 GMT at the Várkerti Stadion, and the mood feels like “business at home” versus “please, just give us points.”

Match context: comfort vs survival pressure

Kisvárda come into this round sitting 6th with 27 points from 19 matches (8W, 3D, 8L). It’s not perfect, it’s not pretty every week, but it’s stable enough to sleep at night. Kazincbarcikai, on the other hand, are 12th with 14 points, and their season has been a bit like trying to carry water in a shopping bag: technically possible, but you’re going to lose a lot on the way.

• Date & venue: February 6, 2026, Várkerti Stadion (Kisvárda)
• Kick-off: 16:45 GMT
• League situation: Kisvárda aiming to secure mid-table; Kazincbarcikai fighting relegation

Recent form: Kisvárda inconsistent, Kazincbarcikai desperate

Kisvárda’s recent run has been mixed (W-L-L-D-W-L), and their last outing was a painful 2-3 loss to MTK Budapest. Still, their home performances have generally been their safety blanket, and that matters here because Kazincbarcikai have struggled badly on the road overall.

Kazincbarcikai’s form line (D-L-L-L-L-L) tells you everything: they’ve gone six games without a win, and a recent 0-1 loss to Zalaegerszeg didn’t exactly inspire a sudden turnaround. That said, football loves a plot twist—especially when a team is desperate enough to tackle like their rent depends on it.

Tactics: wide control vs deep block and counters

Kisvárda under Attila Révész tend to play a balanced style, using width at home and trying to control the rhythm. Expect them to keep the ball, stretch the pitch, and look for Bence Bíró in scoring areas. In a match like this, their job is simple: don’t get bored, don’t get sloppy, and turn possession into real chances.

Kazincbarcikai, coached by Attila Kuttor, have leaned toward a 4-4-2 to be harder to break down. Away from home, the plan usually becomes “sit deep, stay alive, and counter.” If they have a route to a result, it likely runs through Meshack Ubochioma breaking forward quickly, with midfield support from Bálint Kártik.

Players, team news, and the little details bettors love

For Kisvárda, there’s a notable injury: István Soltész is out with inflammation in the sole of the foot. Also keep an eye on Branimir Cipetić, who is on four yellow cards and one booking away from a ban—exactly the sort of “don’t do anything silly” situation that affects how aggressively a full-back defends counters.

Kazincbarcikai have had discipline worries too, with Mykhaylo Meskhi a recent red-card concern and István Juhász also appearing in disciplinary notes. When you’re defending deep, one rash challenge can flip the whole match (and your bet) in a second.

• Kisvárda key scorers: Bence Bíró (5), Todor Yordanov (3)
• Kazincbarcikai key scorers: Meshack Ubochioma (4), Bálint Kártik (3)
• Squad value: Kisvárda €7.24m vs Kazincbarcikai €4.62m

Head to head: tight games, but Kisvárda usually find the edge

The head to head picture leans Kisvárda, even if the margins have often been small. The last meeting you noted ended 1-1 (2025-05.4), and earlier meetings have frequently been cagey. But top-flight experience tends to show up in these “must not mess up” home fixtures, and Kisvárda usually handle them better than newly promoted sides.

A couple of results that show both teams can surprise

• Kisvárda once held Ferencváros to a 0-0 away draw (2024-04-20) despite huge odds (11.8). They can be hard to break down on their day.
• Kazincbarcikai recently won away at MTK Budapest (2026-01-31), with odds around 5.5, finishing 1-3. So yes, they can absolutely ruin a “safe” coupon.

Betting odds and NerdyTips picks for this match

Now to the numbers part of this Kisvarda vs Kazincbarcikai prediction. The betting odds reflect a strong home lean: 1.7 for Kisvárda, 3.8 for the draw, and 5.4 for Kazincbarcikai. That lines up with the table, the home advantage, and the general “one team wants comfort, the other wants a miracle” context.

• Home win: 1.7
• Draw: 3.8
• Away win: 5.4

Main AI bet: home win looks like the clean angle

NerdyTips’ model points to 1 (home win) as the best play, with a 7.1/10 trust score at odds of 1.7. That’s a solid confidence level for a 1X2 pick, and it fits the likely match script: Kisvárda controlling the ball, Kazincbarcikai sitting deep, and the home team eventually creating enough chances to get over the line.

• AI 1X2 prediction: 1 (Kisvárda win)
• Confidence: 7.1/10
• Odds: 1.7

Total goals angle: over 1.5 is logical, but not “free money”

For total goals, the AI leans over 1.5 at odds of 1.26, but with a lower confidence score (3.3). That lower confidence makes sense: Kazincbarcikai are likely to defend deep, and Kisvárda can sometimes turn dominance into “nice passing, shame about the finishing.” Still, if the home team score early, the match usually opens up and 2+ goals becomes far more realistic.

• Over/Under prediction: Over 1.5 goals
• Confidence: 3.3
• Odds: 1.26

Expected game flow: Kisvárda on the ball, visitors surviving

The forecasts support the same theme: Kisvárda controlling possession and creating slightly more (and better) chances.

• Possession: Kisvárda 62% vs Kazincbarcikai 38%
• Shots: 12 vs 9
• Shots on target: 4 vs 2
• Corners: 4 vs 3 (total 7)
• Yellow cards: 1 vs 2

Correct score lean: 2-1 with a busy first half

The expected final score is 2-1, with a predicted first-half score of 1-0. That’s basically the classic home-favorite pattern: start fast, grab control, then make it slightly more dramatic than needed. (Football loves drama. Fans don’t, but football does.)

• Predicted final score: 2-1
• Predicted half-time score: 1-0

Final betting take

Putting it all together, this Kisvarda vs Kazincbarcikai prediction is mostly about trusting Kisvárda’s home strength and experience to handle a relegation-threatened newcomer. Kazincbarcikai have shown they can spring an upset, but over the long run, the numbers, the odds, and the match setup all lean the same way.

• Best bet: Kisvárda to win (1) @ 1.7
• Secondary lean: Over 1.5 total goals @ 1.26 (lower confidence)
• Lean scoreline: 2-1